In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce Russian propagandist Sergei Tsaulin. He’s best-known for spreading pro-Kremlin narratives in Estonia, fleeing to Russia after breaking several laws in Estonia, and almost getting blown up by a bomb in St. Petersburg.
1/17
For years, Tsaulin was known for organizing marches and events glorifying the Soviet Union. Under the excuse of “remembering history,” these events were nothing more than Kremlin propaganda, wrapped in a red flag with a hammer and sickle.
2/17
One of his most infamous events was the “Immortal Regiment” march, held every 9th of May, where people carried portraits of Soviet soldiers. These marches are used by Russia to push the idea that the Baltics owe their existence to the Soviets.
3/17
May 9th AKA Victory Day and the “Immortal Regiment” are one of Russia’s biggest celebrations which commemorate the victory of the Soviet Union over Nazi Germany. Incidentally, the Soviet Union invaded Estonia while allied with the Nazis.
4/17
Rather than acknowledging the brutal Soviet occupation and deportations, these marches frame the USSR as “liberators.” For Estonia, which suffered under Soviet rule, this is an insult. But Tsaulin kept organizing them, pretending they were about “unity.”
5/17
Like all Estonian Kremlin puppets, Tsaulin also spreads anti-Estonian, anti-Western narratives, repeating Russian propaganda about NATO being an “occupier” and Estonia’s government being “Russophobic.” These people are so uncreative my soul hurts.
6/17
He’s also been in collaboration with Aivo Peterson and other pro-Kremlin vatniks involved in the creation of the KOOS party. He was already involved with the party in its early days. Like flies circling around shit, vatniks always seem to find each other.
7/17
Tsaulin has been arrested multiple times for violating public gathering laws and spreading extremist content, and he’s often mentioned in the State Security Police KAPO’s yearbook. After KAPO revoked his residence permit, Sergei ran away to Russia.
8/17
Once in Russia, he reinvented himself as a “persecuted activist.” Russian officials and propagandists were more than happy to use him as proof of the so-called “oppression” of Russian speakers in the Baltics. They even invited the chief propagandist Maria Butina to help!
9/17
Butina worked as a Russian spy in the US, infiltrating the country’s NRA gun lobby groups. In 2018, evidence of ties to the FSB was found in her home, and she confessed to being a Russian agent. After returning to Russia, she became a face for Kremlin’s propaganda.
10/17
Tsaulin, eager to be useful to the Kremlin, also positioned himself as a martyr. He claimed Estonia was “dangerous for Russians” and the West was behind attacks on Russian activists. Laughable, considering he was only arrested for breaking the law.
11/17
But in Russia, he was treated like a hero - a perfect tool for the Kremlin’s propaganda. Maria Zakharova and other officials showered him with sympathy, calling him a “victim of NATO-controlled Estonia.” Butina even organized a fundraiser for poor Mr. Tsaulin.
12/17
Moscow needed a new face to sell the lie that Russian speakers in the Baltics were oppressed. Tsaulin, desperate for relevance, happily played along, appearing on state TV with dramatic stories about life in Estonia.
13/17
For example, he attended a press conference for the Russian state news agency TASS. Another pro-Kremlin puppet, Maksim Reva was also present at this event. During the event, the director of the St. Petersburg Department of Foreign Relations, Sergei Markov, welcomed Tsaulin.
14/17
Remember when a bomb blew up in a cafe in St. Petersburg, killing Russian warblogger Vladlen Tatarsky? Well, Tsaulin was there and was hurt badly. But Tsaulin’s big break came in Jul 2023, when he was invited to the UN Security Council, a useless organization currently…
15/17
…presided by Russia. During his speech, Sergei complained about how horrible Estonia is & how traumatic it was when the “Ukrainian special services tried to kill him” in St Petersburg. After the event, Russia was criticized for “consuming resources” of the council.
16/17
Today, Tsaulin is still organizing propaganda events blaming Estonia and praising Russia’s “heroes,” apparently for their ability to kill, loot and rape in Ukraine. He’ll be used as long he’s useful, and eventually discarded - just like Russia does with most vatniks.
17/17
Big thanks goes to @Martinlaineolen for helping me brew this soup.
The 2nd edition of “Vatnik Soup — The Ultimate Guide to Russian Disinformation” is officially out!
