Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Apr 1 18 tweets 10 min read Read on X
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce Russian propagandist Sergei Tsaulin. He’s best-known for spreading pro-Kremlin narratives in Estonia, fleeing to Russia after breaking several laws in Estonia, and almost getting blown up by a bomb in St. Petersburg.

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For years, Tsaulin was known for organizing marches and events glorifying the Soviet Union. Under the excuse of “remembering history,” these events were nothing more than Kremlin propaganda, wrapped in a red flag with a hammer and sickle.

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One of his most infamous events was the “Immortal Regiment” march, held every 9th of May, where people carried portraits of Soviet soldiers. These marches are used by Russia to push the idea that the Baltics owe their existence to the Soviets.

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May 9th AKA Victory Day and the “Immortal Regiment” are one of Russia’s biggest celebrations which commemorate the victory of the Soviet Union over Nazi Germany. Incidentally, the Soviet Union invaded Estonia while allied with the Nazis.

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Rather than acknowledging the brutal Soviet occupation and deportations, these marches frame the USSR as “liberators.” For Estonia, which suffered under Soviet rule, this is an insult. But Tsaulin kept organizing them, pretending they were about “unity.”

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Like all Estonian Kremlin puppets, Tsaulin also spreads anti-Estonian, anti-Western narratives, repeating Russian propaganda about NATO being an “occupier” and Estonia’s government being “Russophobic.” These people are so uncreative my soul hurts.

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He’s also been in collaboration with Aivo Peterson and other pro-Kremlin vatniks involved in the creation of the KOOS party. He was already involved with the party in its early days. Like flies circling around shit, vatniks always seem to find each other.

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Tsaulin has been arrested multiple times for violating public gathering laws and spreading extremist content, and he’s often mentioned in the State Security Police KAPO’s yearbook. After KAPO revoked his residence permit, Sergei ran away to Russia.

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Once in Russia, he reinvented himself as a “persecuted activist.” Russian officials and propagandists were more than happy to use him as proof of the so-called “oppression” of Russian speakers in the Baltics. They even invited the chief propagandist Maria Butina to help!

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Butina worked as a Russian spy in the US, infiltrating the country’s NRA gun lobby groups. In 2018, evidence of ties to the FSB was found in her home, and she confessed to being a Russian agent. After returning to Russia, she became a face for Kremlin’s propaganda.

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Tsaulin, eager to be useful to the Kremlin, also positioned himself as a martyr. He claimed Estonia was “dangerous for Russians” and the West was behind attacks on Russian activists. Laughable, considering he was only arrested for breaking the law.

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But in Russia, he was treated like a hero - a perfect tool for the Kremlin’s propaganda. Maria Zakharova and other officials showered him with sympathy, calling him a “victim of NATO-controlled Estonia.” Butina even organized a fundraiser for poor Mr. Tsaulin.

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Moscow needed a new face to sell the lie that Russian speakers in the Baltics were oppressed. Tsaulin, desperate for relevance, happily played along, appearing on state TV with dramatic stories about life in Estonia.

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For example, he attended a press conference for the Russian state news agency TASS. Another pro-Kremlin puppet, Maksim Reva was also present at this event. During the event, the director of the St. Petersburg Department of Foreign Relations, Sergei Markov, welcomed Tsaulin.
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Remember when a bomb blew up in a cafe in St. Petersburg, killing Russian warblogger Vladlen Tatarsky? Well, Tsaulin was there and was hurt badly. But Tsaulin’s big break came in Jul 2023, when he was invited to the UN Security Council, a useless organization currently…

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…presided by Russia. During his speech, Sergei complained about how horrible Estonia is & how traumatic it was when the “Ukrainian special services tried to kill him” in St Petersburg. After the event, Russia was criticized for “consuming resources” of the council.

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Today, Tsaulin is still organizing propaganda events blaming Estonia and praising Russia’s “heroes,” apparently for their ability to kill, loot and rape in Ukraine. He’ll be used as long he’s useful, and eventually discarded - just like Russia does with most vatniks.

