Pekka Kallioniemi Profile picture
Apr 29 21 tweets 13 min read Read on X
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian journalist, Leonid Ragozin (@leonidragozin). He’s best-known for posing as a Russian dissident, while at the same time sneakily promoting the Kremlin’s narratives about the Russo-Ukrainian War.

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On paper, Leonid doesn’t look like your typical Kremlin apologist - he’s written and worked for prestigious Western outlets like the BBC, the Guardian, and he’s even written some Lonely Planet guides for the Baltic countries!

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But Ragozin’s public commentary often seems to walk a fine line: condemning the war while pushing narratives that shift blame, dilute responsibility, or quietly carry the same old imperial baggage Russia - or its opposition - has never truly forgotten.

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He routinely warns the West not to “humiliate Russia,” a talking point that eerily echoes Putin’s own rhetoric. I mean, if your biggest concern during a war of aggression is that the aggressor might feel offended, are you really opposing the right things?

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His framing consistently casts small, vulnerable democracies in Eastern Europe as aggressive, overreacting, or irrational — while subtly positioning Russia as a misunderstood giant, unfairly antagonized by its neighbors.

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Just before the full-scale invasion of Ukraine, Ragozin repeatedly ridiculed the idea of a potential full-scale war, called Western support for Ukraine reckless and suggested that Ukrainian sovereignty was being manipulated by NATO interests.

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In Jan 2022, Ragozin tweeted that a “full-scale Russian invasion is an extremely improbable scenario,” & compared the people who were claiming this to the antivax movement.He also called the military buildup at the border “deliberately demonstrative” & a “bluff”.He visited…
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… Mark “All russian girls want to be raped” Ames’ War Nerd Radio, where he denounced the US intelligence leaks about an imminent war, claiming that it was “Russophobia”. Ames has also been a harsh critic of Zelenskyy’s government, and also denied any chance of invasion.

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He also dismissed Ukraine’s post-Maidan politics as “nationalist” and “alienating to Russians,” a take that grossly misrepresents a country fighting for its right to exist. Leonid seems more focused on the feelings of Russians than on the survival of Ukrainians.

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Worth mentioning that right after emigrating to Latvia in 2013, Ragozin published an article ambitiously titled “Ukraine protests: The view from Moscow”. There, he rants about “problems faced by the Russians in Ukraine,” “the danger posed by the Ukrainian nationalists,”…

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…and the “artificial nature of Ukraine’s borders.” Again, all this could’ve come directly from a Kremlin-funded media. Ragozin even blamed Ukraine for the anti-semitic pogroms in Dagestan that took place in 2024 after the 7 Oct Hamas terrorist attack.

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But none of this is new. Already back in 2014, just 2 days after the MH17 tragedy, Leonid published an article in English titled “Who is responsible for the MH-17 tragedy?” where he simply chose to speculate on “versions of the tragedy”, even gesturing towards Ukraine.

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Leonid sees Ukrainian “Nazis” absolutely everywhere. Based on his tweets, one could even come to a conclusion that Ukraine is at the brink of falling into the hands of the evil Banderites — who for some reason have never passed 3% popularity in Ukrainian elections.

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In one of his op-eds for bne IntelliNews, Ragozin emphasized Hungary’s efforts in “promoting peace” for Ukraine, and framed the evil Anglo-Saxon leaders as warmongers who sabotaged all peace efforts with Russia - as if any treaties with Russia could ever be trusted.

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And Leonid still has a hard time believing any imperialistic tendencies of Putin. According to him, Russia’s not fighting for territory, but for new red lines that would stop NATO’s eastward expansion in the future. But this simply isn’t true, as Russia is currently…

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…in full war economy, their education system has been transformed into a fascist brainwashing machine, they’re force-recruiting soldiers from occupied regions, and they’re provenly collaborating with North Korean and Chinese soldiers in their barbaric invasion.

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For someone who claims to be hunted by the regime, Leonid still seems to find a way to visit his beloved home country. He’s made hundreds of trips to Russia since 2014, and he was there even when the full-scale invasion started (flew in on 17 Feb, left on 3 Mar).

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And that’s not all - through 2020, Ragozin worked for Vremya, a newscast described as the “flagship propaganda outlet” of Russia. For being a harsh critic of the Kremlin, Leonid had no trouble working for this state-funded propaganda mill.

Makes you wonder, eh?

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We don’t need more Russian commentators telling us that Estonia is overreacting, that Ukraine is being divisive, or that NATO is to blame. We need voices committed to defending democracy and Ukraine’s sovereignty — not to protecting Russia’s reputation.

