Now that a judge has extended by 48 hours the arrest of Yonatan Urich (Netanyahu’s spin-doctor for the past decade) and Eli Feldstein (Netanyahu’s spokesperson for military affairs) the full contours of the #Qatargate investigation can be reported. Bear with me, this is long >
On October 7 Netanyahu began fighting his personal war for political survival, blaming the security chiefs for all that had happened. Urich hired Feldstein, as military affairs spokesperson, a role that never existed before in the PM’s office, as part of the Save Bibi campaign >
Feldstein had been a junior officer in the IDF Spokesperson Unit and then worked as Itamar Ben-Gvir’s spokesperson. He failed the security vetting necessary to work in the PM’s office. He was employed there nevertheless. But it meant that he couldn’t be paid by the government >
To pay Feldstein for his work for Netanyahu, Urich allegedly arranged for an American lobbyist working for the Qatari government to pay him 40K shekel a month. Urich who is currently employed by Likud (though working for Netanyahu) is partner in a PR firm also working for Qatar >
Urich and Feldstein are suspected of having briefed journalists with pro-Qatari messages in the name of a “senior diplomatic source”, a euphemism in Israel for the PM and of leaking classified information from cabinet meetings (all this at wartime when Qatar is Hamas’ patron) >
2 other suspects have been questioned under caution over their involvement in the Qatari influence-peddling - a businessman and a senior journalist. They are under house arrest and their names cannot be revealed at present. Netanyahu was questioned yesterday, not under caution >
Feldstein is also one of the main suspects in another investigation. He allegedly leaked to foreign media classified documents making the case against Israel withdrawing from the Philadelphi Corridor, serving Netanyahu who was under pressure from the far-right not to withdraw >
Feldstein is not just the alleged leaker of classified documents, but is also suspected of being the conduit for classified information coming from unauthorized sources in the IDF, bypassing the military hierarchy, on Netanyahu’s behalf (unclear if Netanyahu knew in advance) >
Urich and Feldstein are currently suspected of contact with a foreign agent, disclosing classified information, money-laundering, fraud and breach of trust by a public servant. But this goes way beyond the possible criminal charges. Urich is one of Netanyahu’s closest aides >
One of the most serious criticisms of Netanyahu’s policy leading to Oct 7 was his support for transferring Qatari funds to Hamas in Gaza, financing Hamas’ military wing. Urich, his veteran spin-doctor was moonlighting for Qatar at least since 2022 and hired Feldstein after Oct7 >
Whether or not Netanyahu knew that while Qatar was financing Hamas (with his support), harboring its leaders in Doha and acting as mediators in hostage talks, his aides were Qatar’s paid agents of influence in his office, with access to classified intel, has yet to be revealed >
So far Netanyahu’s response to the suspicions his closest aides were working for Qatar has been to rail against the “deep-state”, call this a “political investigation” and try to fire the chief of Shin Bet and Attorney-General who are directing the investigation. END
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אני כותב על זה שנים. תנודות דמוגרפיות בד״כ מתגלות באיחור. בגלל זה, ובשל האופי המסוגר של החברה החרדית, יש להניח שתופעת העזיבה של החברה החרדית אפילו נרחבת יותר. היא מקבילה לתופעה דומה בקרב החרדים בארה״ב שם יספר לכם כל מאכער רציני ש״אין בית שאין בו מת״. אז למה חרדים צעירים עוזבים? >
הסיבה המרכזית היא לא ״משבר אמונה״ (למרות שזה קיים). החברה החרדית לא מבוססת על אמונה. צעירים עוזבים כי המבנה של החברה החרדית שקמה לאחר השואה היה תלוי ביכולת להסתגר בפני העולם (בישראל וארה״ב) ולבנות אתוס של מיעוט על סף הכחדה שמשקם ובונה את עצמו בציפורניים לאחר חורבן השואה באירופה >
צעיר חרדי שגדל היום בקהילה גדולה ומשגשגת כבר לא חי בטראומת שואה. הוא כבר לא מוקף בניצולים. הוריו היו מנותקים מהעולם בגלל איסור החזקת טלוויזיה ועיתונים חילונים. הוא מחובר בסמרטפון שהרבנים ניסו לאסור אבל נכשלו (גם הרבנים כבר לא מה שהיו פעם) הוא חשוף לידע ובעיקר לפערים ברמת החיים >
