Crémieux Profile picture
Apr 23, 2025 34 tweets 12 min read Read on X
Aspartame?

What is it? Where is it from? What does it do? Is it harmful? What do health agencies think of it?

And why might the HHS be planning to ban it from American food?

Here's the aspartame review thread🧵 Image
Aspartame is a sugary sweet synthetic molecule that's 200 times sweeter than sucrose.

More than half of the world's supply comes from Ajinomoto of Tokyo, better known for bringing the world MSG. Image
Because aspartame is so sweet, a little bit goes a long way.

The high levels of sweetness contained in very small quantities of aspartame make it ideal for making super low-calorie diet drinks like Diet Coke. Image
Chemically, aspartame is the dipeptide formed from phenylalanine and aspartic acid, with a methyl ester on the carboxylic acid of the phenylalanine residue.

Sounds scary, but describe any chemical and it'll seem just as frightening and unnatural. Image
Aspartame breaks down into 10% methanol, 40% aspartic acid, and 50% phenylalanine.

Drink a can of Diet Coke and you'll get 92mg of phenylalanine, 73.6mg of aspartic acid, and 18.4mg of methanol.

This happens fast, so it never goes into your bloodstream. Image
These chemicals aren't bad. All of them are things you get all the time from many sources.

For example, eat a single large egg, and you'll get 340mg of phenylalanine. Drink an 8 oz glass of milk? 430 mg—far more than is in a Diet Coke!

2-5% of all food protein is phenylalanine! Image
Is all that phenylalanine that you get alarming?

Not unless you have phenylketonuria, a genetic intolerance for the stuff.

You're screened for this at birth if you're born in a hospital, and you have to tailor your life around keeping it treated or bad things happen: Image
Like phenylalanine, almost everything you eat with protein in it has aspartic acid (aspartate), too.

It's not essential, meaning that if you don't eat it, your body makes it. But you are definitely eating it.

A single large egg has 34x the amount in a Diet Coke. Image
But what about methanol?

If you're studied up on your chemistry, you look at aspartame's composition and you see that the methyl ester is hydrolyzed to get methanol. Image
The enzymatic oxidation of methanol has a nasty byproduct:

Formaldehyde! A known carcinogen!Image
Don't be alarmed. Remember two things.

Firstly, "The dose makes the poison" and "Sorry, but your body actually needs a little of that poison or you will literally die."

You need formaldehyde to synthesize other amino acids and for epigenetic regulation. No formaldehyde, no DNA! Image
If you want to greatly increase your methanol intake, you'll be hard-pressed to do it with Diet Coke, which only has about 18 mg.

A serving of root veggies has 155mg. A 170g apple has 132mg. Drink wine? 17mg in a 150ml glass (a standard Diet Coke can is 355ml). Image
So, case-closed, then? Is aspartame definitely safe?

Not exactly.

Just because there's no plausible way for it to be unsafe doesn't mean that it is safe. Biology doesn't work that way, but it would be nice if it did.

But aspartame came out in 1965, so we have lots of studies!
The FDA's explanation, which they might soon get rid of, described the evidence base like so:

Basically: 'We know it's safe because the literature on this topic is huge and it says it's safe.'

They're right, but people still had trouble believing them. Image
In one famous example, Roger Walton, a psychiatrist at Northeastern Ohio Universities College of Medicine wrote a survey claiming 74/74 industry-funded studies supported aspartame's safety, but 84/91 independent studies identified health problems.

He got on 60 Minutes.Image
So, case-closed... in the other direction? Is it really unhealthy?

No. As it turns out, he was a fraud. He missed 50 peer-reviewed studies, and the "independent studies" he cited were letters to the editor, lots were not negative, and many didn't even involve aspartame! Image
But what do other countries say about aspartame? Surely there's disagreement from the other major powers that be, right?

The European Food Safety Authority considers aspartame totally safe and has documented their whole discovery process in painstaking detail. Image
Health Canada considers aspartame totally safe and has clearly communicated that its safety is established beyond a reasonable doubt. Image
The New Zealand Food Safety Authority says aspartame is safe, and that people are getting freaked out about misleading or unsubstantiated claims of harm. Image
The position of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics is that aspartame is safe.

What's more, every major independent review of the evidence (that isn't affected by fraud, like Walton's) concludes... aspartame is fine. Image
But wait: there are two groups at the WHO, and they might disagree about aspartame's safety.