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To conclude: Ragozin is a classic case of a Russian “dissident” - someone who seemingly criticizes Putin’s barbaric invasion, yet at the same time telegraphs his willingness to help the country in its “patriotic struggle”.

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The 2nd edition of “Vatnik Soup — The Ultimate Guide to Russian Disinformation” is officially out!

You can order your copy here:

kleart.eu/webshop/p/vatn…

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More from @P_Kallioniemi

Sep 11
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll cover the agenda-setting and flood of disinformation that spread on X and other platforms right after Charlie Kirk’s assassination. It’s far from the first or last time a tragedy has been weaponized for political purposes.

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Every major political event, especially those involving violence, attracts massive attention. In the immediate aftermath, reliable information is scarce, making it highly vulnerable to both coordinated and improvised disinformation campaigns.

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As I’ve mentioned in my previous soups and lectures, in disinformation campaigns, being first with a narrative is crucial, as people often remember the first version best — psychology studies show it sets the mental schema, and later updates rarely overwrite it.

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Read 19 tweets
Sep 8
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce American social media personality David Freeman, AKA Gunther Eagleman™ (@GuntherEagleman). He’s best known for spreading political disinformation on X and shamelessly sucking up to Trump, Putin, and other authoritarian leaders.

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David is a textbook example of someone profiting from MAGA grievance politics. He uses extreme, provocative language to farm engagement on X and never hesitates to flatter anyone who might give him more exposure — or money.

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But David wasn’t always like this. At some point, in his mid-40s, he even tried a real job: he trained to become a cop. He spent three years with the Metro Transit PD, but after that he either got fired or quit, and never looked back.

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Read 24 tweets
Sep 5
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Russian-Estonian businessman, Oleg Ossinovski. He is best-known for his deep ties to Russian rail and energy networks, shady cross-border dealings, and for channeling his wealth into Estonian politics.

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Oleg made his fortune via Spacecom Trans & Skinest Rail, both deeply tied to Russia’s rail system. Most of this is through Globaltrans Investments PLC, a Cyprus-based firm with 62% held via Spacecom and tens of millions in yearly profits.

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Ossinovski’s Russian-linked ventures made him Estonia’s richest man in 2014, with an estimated fortune of ~€300M. His business empire stretched across railways, oil via Alexela shares, and Russian bitumen imports from Help-Oil, a supplier to the Defense Ministry.

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Read 15 tweets
Sep 2
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll introduce a Swiss/French writer, Alain Bonnet, aka Alain Soral (@officielsoral). He’s best known for his rabid antisemitism and for his pathetic support for all the worst authoritarian regimes from Russia to North Korea.

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Alain’s childhood was problematic, as his father has been characterized as a “narcissistic pervert” who beat his children and did jail time for fraud. Alain himself has said he was “programmed to be a monster.” Born Alain Bonnet, he took the stage name of his sister,…

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… actress Agnès Soral. She wasn’t too happy about this, commenting “How would you like to be called Agnès Hitler?”. Like many grifters, he became a pick-up/seduction artist writer, à la late Gonzalo Lira, writing books and even making a B-movie, “Confessions d’un dragueur”.
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Read 23 tweets
Aug 18
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll explain the Alaska Fiasco and how it marks the peak of Trump’s two-year betrayal of Ukraine. What was sold as “peace talks” turned into a spectacle of weakness, humiliation, empty promises, and photo-ops that handed Putin exactly what he wanted.

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Let’s start with the obvious: Trump desperately wants the gold medal of the Nobel Peace Prize, mainly because Obama got one. That’s why he’s now LARPing as a “peace maker” in every conflict: Israel-Gaza, Azerbaijan-Armenia, India-Pakistan, and of course Ukraine-Russia.

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Another theory is that Putin holds kompromat — compromising material such as videos or documents — that would put Trump in an extremely bad light. Some have suggested it could be tied to the Epstein files or Russia’s interference in the 2016 US presidential election.

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Read 25 tweets
Aug 11
In today’s Vatnik Soup, I’ll talk about engagement farming: a cynical social media tactic to rack up likes, shares, and comments. From rage farming to AI-powered outrage factories, engagement farming is reshaping online discourse and turning division into profit.

1/23 Photo by JULIE OLIVER /Postmedia
Engagement farming is a social media tactic aimed at getting maximum likes, shares, and comments, with truth being optional. It thrives on provocative texts, images, or videos designed to spark strong reactions, boost reach, and turn online outrage into clicks and cash.

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One subset of engagement farming is rage farming: a tactic built to provoke strong negative emotions through outrageous or inflammatory claims. By triggering anger or moral outrage, these posts often generate 100s or even 1,000s of heated comments, amplifying their reach.

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Read 24 tweets

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