Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Apr 24, 2025 8 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Zelensky: If Russia is ready for a ceasefire, it must stop massive strikes on Ukraine.

Also, we reviewed Trump’s proposal in London, adjusted some minor details, and sent it back for approval.

0/
Zelensky: Trump’s team proposed a strategy for a ceasefire during London talks.

Ukraine, European countries, and the U.S. reviewed it, adjusted certain points, and created a document that's now awaiting Trump’s approval.

1/
Zelensky: Russia dislikes Ukraine’s presence in Africa and opposes normal humanitarian and economic relations between Ukraine and African nations.

Russia seeks exclusive influence not only in Africa but globally.

2/
Zelensky: Russia kidnapped thousands of Ukrainian children. Today, I handed President Ramaphosa a list of 400 names.

We seek South Africa's assistance in returning them home.

3/
Zelensky: If Russia says it's ready for a ceasefire, it must stop massive strikes on Ukraine. That's Ukrainians who have been under constant Russian attacks.

4/
Zelensky: Ukraine faces continuous Russian missile attacks.

The latest strike involved over 200 air targets, including ballistic missiles and drones, causing deaths and injuries in Kyiv and other cities.

5/
Ramaphosa: South Africa discussed expanding ties with Ukraine in agriculture, trade, education, infrastructure, and energy.

Both sides acknowledge Ukraine’s grain initiative with a hub in Mombasa, Kenya.

6/
Ramaphosa: South Africa is deeply involved in peace talks for Ukraine, including the African Peace Initiative.

It aims at an unconditional ceasefire, prisoner exchanges, and the return of children taken to Russia.

7X

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More from @Mylovanov

May 6
Putin’s meat grinder update — Russia lost 35,203 troops in April alone with almost no territorial gains to show.

More than 70,000 Russian troops were killed or wounded in just 2 months of spring. No major Ukrainian city captured. Front lines largely unchanged, United24. 1/ Image
Russia’s “spring offensive” stalled almost entirely in Donetsk.

More than 2/3 of Russian attacks are concentrated there, with losses exceeding 400 soldiers per km² while failing to fully occupy the region. 2/
Kremlin has so little to present that Russia reduced the military part of its May 9 parade.

Fewer vehicles, fewer weapons displays — while Putin even discussed a possible ceasefire around Victory Day. 3/
Read 6 tweets
May 6
Ukraine is building a Hague tribunal for Putin, Lukashenko, and Russia’s top leadership — while demanding over $1T in reparations from Russia.

Iryna Mudra, deputy head of Ukraine’s Presidential Office: “Accountability is not a subject of bargaining in peace talks,” EP. 1/ Image
Russia repeatedly demanded immunity.

During talks in 2022 and in its recent 28-point “peace plan,” Moscow pushed for lifting sanctions, ending court cases, and granting amnesty for Russian leadership and war crimes. 2/
Tribunal moves from politics to implementation. Council of Europe ministers will finalize legal creation of the court in Chisinau on May 14-15. It will operate in Hague.

Mudra: “A tribunal for Putin.” 3/
Read 12 tweets
May 6
Putin now spends weeks in bunkers, bans officials from using internet-connected phones, and fears assassination after Iran’s supreme leader was killed in a US-Israeli strike.

Russian elites increasingly discuss what happens after him, Times. 1/ Image
Kremlin fears Ukraine could track Putin through Moscow’s surveillance system.

After Israel used cameras to monitor Iranian officials, Russia restricted mobile internet across Moscow, where 250,000 CCTV cameras operate. 2/
Putin’s approval fell from 77% in December to 65% in April — the lowest since the invasion began — as war losses and economic pressure intensify. 3/
Read 8 tweets
May 6
In 1973, the Arab oil weapon worked once and broke within months. Iran built one that doesn't break.

Mines, drones, and small boats now hold 20% of global oil hostage in the Strait of Hormuz — and the US Navy has not pried them loose — Gregory Brew, Foreign Affairs. 1/ Image
20% of global oil and 20% of global LNG sit trapped in the Persian Gulf, alongside helium, aluminum, and urea.

US gasoline crossed $4 a gallon and may break $5 by late May. Global oil demand is falling for the first time since COVID. 2/
Since Feb 28, Iran has hit 20+ ships in waters around the strait — Joint Maritime Information Center.

Mines, antiship ballistic missiles, drones, and swarms of fast boats. Decades of investment, deployed with little effort. 3/
Read 10 tweets
May 6
Only one ground-launched missile in Europe reaches deep into Russia today. It is Ukrainian.

Russia's Kinzhal hits Warsaw, Berlin, Munich. From Kaliningrad — London, Paris, Rome. Europe's own answer won't arrive until the 2030s — Financial Times. 1/ Image
Trump canceled the Tomahawk deployment in Germany, but the gap predates him. Europe outsourced deep-strike to Washington for decades.

Pistorius, German defence minister, warned the cancellation would be "very unfortunate and detrimental" for Europe. 2/
DPS — missiles with 1,000–3,000km range and pinpoint targeting. They destroy a bomber on the runway, a submarine in port, a drone factory before launch.

Western military official: "You want to be able to strike a Russian drone factory before they send 500 drones at us." 3/
Read 13 tweets
May 6
One year in, 76% of voters are unhappy with Merz and their coalition. He promised to restore growth, but got Trump tariffs and an energy shock.

Yet abroad he’s taken a harder edge, openly arguing with Trump and pushing support for Ukraine, – DW. 1/ Image
Merz came in weakened. The Bundestag did not elect him on the first ballot.
Before that, he broke two promises: he cooperated with the far right on a vote, then reversed a pledge not to take on debt. 2/
Then he ran into a coalition designed to block itself.
Merz campaigned on reversing Scholz’s center-left course. The SPD’s incentive is to preserve it. The “reforms” became compromises or drafts. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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