Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Mar 18, 2025 10 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Zelensky on the Trump-Putin call:

Ukraine supports peace, but if Russia talks and then bombs Slovyansk, we will respond.

Russia’s goal is the same - no mobilization, no aid to Ukraine, so they can attack later.

The prisoner exchange? Pre-planned, nothing new.

0/
Zelensky: Russia and Ukraine, with U.S. mediation, might agree not to hit energy infrastructure

But it can’t be that Russia keeps striking our energy sector while we stay silent. We will respond. [He refers to tonight’s Russian attack and blackout in Slovyansk] 1/
Zelensky: Regarding Putin’s political will. The air raid alarm in Ukraine - that’s your answer. This is how Putin shows he doesn’t want war.

He’s afraid that Ukrainians will disrupt the "peace." 2/
Zelensky: I don’t want Ukraine to be on Putin’s menu. We are not a salad or a compote to be served up for his appetite - no matter how big it is.

And we all see what kind of appetite he has. 3/
Zelensky: We support all steps toward ending the war. But to support something, we need to understand the specifics. If President Trump has time, he’ll call. We’re ready. 4/
Zelensky: I knew about the prisoner exchange. I got that information in advance from the SBU and GUR. This was a planned exchange on our part. 5/
Zelensky: I want President Trump to see what Putin is really after - a new offensive in Zaporizhzhia, the east, Kharkiv, and Sumy.

Why? To put maximum pressure on Ukraine and then dictate ultimatums from a position of strength. 6/
Zelensky: There’s no major weapons shortage in Ukraine right now. Yes, there are issues with FPVs. But when it comes to artillery, certain mines, and systems, we’re covering those needs for now.

Honestly, we’re even ramping up supplies. 7/
Zelensky: I really hope that President Trump put maximum pressure on Putin regarding necessary steps.

Perhaps they are sequential.

I do not know. 8/
Zelensky: Putin keeps bringing up mobilization, and weapons [in his demands].

What’s behind that? An attempt to weaken Ukraine’s army.

This was his ultimatum at the start of the war. He changes the words, but the substance stays the same. 9X

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More from @Mylovanov

Apr 10
Europe’s defense is shifting from Brussels to a Germany-Poland core, with France and the UK supplying nuclear and expeditionary support.

As the US signals Europe must carry primary responsibility by 2027, while Russia could be ready to attack NATO within 5 years, FA. 1/ Image
Germany becomes the backbone of European defense.

Berlin plans $750B in military spending over 4 years, now holds the world’s 4th-largest defense budget, and will set standards as US influence over European security declines. 2/
Poland becomes the frontline force.

Warsaw spends 4.5% of GDP on defense, rapidly buying artillery, armor, and air defense to slow any Russian advance, prioritizing speed and domestic production over European suppliers. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 10
Ukraine is winning from Trump's Iran war. The US air defenses are too costly ato counter cheap Iranian drones. Ukraine is the only country with 4 years of proven combat experience against. Gulf states now line up to buy Ukrainian weapons — Christian Caryl in FP. 1/ Image
On March 17, Zelenskyy addressed British Parliament and pitched Ukraine as a 21st-century arsenal of democracy. Days later he signed military cooperation deals with Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Qatar, and launched trade talks with four more countries. 2/
Gulf states hit the limits of their US-supplied air defenses — too costly, too complex, already running low on munitions. Ukraine offers battle-tested drone defense built on 4 years of fighting Iranian Shaheds. Cheaper, faster, proven in combat. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Apr 10
Applebaum: Orban plays the role of Russia’s puppet in Europe. He blocks EU money for Ukraine, blocks sanctions on Russia and ties his fortunes to Moscow.

Yet JD Vance went to Hungary to present him as the champion of “Western civilization.” 1/
Applebaum: The war in Ukraine is about whether Ukraine gets to exist as a nation. Russia has never given up its war aim, which remains the conquest or control of all Ukraine.

To call this haggling over a few square kilometers is an affront and an outrage. 2/
Applebaum: Trump insulted Europe, sneered at its security needs, did not tell allies what he was doing in Iran, then complained NATO was not there for him.

Europeans are not going to leap to the defense of an unpopular president fighting an unpopular war. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 10
Applebaum: Orban’s campaign is not even about Hungary. It is about inventing an evil enemy, and that enemy is Ukraine.

All over Budapest there were posters of Zelenskyy and AI videos meant to create a fake world where Ukrainians are somehow the threat. 1/
Applebaum: This is the first election in 16 years where Orban faces a real challenger.

After losing once, he returned to power determined never to lose again, rewrote the system, changed voting rules, and captured the institutions of the state. 2/
Applebaum: He then built a nepotistic, corrupt machine across the judiciary, bureaucracy, media, universities, and big parts of the economy.

It keeps his party powerful, keeps him wealthy, and leaves Hungary with stagnation, corruption, and terrible health care. 3/
Read 6 tweets
Apr 10
How does Ukraine train its soldiers?

A 51-day mandatory course called BZVP — Basic General Military Training: shooting, small unit tactics, combat medicine, drone warfare and ground robotics — Suspilne. 1/ Image
The program was updated last year — more instructors, more focus on drone warfare and technology. Every recruit goes through BZVP before receiving a specialty.

Commander Syrsky announced plans to update with emphasis on technological skills and countering enemy drones. 2/
Instructor Georgiy: “They must be able to do everything. During training we show what, how and when to do things correctly — and we control execution.”

Recruits train trench clearance, bunker clearing and small assault group tactics. 3/
Read 11 tweets
Apr 10
Hodges: My sense is that Trump trusted his gut instinct.

But this is how mistakes happen: the people handling negotiations were his son-in-law and his real estate friend, not professional diplomats, and sycophantic cabinet officials were never going to push back. 1/
Hodges: For Trump to say nobody anticipated Iran weaponizing the Strait of Hormuz is just flat-out not true.

We have war-gamed operations around Hormuz since I was a captain in the 101st Airborne back in the 1980s. That claim is absolutely false. 2/
Hodges: The hourly contradictions coming out of the White House make it very difficult to know what is actually being considered.

That is why the Constitution requires Congress in war: to force hard conversations about purpose, end state and what we are trying to accomplish. 3X
Read 5 tweets

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