These are the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) and the Joint FAO/WHO Expert Committee on Food Additives (JECFA). Image
Other things under IARC's classification umbrella include

- Red meat
- Beverages hotter than 65c (149f)
- Being a barber or hairdresser
- Steroids, TRT
- Aloe Vera, gasoline, progestogen birth control, pickled vegetables, lead, and these plants you've touched a million times: Image
IARC officials have stated that this classification is highly speculative and "This shouldn’t really be taken as a direct statement that indicates that there is a known cancer hazard from consuming aspartame."

The WHO tried to explain the apparent inconsistency: Image
The IARC appeared to take a more cautious approach because they over-rate observational studies relative to experimental ones (JCEFA throws out the observational work) and considering non-credible rat studies from Italy. Image
The IARC also gave weight to some non-credible studies suggesting aspartame causes oxidative stress.

But JCEFA rightly noted: Where's the tissue damage?

And JCEFA asks: How could it possible be real when aspartame is just quickly metabolized in the gut and then gone?

Beats me!
But, the aspartame harm believers have one more tool up their sleeves:

Speculation about mechanisms.

There's no plausible mechanism for harm, but if you propose a mechanism, that's like finding support, right?

(No)
But people often do this: They'll propose some novel mechanism through which harm can occur, fail to strongly support it, and then declare we should be more cautious about some compound like aspartame.

But mechanisms are not evidence.

Now, onto the real news.

Someone at the HHS bought into some doom and gloom over aspartame.

This screenshot is from a new report, seemingly on things they might move to ban or restrict soon. Image
We've already discussed how their mechanism is wrong, but let's be clear: the proposed harms are hearsay based on, at best, correlational evidence that isn't even meta-analyzed.

It's *bad*.

And they *should* know it.
Why *should* they know it?

Because their "Scientific Reference" says and shows that aspartame is safe.

Seriously! Image
Who wrote this?

Because whoever did needs to be identified and fired.

Why? Because they're going to get Bobby Kennedy to say some nonsense based on a child's view of "scientific evidence".

And not just for aspartame, but basically *every listed chemical*.
Citing evidence *against* harm as evidence *for* harm isn't even done just once, or with aspartame only.

It happens multiple times!

For example, they cite *just an animal study* for stevia... and it finds that it's fine! Image
So, please, Bobby, find the imbecile feeding you this information and bar them from every feeding you crap again.

I want the HHS to be effective. That means actually reading whole literatures and understanding scientific evidence.

Not this.
Links:

dynomight.net/aspartame/

dynomight.net/aspartame-brou…

geneticliteracyproject.org/2025/02/03/old…

tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…

journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.10…

dailycaller.com/wp-content/upl…

P.S., though I care about dyes less, the evidence on those is also not bad. Just don't inject rats with half their bodyweight in dye and they're fine, OK?

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Crémieux

Crémieux Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @cremieuxrecueil

Jan 10
Credit card rewards are a great way to redistribute billions of dollars from people who are bad with money to people who are good with it.

With the advent of rewards cards (red), there's lots of cross-subsidization of people with high credit scores by people with low scores. Image
Curiously, the degree of cross-subsidization is not just an income thing.

People with high incomes (green) and moderate incomes (yellow) take fewer rewards at low credit scores, although they take more at high credit scores. Image
What does this do demographically? Spatially?

Credit card rewards transfer money from uneducated to educated, poor to rich, Black to White, and rural to urban. Image
Read 5 tweets
Jan 7
The host of NPR's This American Life once tried to raise a pit bull with his now ex-wife.

He let the dog ruin his life🧵

He ended up getting it on Prozac and Valium, feeding it kangaroo and ostrich, and making excuses for the many times it would attack people.Image
Ira Glass' wife had a dog before they got married, but it died right before the ceremony.

That dog was a pit bull and it was a rescue, so they decided it would be good to rescue another one.

Per him, it originally came with the "slave name" Marley, which he changed to Piney. Image
Shortly after taking him home, Piney seemingly developed severe allergies to whatever he was eating.

So, Ira and his wife got him set up with a doctor. In fact, they got him set up with four doctors.

And they started spending more time cooking for the dog than for themselves. Image
Read 18 tweets
Jan 5
Pit bulls were bred to fight.

Animals in nature are not like that. Tigers and lions? They don't seek out combat. Nature doesn't seem to want to breed them into unrelenting killers.

This is why Britain banned the sport of "lion baiting"🧵 Image
The nature of "baiting" is torment.

