1/ It's now only a few hours until Donald Trump makes his big tariff announcement, but nobody should think that there is any kind of plan behind it. It's all about Trump's desire for domination and long-held crank economic views.
2/ "He “likes the shock and awe,” a White House official said, and aims to capitalize on it. “Each country needs to panic and call. … Trump wants to hear you grovel and say you’ll cut a deal.”"
3/ As Paul Krugman says, "Since most of our trading partners aren’t in a groveling mood, trade war seems inevitable."
He's also right to say there's no secret agenda or 4D chess behind Trump's plan.
4/ "There can’t be any secret agenda behind the Trump tariffs, because there’s nobody around Trump with the knowledge or independence to devise such an agenda. This is all about Trump’s gut feelings."
5/ Before today's announcement comes, it's also worth reading what Krugman has written about the incoherent and contradictory economic ideas behind the Trump tariffs: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/stop-looking…
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1/ Russian warbloggers are wondering how it was possible for Ukraine to destroy the Russian border patrol ship Izumrud while it was at anchor. The vessel was reportedly hit by two Ukrainian Sargan-3000 uncrewed surface vessels (USVs). ⬇️
2/ The attack is said to have caused several "200 and 300" (deaths and injuries). The big question, as 'Informant' comments, is "How the unmanned hull craft reached the ship at its berth."
3/ 'Evil Sailor' has "some very unpleasant questions for the border guards:
1. Why was the ship stationed in one place for so long when it was necessary to constantly change its base?
2. Why was the ship stationed in a completely unprotected area?
1/ Ukraine's dominance of the 'lower sky' and its widespread use of 'waiting drones' has made large-scale Russian vehicle assaults virtually impossible. A Russian video shows numerous Ukrainian drones sitting on a road, waiting to carry out attacks on Russian forces. ⬇️
2/ Commenting on the video, the Russian medical warblogger 'Visiting Doc' dedicates it "to fans of tank breakthroughs and brutal assaults" and comments: "Low-altitude superiority is one of the main reasons why evacuation becomes a nearly impossible task."
3/ The tactic is used by both sides, but Ukraine's current dominance in drones has made it the principal user of the tactic. Both vehicles and individual soldiers are regularly targeted by 'waiters'.
1/ Crypto scammers have been targeting UK X users for the past few months with hundreds of scam adverts showing AI pictures of UK political and media figures. However, in the latest campaign, they've inadvertently given away that they're almost certainly Russians or Ukrainians.
2/ The campaign always involves AI-generated pictures of people like @Nigel_Farage and Emily @maitlis in situations of conflict and tension, with a cryptic subject lines. They're posted from blue-tick accounts ostensibly located around the world, but using VPNs.
3/ Hundreds of throw-away accounts, some registered as long ago as 2010, are being used. These have clearly been bought in bulk from cyber criminals who registered them a long time ago. Combined with the blue ticks and ad spending, some serious money is being invested in this.
1/ Ukraine's landing last week of an armed unmanned ground vehicle (UGV) on the occupied Kinburn Spit is being viewed with concern by Russian warbloggers. They warn that it shows Ukraine overtaking Russia technologically. ⬇️
2/ 'Archangel of Special Forces' writes with evident dismay:
"The "troublemakers," who previously gained notoriety for hanging a cloth on the Kinburn Peninsula using a drone and claiming control, have posted footage showing the use of an unmanned robotic vehicle (URV)."
3/ "And not just its use, but the deployment of the URV via an unmanned boat, which approached the shore, and the robotic complex then disembarked.
1/ Officials in the southwestern Russian city of Stavropol have been told to ditch their cars amidst the ongoing fuel shortage, and use bicycles instead. The move is the latest Russian attempt to save increasingly scarce fuel after Ukraine's destruction of Russian refineries. ⬇️
2/ The Governor of Stavropol, Vladimir Vladimirov, has urged officials to switch to bicycles to save fuel. He said:
"Let's start saving by ourselves. Dear heads [of departments], I urge you all. Within the city, you can get around on foot or by bicycle."
3/ "Within the district, I believe you can adjust your work plans in such a way as to minimize the consumption of gasoline and diesel fuel. Therefore, starting tomorrow, please leave your cars at home, and stop wasting the already scarce gasoline and diesel fuel."
1/ Ukraine's relentless drone campaign in the Sea of Azov and Crimea is having increasingly serious effects on Russian military operations and daily life. A gloomy report from the region highlights the impacts of the campaign.
"Over a week ago, the enemy intensified UAV attacks in Russia's internal waters of the Sea of Azov—an area where Russia’s sovereignty fully applies, meaning these events must legally be viewed as attacks on any part of our country's land territory.
3/ "After repeatedly striking tankers and other civilian vessels with drones flying at high altitudes (1–1.2 km) from the Zaporizhzhia region, the enemy launched an assault on the area of the Crimean Bridge.