DataRepublican (small r) Profile picture
May 5, 2025 16 tweets 6 min read Read on X
🚨 DECIPHERING NED DROP 1️⃣: WHAT IS? "DEMOCRATIC BACKSLIDING" 🗳️

The National Endowment for Democracy (NED) is a U.S. taxpayer-funded NGO with active members of Congress on its board. While it presents itself as a promoter of democracy, in practice it has long served as a front for the CIA, carrying out foreign influence operations that would be politically or legally unacceptable if done directly by U.S. intelligence.

As I've documented extensively in threads and on Substack, NED also works closely with George Soros's network of NGOs and has largely adopted his ideological agenda, especially overseas.

They publish an academic journal, NED Journal of Democracy, which is extremely revealing.Image
The New World Order- that is, the world order that dominated since the Cold War- is based on the concept of "Open Society" versus "Closed Society."

Peace and national security is not measured in terms of absence of war or violence, but in terms of how many countries are an "Open Society."

It doesn't matter if a country elected their own leader in a democratic or peaceful way. If they are not an "Open Society," they are a "Closed Society" and thus an enemy.

It is a binary worldview, binary mindset.Image
Under the same binary worldview, assimilation of other nations as Open Societies is the top priority of foreign policy. Which means- pouring massive amounts of foreign aid into them (and NGOs). And military intervention if that fails, as with Afghanistan or Iraq.
Remember, this worldview is strongly binary. They cannot suffer other opinions to exist. If you oppose foreign aid, or oppose military interventions for regime change, you are a member of a "Closed Society" and thus the enemy. This makes MAGA-style populism just as big a threat as Russia, if not worse.
And this is the thrust of NED. They are ostensibly the CIA front and should be spending their time discussing other nations. But in reality, they spend as much time discussing how to handle dissident opinions in the USA as they do. They see MAGA as a national security threat.
If this scares you, good. It should. This is what most of intelligence and Congress supports.

This is the reason why our infrastructure crumbles, our health care system decays, SS goes bankrupt, but they keep insisting on sending foreign aid.

They don't care about Americans because Americans are their enemy.
Now, NED and other Open Society aligned groups have their own set of vocabulary. It will be through these drops that I will slowly decipher the vocabulary.

Let's start off with the most simple- 99% of the time, they don't refer to themselves as "Open Society." Instead, it's "pro-democracy" or "Western."
With that in hand, we'll look at the first article of the day today... "Misunderstanding Democratic Backsliding", by Thomas Carothers and Brendan Hartnett, published in the Journal of Democracy, Volume 35, Number 3, July 2024. Image
"Backsliding" is used a lot in these journals, especially when talking about the post-Trump United States.

What does it mean?

You might think it refers to things like election fraud, political violence, or coups. Sometimes it does. But just as often, "backsliding" is used to describe perfectly legal, democratic elections... simply because the winner isn’t to the liking of global elites, NGOs, or foreign-policy circles, including CIA/NED.
Here's a quote which indirectly defines backsliding: "The onus for backsliding belongs on those leaders who gain power for a wide range of reasons... but then once in power relentlessly amass unconstrained power by overriding countervailing institutions and undercutting basic democratic norms and procedures."

Note the keywords "overriding countervailing institutions." That's NED and Soros-speak for themselves. Backsliding happens when people elect populist, America-first leaders or vote against corruption.Image
This is a definition that is used almost universally across universities, media, and foreign policy officials. They have effectively re-defined democracy to mean themselves and their network of NGOs.

Trump's election and re-election means the United States is "backsliding." Doesn't matter if he was democratically elected- he is automatically an enemy of democracy because he isn't for Open Societies.Image
Also from the article: "Backsliding is less about a failure of democracy to deliver than about a failure of democracy to constrain — that is, to curb the predatory political ambitions and methods of certain elected leaders."

Translation: Democracy is backsliding when courts, media, NGOs, and bureaucracies fail to stop elected populists from exercising their mandate.Image
Think a minute about what that means. NED / CIA is outright saying that in order to save democracy, you have to use anti-democratic approaches to subvert the will of the people.

They're actively writing articles about how to take away our vote, how to ban the Republican party, and so on.

As I've said many times, active members of Congress sit on NED. This is is what our politicians think of us. They hate us to their core.
The article proposes a barrage of media coverage, NGOs, courts to stop backsliding.

Sounds a lot like exactly what is happening today. Image
🔥 Think about what this really means.

NED is openly arguing that to "protect democracy," we must override democratic elections, weaken voter power, and use unelected institutions to block political outcomes they don't like.

They are publishing articles on:
🔹Whether to end voting rights for populists,
🔹How to ban anti-establishment parties, and
🔹How to channel foreign money into media and NGOs that manipulate the political process.

These strategies are being funded and implemented globally on your tax dollars, and it is also happening right here in the United States.

Members of Congress sit on NED's board. This is how our political class thinks.

Let it sink in: They do not want you to choose your leaders. And when you vote the "wrong" way, they call it backsliding, and look for ways to stop it.

In short, they despise you. And if you despise them back, you are the threat to democracy. 🧨

This ends Drop 1️⃣, but more to come. 🧵end
Final note, if you think I'm being sensational... then you have a short memory. Image

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More from @DataRepublican

Mar 10
. @DOGE_GSA FYI, seems like our taxpayer money pays for Punchbowl News subscriptions? Image
@DOGE_GSA Punchbowl News ads brag about 65,000 weekly impressions. That is laughably low.