Netanyahu’s unprecedented decision to fire Ronen Bar the head of the Shin Bet just happened to come on a day when news broke of yet another security investigation into an aide in the prime minister’s office. It won’t end at this
The attorney-general (whom the government is also trying to fire) wasn’t consulted about the firing of the head of Shin Bet. If she opposes the move due to Netanyahu’s conflict of interest with the security investigations of his aides the firing could be challenged in court >
If Bar and the AG both claim Netanyahu is trying to fire either of them because of the investigations against him the Supreme Court is likely to rule against the firings. This is the constitutional crisis which the Netanyahu government has been building up to for over 2 years now
Putting aside the fact no-one asked the Gazans, Trump’s “plan” to move them to Egypt or Jordan are non-starters as nothing will make either country accept them. But if Trump is really worried about Gaza’s reconstruction, how about expanding Gaza’s territory? That makes sense >
The Gaza Strip is an artificial & unnatural geographical unit created by Egypt in 1949 to concentrate refugees displaced by Israel. Even before being turned into rubble it desperately needed more space and there are 2 ways that can be provided. Both have been unfairly dismissed >
The 1st and most obvious way to expand the Gaza Strip is to the south-west along part of Egypt’s northern Sinai Mediterranean shore. An area Egypt has neglected for decades. The argument against this is that the Egyptians will never relinquish territory because of national pride>
A few thoughts on where Israel now stands re Syria:
In the last few months Israel was trying to use the drubbing it delivered Hizbullah in Lebanon to pressure Assad to leave the Iranian axis. It was trying to get Russia, US & Emiratis backing for this. Assad was non-committal >
Up to a few days ago this remained Israel’s objective and hope was that rebel advances would pressure Assad to do so. But the pace of the rebel advances, the rapid collapse of the Syrian army and apparent abandonment of Assad by Iran and Russia leave Israel without a strategy >
Israel’s immediate concerns in Syria are advanced and chemical weapons falling into Jihadist hands and Iran using the chaos to open a corridor for resupplying Hizbullah in Lebanon. These are already behind dealt with by air-strikes but those won’t solve the mid-term challenges >
עד ממש לא מזמן הייתי בין אלה שחשבו (וגם כתבתי) שאין דרך לגייס מספרים משמעותיים של גברים חרדים בעתיד הנראה לעין ושילוב משמעותי שלהם בנשיאה בנטל הביטחון יבוא רק בתהליך של דור שיתחיל משילוב בשוק העבודה ובשינויים במערכת החינוך החרדית. טעיתי. נוצרה כעת הזדמנות היסטורית לגיוס משמעותי >
4 סיבות להיווצרות הזדמנות היסטורית לגיוס משמעותי של חרדים. 2 בציבור הכללי. 2 בציבור החרדי. 1. נוצר קונצנזוס נדיר מאוד בציבור הלא-חרדי שחוצה מחנות, ימין ומרכז, חילונים ודתיים, שלא רק תומך בזה ברמה העקרונית, אלא שרואה בזה עכשיו עדיפות לאומית עליונה. לכן חוק השתמטות לא יכול לעבור >
2. הטיעון שהיה נכון לשעתו ש״לצה״ל אין מה לעשות עם אלפי חיילים חרדים״ חלף מהעולם מתחילת המלחמה. במציאות הביטחונית בעתיד הנראה לעין צה״ל צריך מאוד את הגברים החרדים ויידע להשתמש בהם. גם אין מחסור במפקדים דתיים בכל הדרגות שישמחו לקחת על עצמם את משימת ההכשרה וההובלה ברגישות הנדרשת >
While we’re waiting for official confirmation Sinwar is dead before writing the obituary, worth noting there’s still a dispute in Israel’s intelligence community over whether he launched October 7 attack in the knowledge of what would come next. Did he willingly sacrifice Gaza? >
There’s the view Sinwar didn’t believe the IDF would be prepared to go all the way into Gaza on the ground and ultimately after another “round” he would be able to negotiate a hostage agreement that would release 1000s of Palestinian prisoners and make him the undisputed leader >
In addition to misreading Israel’s response there’s also Sinwar’s mistake in expecting Hizbullah to go all-in with its own attack plans on northern Israel with Iran’s blessing. In this view Sinwar remains a pragmatic strategist who made 2 massive mistakes in launching October 7 >