The question of Ukraine joining NATO is when, not if. And that was agreed by ALL allies, during extensive discussions at the NATO Summits in Bucharest, Vilnius and Washington. I don’t recall members reconvening to ratify any backtracking since then.🧵1/5
Did @SecGenNATO, whose job it is to represent ALL allies, yesterday tacitly adopt Trump’s unilateral position without seeking the endorsement of other members? I hope not, because that is not how an alliance should work.🧵2/5
He missed the opportunity to do so during the interview, but will the Secretary General now clarify that NATO’s position on Ukraine’s path to membership has not changed? Or will he perhaps call a summit to discuss changing it?🧵3/5
Furthermore, the comments made by @SecGenNATO about the "natural" restoration of relations with Russia are hugely inappropriate, to say the least. Russia shows no regret and probably never will. NATO should be talking about defence against, not reconciliation with, Russia.🧵4/5
If the Secretary General respects the concerns of my country and of many other allies he should clarify NATO’s position as soon as possible, before more damage is done to the reputation of the organisation.🧵5/5
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
The Trump-Putin Pact already exists, and we should act accordingly. There are some things we will never change with nice words or smart clothing. If you are worried about those things, you should understand where Trump's tactics come from. From Russia.
A thread. 🧵1/14
The fact that military assistance to Ukraine might have been cut before Zelensky’s meeting with Trump in the Oval Office—and only later reconnected—should serve as an example of the current mindset in Washington.🧵2/14
Trump is seeking alignment with Putin. Putin has asked for concessions, and concessions have been promised. We may not know the full extent of those promises, but we must be prepared for all of it.🧵3/14
We said “as long as it takes,” and well, it's gonna take a bit longer. Europe doesn’t need to back down now, not for Putin, not for Trump, not for anyone else who tests us. We can step up and stand firm. Here’s how:🧵1/8
🇪🇺Push back.
The US is important but not omnipotent. Zelenskyy proved that pushing back can work. Firmness commands respect.🧵2/8
🇪🇺Stick together.
A tightly united Europe can be strong enough to resist an isolationist America. We must tackle internal disruptors so external disruptors find it harder to tackle us.🧵3/8
I want to tell you a story. In 2015, I was in a Lithuanian city of Panevežys, standing with the locals, watching a military parade. But this was no ordinary parade, because marching alongside the Lithuanian troops were our American allies.🧵1/16
Not long after Russia annexed Crimea, in an impressive show of solidarity, Bradleys, Humvees, and Abrams rolled through Lithuanian streets that, just a quarter of a century earlier had been under occupation by the Soviet Union.🧵2/16
An elderly man stood near me at the roadside, waving a pair of pink tulips at the passing tanks. As they rumbled by he shed a tear and I heard him murmur to himself, "Oh, how long I have waited for this".🧵3/16
On a cold December evening in 2021, during an OSCE meeting in Stockholm, Lavrov outlined what he called “a new security architecture” for Europe. And Trump, knowingly or otherwise, might now be implementing those plans.🧵1/5
Apart from the usual nonsense about biolabs and nukes, Lavrov demanded that for stability in Europe, NATO must go back to its 1997 borders, retreating from everything except East Germany. So why wouldn’t Putin ask for this in Riyadh? It seems much more than likely.🧵2/5
Putin is not on the ropes, he is on a roll, his dreams are being realised by his former enemies. NATO stayed out of Ukraine, believed the nuclear threats and allowed the shadow war to escalate. Trump can now add Ukrainian neutrality, elections and territories to the list.🧵3/5
Once again I am leaving the Munich Security Conference in a low mood. Amongst all the noise, the US signalled their plans for Europe, so things are becoming clearer. But things are clearly not good.
This is what we now know, and what we now have to do about it:🧵1/17
Ukraine can no longer rely on US assistance. The US President wants a deal, and he wants it fast. Fast deals cost more for the buyer, but the US is not willing to foot the bill. So, ultimately, Ukraine will have to pay the price.🧵2/17
The US is no longer happy to be the main guarantor of security in Europe. There are talks of a partial withdrawal of troops, and a clear shift of priorities to other continents.🧵3/17
🧵1/6
Europe won't survive sleeping through another wake-up call. We should jump out of bed and throw on a shirt. We should do what we can, with what we’ve got. And we’ve got a lot. Here's how to step things up as the US steps down:
🧵2/6
Ukraine’s full integration into the EU has to start now, in 2025, not 2030. Alongside economic benefits, the EU can also serve as a deterrence umbrella, and Ukraine should be under it.
🧵3/6
With Ukraine secured and part of the EU, rebuilding can begin. Trade and investment will grow. This generates revenue for defence, which makes Ukraine stronger, which attracts more investment. We can start this positive feedback loop right now.