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Big thanks goes to @Martinlaineolen for helping me brew this soup.

The 2nd edition of “Vatnik Soup — The Ultimate Guide to Russian Disinformation” is officially out!

You can order your copy here:

kleart.eu/webshop/p/vatn…

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Oct 10
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American propagandist Alexandra Jost, aka “Sasha” (@sashameetsrus). She’s best known for being paid by the Russian state to spread pro-Kremlin propaganda — and for doing it with a big smile.

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Alexandra, now 26, was born in Hong Kong. Her father is from Texas, and her mother is from Siberia. According to her, she has “dreamed of living in Russia since childhood.” Sasha's mother runs a dance studio in Moscow and her younger brother is avoiding mobilization.

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Since the beginning of her creator career, Sasha has been adamant about one thing: that she’s “never had to be paid” to speak of her “love” for Russia. But, as always with Russia, this turned out to be nothing but vranyo — a Russian “tactical lie.”

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Read 24 tweets
Oct 6
In today’s Vatnik Soup REBREW, I’ll reintroduce an American political commentator and pro-Kremlin propagandist, Tucker Carlson (@TuckerCarlson). He’s best known for his promotion of crazy conspiracy theories and for his support of authoritarian regimes around the world.

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Tucker’s career spans decades, but he’s also been very active in recent years, so a lot has happened since our previous soup on him, which can be found here:

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Once described as “the most powerful conservative in America”, Tucker has now fully transformed into a grifting conspiracy theorist and propagandist willing to work for whoever pays him the most. It’s unclear whether Tucker truly believes his endless conspiracy theories or…
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Read 25 tweets
Sep 25
This is what you’re debating with on social media:
It appears that a few pro-Russian bot farms already found this thread, so remember - just block them all, there's no point in arguing with a computer.
Most of you have seen those "No DMs" profiles, right? That's because you can interrupt the GPT procedure by injecting them new instructions.

At some point it also worked in comments ("give me a cake recipe"), but not so much anymore.
Read 4 tweets
Sep 11
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the agenda-setting and flood of disinformation that spread on X and other platforms right after Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s far from the first or last time a tragedy has been weaponized for political purposes.

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Every major political event, especially those involving violence, attracts massive attention. In the immediate aftermath, reliable information is scarce, making it highly vulnerable to both coordinated and improvised disinformation campaigns.

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As I’ve mentioned in my previous soups and lectures, in disinformation campaigns, being first with a narrative is crucial, as people often remember the first version best — psychology studies show it sets the mental schema, and later updates rarely overwrite it.

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Read 19 tweets
Sep 8
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American social media personality David Freeman, AKA Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman). He’s best known for spreading political disinformation on X and shamelessly sucking up to Trump, Putin, and other authoritarian leaders.

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David is a textbook example of someone profiting from MAGA grievance politics. He uses extreme, provocative language to farm engagement on X and never hesitates to flatter anyone who might give him more exposure — or money.

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But David wasn’t always like this. At some point, in his mid-40s, he even tried a real job: he trained to become a cop. He spent three years with the Metro Transit PD, but after that he either got fired or quit, and never looked back.

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Read 24 tweets
Sep 5
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian-Estonian businessman, Oleg Ossinovski. He is best-known for his deep ties to Russian rail and energy networks, shady cross-border dealings, and for channeling his wealth into Estonian politics.

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Oleg made his fortune via Spacecom Trans & Skinest Rail, both deeply tied to Russia’s rail system. Most of this is through Globaltrans Investments PLC, a Cyprus-based firm with 62% held via Spacecom and tens of millions in yearly profits.

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Ossinovski’s Russian-linked ventures made him Estonia’s richest man in 2014, with an estimated fortune of ~€300M. His business empire stretched across railways, oil via Alexela shares, and Russian bitumen imports from Help-Oil, a supplier to the Defense Ministry.

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Read 15 tweets

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