In this 4th Debunk of the Day, we’ll refute an absolute classic of vatnik BS, the crown jewel of peak dishonesty: whataboutism.
Now, not everything that looks like whataboutism is wrong. Seeking consistency or comparing actions or responses is normal. 1/5
But when someone pulls some completely unrelated event, that happened to completely different people, a long time ago, in a galaxy far, far away, you know what you’re dealing with: a crass denial of the problem at hand, a bad-faith attempt to derail the topic. 2/5
Logic or chronology plays no role here, nor your opinion on these other topics. You could be the staunchest critic or supporter of these other actions thrown into the discussion, it doesn’t matter. It is irrelevant whether these other things are true or not, or bad or not. 3/5
In this 3rd Debunk of the Day, we’ll talk about… “ending” the war by surrendering or ceding territory.
Nearing four years of the 2-day “special military operation”, Russia is desperate to obtain through other means what they failed to conquer on the battlefield. 1/5
An endless army of vatniks therefore tries to demoralize both Ukrainians and supporters.
They sound noble: “anti-war” or concerned about the fate of Ukraine’s civilians, soldiers and cities. They claim that if we just stop fighting or helping, this horror would magically end. 2/5
What they never mention is… WHO started the war, WHO murders Ukrainians, WHO destroys Ukrainian cities: the same monsters they suggest Ukrainians be at the mercy of. Surrendering wouldn’t end the atrocities of the occupation, it would enable them. Surrendering wouldn’t even…3/5
In today’s Debunk of the Day (2), we’ll look at… nuclear blackmail. Vatniks love using Russia’s nuclear threats as a reason for surrendering or for not lifting a finger to help Ukraine: “see, they have nukes, we have to give them whatever they want”.
The argument is absurd: 1/5
Nuclear deterrence has been a reality for decades. Both the US and Russia have lost wars without resorting to nukes. We are not submitting to the whims of Pakistan or North Korea either. For vatniks, it’s just an insidious way of siding with Putin. 2/5
We can’t just give in to the Kremlin’s nuclear blackmail, to the threats their officials and propagandists make five times a day to scare us into letting them have something they know perfectly well is not theirs, with no limit to their appetite. 3/5 vatniksoup.com/en/nuclear-thr…
In today’s Vatnik Soup, we introduce a Ukrainian “scholar” and social media activist, Marta Havryshko (@HavryshkoMarta). She’s best known for spreading anti-Ukraine and pro-Kremlin narratives online, along with a habit of spotting neo-Nazis everywhere in Ukraine.
1/20
Marta hails from Ukraine, where she studied history at Ivan Franko National University of Lviv. She received her PhD in history in 2010. Her academic work focused on gender-based violence and wartime atrocities, including publications on sexual crimes in occupied Ukraine.
2/20
She is currently working as a visiting Assistant Professor at the Strassler Center for Holocaust & Genocide Studies at Clark University in the US. According to the center’s website, Marta teaches courses on antisemitism, racism, and gender-based violence in armed conflicts.
In today’s (first) Debunk of the Day, we’ll talk about… “realistic expectations”.
Russia has the GDP of Italy. NATO — which Russia claims to be fighting — has 20 times their GDP, and a much stronger and more modern military. 1/5
Russia’s full scale invasion was supposed to take 2 days, but we’re nearing 4 years. They’ve lost a million men. Their economy is in shambles.
And yet we're letting them set their red lines instead of massive sanctions, strong support for Ukraine, and an immediate sky shield. 2/5
Russia thought their war was “realistic” because we’d let them get away with it. It wouldn’t be “realistic” to invade a European nation and redraw borders by force if the West had a strong and united response.
What’s “realistic” is what public opinion tolerates and accepts. 3/5
In this first (and maybe last?) Basiji Soup, we’ll look at… the Islamic Republic of Iran, its disinformation operations, its hypocrisy, how it sells its atrocities as virtue and its repression as morality, how it serves the Kremlin, and the current protests against it.
1/20
Basijis are members of the most fanatical part of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC). In a broader sense: Iranian regime loyalists & propagandists. They may be fewer than vatniks or wumaos, but the goal is the same: destabilize the West to protect a brutal regime.
2/20
The regime oppressing Iran is a “theocratic” authoritarian state around a “Supreme Leader” hiding behind religion to justify its crimes: censorship, repression, executions, torture and terror — similar to Russia and its “holy war” against Ukraine.