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Apr 23 34 tweets 12 min read Read on X
Aspartame?

What is it? Where is it from? What does it do? Is it harmful? What do health agencies think of it?

And why might the HHS be planning to ban it from American food?

Here's the aspartame review thread🧵 Image
Aspartame is a sugary sweet synthetic molecule that's 200 times sweeter than sucrose.

More than half of the world's supply comes from Ajinomoto of Tokyo, better known for bringing the world MSG. Image
Because aspartame is so sweet, a little bit goes a long way.

The high levels of sweetness contained in very small quantities of aspartame make it ideal for making super low-calorie diet drinks like Diet Coke. Image
Chemically, aspartame is the dipeptide formed from phenylalanine and aspartic acid, with a methyl ester on the carboxylic acid of the phenylalanine residue.

Sounds scary, but describe any chemical and it'll seem just as frightening and unnatural. Image
Aspartame breaks down into 10% methanol, 40% aspartic acid, and 50% phenylalanine.

Drink a can of Diet Coke and you'll get 92mg of phenylalanine, 73.6mg of aspartic acid, and 18.4mg of methanol.

This happens fast, so it never goes into your bloodstream. Image
These chemicals aren't bad. All of them are things you get all the time from many sources.

For example, eat a single large egg, and you'll get 340mg of phenylalanine. Drink an 8 oz glass of milk? 430 mg—far more than is in a Diet Coke!

2-5% of all food protein is phenylalanine! Image
Is all that phenylalanine that you get alarming?

Not unless you have phenylketonuria, a genetic intolerance for the stuff.

You're screened for this at birth if you're born in a hospital, and you have to tailor your life around keeping it treated or bad things happen: Image
Like phenylalanine, almost everything you eat with protein in it has aspartic acid (aspartate), too.

It's not essential, meaning that if you don't eat it, your body makes it. But you are definitely eating it.

A single large egg has 34x the amount in a Diet Coke. Image
But what about methanol?

If you're studied up on your chemistry, you look at aspartame's composition and you see that the methyl ester is hydrolyzed to get methanol. Image
The enzymatic oxidation of methanol has a nasty byproduct:

Formaldehyde! A known carcinogen!Image
Don't be alarmed. Remember two things.

Firstly, "The dose makes the poison" and "Sorry, but your body actually needs a little of that poison or you will literally die."

You need formaldehyde to synthesize other amino acids and for epigenetic regulation. No formaldehyde, no DNA! Image
If you want to greatly increase your methanol intake, you'll be hard-pressed to do it with Diet Coke, which only has about 18 mg.

A serving of root veggies has 155mg. A 170g apple has 132mg. Drink wine? 17mg in a 150ml glass (a standard Diet Coke can is 355ml). Image
So, case-closed, then? Is aspartame definitely safe?

Not exactly.

Just because there's no plausible way for it to be unsafe doesn't mean that it is safe. Biology doesn't work that way, but it would be nice if it did.

But aspartame came out in 1965, so we have lots of studies!
The FDA's explanation, which they might soon get rid of, described the evidence base like so:

Basically: 'We know it's safe because the literature on this topic is huge and it says it's safe.'

They're right, but people still had trouble believing them. Image
In one famous example, Roger Walton, a psychiatrist at Northeastern Ohio Universities College of Medicine wrote a survey claiming 74/74 industry-funded studies supported aspartame's safety, but 84/91 independent studies identified health problems.

He got on 60 Minutes.Image
So, case-closed... in the other direction? Is it really unhealthy?

No. As it turns out, he was a fraud. He missed 50 peer-reviewed studies, and the "independent studies" he cited were letters to the editor, lots were not negative, and many didn't even involve aspartame! Image
But what do other countries say about aspartame? Surely there's disagreement from the other major powers that be, right?

The European Food Safety Authority considers aspartame totally safe and has documented their whole discovery process in painstaking detail. Image
Health Canada considers aspartame totally safe and has clearly communicated that its safety is established beyond a reasonable doubt. Image
The New Zealand Food Safety Authority says aspartame is safe, and that people are getting freaked out about misleading or unsubstantiated claims of harm. Image
The position of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics is that aspartame is safe.

What's more, every major independent review of the evidence (that isn't affected by fraud, like Walton's) concludes... aspartame is fine. Image
But wait: there are two groups at the WHO, and they might disagree about aspartame's safety.

These are the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and the Joint FAO/WHO Expert Committee on Food Additives (JECFA). Image
Other things under IARC's classification umbrella include

- Red meat
- Beverages hotter than 65c (149f)
- Being a barber or hairdresser
- Steroids, TRT
- Aloe Vera, gasoline, progestogen birth control, pickled vegetables, lead, and these plants you've touched a million times: Image
IARC officials have stated that this classification is highly speculative and "This shouldn’t really be taken as a direct statement that indicates that there is a known cancer hazard from consuming aspartame."

The WHO tried to explain the apparent inconsistency: Image
The IARC appeared to take a more cautious approach because they over-rate observational studies relative to experimental ones (JCEFA throws out the observational work) and considering non-credible rat studies from Italy. Image
The IARC also gave weight to some non-credible studies suggesting aspartame causes oxidative stress.

But JCEFA rightly noted: Where's the tissue damage?

And JCEFA asks: How could it possible be real when aspartame is just quickly metabolized in the gut and then gone?

Beats me!
But, the aspartame harm believers have one more tool up their sleeves:

Speculation about mechanisms.

There's no plausible mechanism for harm, but if you propose a mechanism, that's like finding support, right?

(No)
But people often do this: They'll propose some novel mechanism through which harm can occur, fail to strongly support it, and then declare we should be more cautious about some compound like aspartame.