The idea is to put large, powerful animals like bulls or lions in the ring with several dogs, and the winner lives.

The sport has existed for thousands of years. One of our first records is of Indians showing it to Alexander the Great. Image
The first record in England comes from 1610 and features King James I requesting the Master of the Beargarden—a bear training facility—to provide him with three dogs to fight a lion.

Two of the dogs died and the last escaped because the lion did not wish to fight and retreated. Image
Read 18 tweets
Jan 4
There are ZERO rich countries that haven't embraced markets. Image
You could say something like 'Ah, but this is just because the economic freedom index is constructed that way.'

No, it's not. We can all go and read how it's made. It's detailed every year. Failed excuse. Moreover, this has unintended predictive power:

fraserinstitute.org/sites/default/…Link: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2022/09/29/a-study-of-lights-at-night-suggests-dictators-lie-about-economic-growth
You could say 'Ah, but this is about sanctions.'

That makes no sense.

For one, there's no supportive pattern of sanctions. For two, you can develop in near-autarky, and before post-WW2, that was comparatively what the most developed countries were dealing with. Link: https://ourworldindata.org/extreme-poverty-in-brief
Read 4 tweets
Jan 4
How risky is it to own a pit bull?

I'm not talking fatalities, but bites, because bites are still a bad outcome and any dog who bites should be put down.

If we take the annual risk a dog bites its owner, scale it for pit bulls and Golden Retrievers, and extrapolate 30 years... Image
How do you calculate this?

Simple.

First, we need estimates of the portion of the U.S. population bitten by dogs per year. Next, to adjust that, we need the portion of those bites that are to owners. So, for overall dogs, we get about 1.5% and roughly ~25% of that.

Then, to obtain lifetime risk figures, we need to pick a length for a 'lifetime'. I picked thirty years because that's what I picked. Sue me. It's about three dog lifetimes.

P(>=1 bite) = 1-(1-p)^t
It's pure probability math. To rescale for the breed, we need estimates of the relative risk of different dog being the perpetrators of bites. We'll use the NYC DOHMH's 2015-22 figures to get the risk for a Golden Retriever (breed = "Retriever" in the dataset) relative to all other dogs, and Lee et al. 2021's figures to get the risk for a pit bull. The results don't change much just using the NYC figures, they just became significantly higher risk for the pit bulls.

To rescale 'p' for b reed, it's just p_{breed} = p_{baseline} \times RR_{breed}.

Then you plug it back into the probability of a bite within thirty years. If you think, say, pit bulls are undercounted for the denominator for their RR, OK! Then let's take that to the limit and say that every 'Black' neighborhood in New York has one, halve the risk noticed for them, and bam, you still get 1-in-5 to 1-in-2.5 owners getting bit in the time they own pit bulls (30 years).

And mind you, bites are not nips. As Ira Glass had to be informed when he was talking about his notorious pit bull, it did not just "nip" two children, it drew blood, and that makes it a bite.

Final method note: the lower-bound for Golden Retriever risk was calculated out as 0.00131%, but that rounded down to 0. Over a typical pet dog lifespan of 10-13 years, an individual Golden Retriever will almost-certainly not bite its owner even once, whereas a given pit that lives 11.5 years will have an 18-33% chance of biting, and if we use the DOHMH RRs, it's much higher. If we use the DOHMH RR and double their population, that still holds.

The very high risk of a bite associated with a pit bull is highly robust and defies the notion that '99.XXXX% won't ever hurt anyone.' The idea that almost no pit bulls are bad is based on total fatality risk and it is a farcical argument on par with claiming that Great White Sharks shouldn't be avoided because they kill so few people.

Frankly, if we throw in non-owner risk, the typical pit bull *will* hurt some human or some animal over a typical pet dog's lifespan. And because pit bulls live a little bit shorter, you can adjust that down, but the result will still directionally hold because they are just that god-awful of a breed.

Final note:

Any dog that attacks a human or another dog that wasn't actively attacking them first should be put down. That is a big part of why this matters. These attacks indicate that the dogs in question must die.
Read 4 tweets
Dec 31, 2025
The male advantage in strength is insanely large.

Even when men and women are matched on muscle, men tend to be far stronger.

Add in that men tend to be to women like what linebackers are to normal men, and you might wonder how more women aren't constantly in fear. Image
This logic applies very strongly.

Consider this: female athletes are generally weaker than average men! Image
Sex differences in strength are profound.

Sources:

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/aj…

link.springer.com/article/10.100…
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(