Thread by @MassDara

Russia did not call off a large drone attack last night within ten minutes of the presidents’ call, and 100+ drones were launched last night from 1900 (when call ended) until after midnight Moscow time. We can step through this with basic timelines and calculations. /1

https://twitter.com/mike_eckel/status/1902314547270017034

We know Shaheds speeds, launch sites thanks to various monitors, we know general routes, and what time they impacted cities last night. (Older image below for reference). /2

Ukraine said the attacks began at 1900, close to when the call ended, until 0200+. So some Shaheds were probably already airborne by 1800 Moscow time, but Russia continued to launch fresh waves up to 5-6 hours after the call ended. /3

The Russians hit hospitals in Ukraine, like this one in Sumy region. Sumy hospitals were struck many times between 10pm and 1AM. It is a ~one hour flight time for a Shahed launched from Belgorod -Sumy region. /4

Shaheds last night (against Zhytomyr at 0130 and other cities), were launched well after the phone call ended, according to monitors. These calculations can be done to determine Russia’s launch times for this complex strike. /5

Russia claims they shot down 7 of their own drones out of Crimea on their way to Mykolaiv — let’s see. that claim must be verified before it’s repeated by western officials. Russia didn’t halt strikes on civilian targets post call , because *that wasn’t what they agreed to* /6

The Kremlin had time to call off all launches after 1800 Moscow time last night for non-airborne Shaheds. They did not. They did not halt strikes on hospitals six hours later. /7

Western intelligence services must be given a chance to verify claims before statements are made, especially right now. Neither Russia nor Ukrainian forces are slowing down operations on the ground. A full ceasefire is still a way off. Let’s see how the next days proceed. /end

Follow @war_monitor_ua @ShahedTracker for more.