But mechanisms are not evidence.

Now, onto the real news.

Someone at the HHS bought into some doom and gloom over aspartame.

This screenshot is from a new report, seemingly on things they might move to ban or restrict soon. Image
We've already discussed how their mechanism is wrong, but let's be clear: the proposed harms are hearsay based on, at best, correlational evidence that isn't even meta-analyzed.

It's *bad*.

And they *should* know it.
Why *should* they know it?

Because their "Scientific Reference" says and shows that aspartame is safe.

Seriously! Image
Who wrote this?

Because whoever did needs to be identified and fired.

Why? Because they're going to get Bobby Kennedy to say some nonsense based on a child's view of "scientific evidence".

And not just for aspartame, but basically *every listed chemical*.
Citing evidence *against* harm as evidence *for* harm isn't even done just once, or with aspartame only.

It happens multiple times!

For example, they cite *just an animal study* for stevia... and it finds that it's fine! Image
So, please, Bobby, find the imbecile feeding you this information and bar them from every feeding you crap again.

I want the HHS to be effective. That means actually reading whole literatures and understanding scientific evidence.

Not this.
Links:

dynomight.net/aspartame/

dynomight.net/aspartame-brou…

geneticliteracyproject.org/2025/02/03/old…

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.10…

dailycaller.com/wp-content/upl…

P.S., though I care about dyes less, the evidence on those is also not bad. Just don't inject rats with half their bodyweight in dye and they're fine, OK?

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More from @cremieuxrecueil

Nov 25
After this article came out, several people responded, alleging that a cultural model made more sense.

Clark has a point-by-point response🧵

Let's start with the first thing: parent-child and sibling correlations in status measures are identical—hard to explain culturally! Image
The reason this is hard to explain has to do with the fact that kids objectively have more similar environments to one another than to their parents.

In fact, for a cultural theory to recapitulate regression to the mean across generations, these things would need to differ! Image
Another fact that speaks against a cultural explanation is that the length of contact between fathers and sons doesn't matter for how correlated they are in status.

We can see this by leveraging the ages parents die at relative to said sons. Image
Read 10 tweets
Nov 24
The idea:

The internet gives everyone access to unlimited information, learning tools, and the new digital economy, so One Laptop Per Child should have major benefits.

The reality:

Another study just failed to find effects on academic performance. Image
This is one of those findings that's so much more damning than it at first appears.

The reason being, laptop access genuinely provides people with more information than was available to any kid at any previous generation in history.

If access was the issue, this resolves it. Image
And yet, nothing happens

This implementation of the program was more limited than other ones that we've already seen evaluations for though. The laptops were not Windows-based and didn't have internet, so no games, but non-infinite info too

Still huge access improvement though
Read 4 tweets
Nov 22
What is the effect of having a parent get locked away on a kids' own risk of eventually committing crime?

As it turns out, basically nil.

Having a mother or a father locked away doesn't significantly increase risk, and indeed, may reduce it if it happens at an early age. Image
This is relative to no incarceration, so the result should be interpreted as... pretty shocking!

Similarly, we can look at the effects of longer versus shorter parental sentences.

There's seemingly little effect of the length of time parents are incarcerated for. Image
Compare those within-family estimates from above with these between-family results from the same study, period, cohort, etc.

Notice: the apparent 'effects' between families are significant stratified in the same way.

That's an important distinction! Image
Read 5 tweets
Nov 20
Why?

I doubt the answer is weight loss. Consider 2 other drugs for diabetes: DPP-4 and SGLT-2 inhibitors

GLP-1RAs are associated with less Alzheimer's vs. DPP-4is:

But not SGLT-2is:

Neither generates much weight loss, but SGLT-2is match GLP-1RAs on glycemic benefitsImage
Image
So, at least in this propensity score- or age-matched data, there's no reason to chalk the benefit up to the weight loss effects.

This is a hint though, not definitive. Another hint is that benefits were observed in short trials, meaning likely before significant weight loss.
We can be doubly certain about that last hint because diabetics tend to lose less weight than non-diabetics, and all of the observed benefit has so far been observed in diabetic cohorts, not non-diabetic ones (though those directionally show benefits).

Anyway, trials needed!
Read 4 tweets
Nov 20
El Salvador is now a safe country

The reason why should teach us something about commitment

The government there has previously attempted crackdowns twice in the form of mano dura—hard hand—, but they failed because they didn't hit criminals hard enough

Then Bukele really didImage
In fact, previous attempts backfired compared to periods in which the government made truces with the gangs.

The government cracking down a little bit actually appeared to make gangs angrier!

You'd have been in your right to conclude 'tough on crime fails', but you'd be wrong.
You have to *actually* enforce the law or policy won't work. Same story with three-strike laws, or any other measure

Incidentally, when did the gang problems begin for El Salvador? When the U.S. exported gang members to it

This was bad for El Salvador:

Read 5 tweets
Nov 18
Diets that restrict carbohydrate consumption lead to improved blood sugar and insulin levels, as well as reduced insulin resistance.

Additionally, they're good or neutral for the liver and kidneys, and they don't affect the metabolic rate. Image
Carbohydrate isn't the only thing that affects glycemic parameters.

So does fat!

So, for example, if you replace 5% of dietary calories from saturated fat with PUFA, that somewhat improves fasting glucose levels (shown), and directionally improves fasting insulin: Image
Dietary composition may not be useful for improving the rate of weight loss ceteris paribus, but it can definitely make it easier given what else it changes.

Those non-metabolism details may be why so many people find low-carb diets so easy!

Read 4 tweets

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