That also means: they literally launder access between corporations and Congress / other policymakers. Image
@DOGE_GSA What does it cost to place an ad in their newsletter? A mere $210,000 !

To show how ridiculous this is ... the "Promote" button right here on X says I can achieve 75,000 impressions for $500.

This is access laundering. Plain and simple. Image
Read 8 tweets
Mar 10
. @PunchbowlNews would you like to comment on this business model I've reversed engineered of how you keep @LeaderJohnThune in line? Image
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderJohnThune Punchbowl, would you also like to comment on how virtually every major sponsor of yours has donated to John Thune for a total of 1.2 million?

@AndrewDesiderio , any comments? Image
@PunchbowlNews @LeaderJohnThune @AndrewDesiderio By the way ... the only people who are sponsoring me on this are my $3/month subscribers. I don't know any heavy hitter here who's been approached to go against SAVE America Act.

John Thune is your paid influencer.

This is the mother of all projections.
Read 11 tweets
Mar 10
I'd been looking at PAC contributions when I should have been looking at the people who actually have daily access to the Capitol - the media. The true lobbyists.

Punchbowl News represents a whole lot of powerful industries and they are unflinching admirers of Senate Majority Leader John Thune.

John Thune is the "paid influencer ecosystem." 𝕏 merely exposed how that machinery works in the Senate.

Just look at the posts of @AndrewDesiderio , their senior Senate "correspondent." Almost every single one is about defeating the SAVE America Act and praising Thune.

Punchbowl isn't shy about where their money comes from. Founder Jack Sherman himself admitted that 90% of Punchbowl's revenue is from "corporate sponsorships." They made 10 million dollars in revenue their first year... what kind of "journalist" company pulls that off?

The podcast featuring them outright describes their business model as getting their money from "sponsorships bought by trade groups and companies looking to get their public affairs messaging in front of those making and influencing policy."

Punchbowl got in ethical hot water when they treated a whole bunch of lobbyists to luxury box seats at a NFL game.

If you want to know why SAVE America Act is being slow-walked...

Start with @PunchbowlNews .Image
Image
Image
. @AndrewDesiderio do you want to share which of your employer's clients are against the SAVE America Act, or should I figure it out myself? Image
Thune access timeline documented: Five distinct confirmed Punchbowl-Thune interactions between Sept. 2025 and March 2026, including two Fly Out Day appearances. Punchbowl's Feb. 26, 2026 piece declaring the "talking filibuster dead" was the key conventional wisdom-setting event, published before Trump's March 9 ultimatum, using Thune's framing and characterizing SAVE Act supporters as a caucus "tearing itself apart."
Read 8 tweets
Mar 9
🛰️ New Article: Building an OSINT Pipeline to Cut Through the Iranian Conflict Noise.

SPOILER ALERT: We're winning.

I just published a long-form analysis on the Iran conflict and the strategic dynamics around it. Sorry for the Substack-only publication; the article itself was far too long and complex in formatting to publish with 𝕏 tooling. (Feedback to the 𝕏 team - if you can just make full Markdown capability, I would be thrilled.)

Before anything else: I'm only a civilian data analyst, not a military officer or intelligence professional. This piece is the result of two weeks of intensive work where I did something unusual.... I built and experimented with an AI-assisted OSINT synthesis pipeline using military doctrine, think tank research, and public reporting.

Part of the goal was to produce something useful for readers.

But honestly, the bigger goal was education for myself, forcing a structured process to sort signal from noise in an information environment that's chaotic right now.

The pipeline pulls from sources like CSIS, ISW, CEPA, ISIS nuclear reporting, CENTCOM and IDF briefings, plus open-source economic and energy data. Where I step beyond what those sources explicitly state, I mark it clearly as [ASSESSED] and try to show the reasoning.

This article is the first full output of that process.

If you have expertise in:
🔹 air campaign planning
🔹 nuclear nonproliferation
🔹 Middle East security policy
🔹 energy markets
🔹 OSINT methodology

I would genuinely welcome corrections, critiques, or improvements. The entire point is to make the analytical process more rigorous over time.

The pipeline itself will keep evolving. Bring on the rotten tomatoes.

Link in next post 👇
Have fun spotting the Tom Nichols mention!
Read 4 tweets
Feb 27
🧵WOLF IN SHEEP'S CLOTHING: Meet David Pascoe, candidate for SC Attorney General. He's running as a Republican. But is he actually a Democrat?

Joe Biden is in South Carolina today.

Which makes this the perfect moment to introduce you to David Pascoe, candidate for SC Attorney General, running as a Republican, and what he said about Joe Biden in January 2020:

"He is the most decent man I have ever met in American politics. Joe has been a role model of mine for many years. He is someone my sons look up to. Joe is the first and only candidate I have ever endorsed for public office."

That's not only a Democrat who voted for Biden. That's a Democrat who hosted Biden's campaign fundraiser at his own annual oyster roast, endorsed him for president, and was Biden's frontrunner to become US Attorney for South Carolina.

David Pascoe spent 20+ years as an elected Democrat, 6 consecutive terms as SC First Circuit Solicitor. He pushed DEI-style racial quota systems for SC judges as recently as December 2023. Six months before his "conversion," he endorsed a Democratic state rep who voted against banning gender procedures on minors.

And here are the receipts. 👇

As always, patience as I pull together this thread.Image
David Pascoe spent 20+ years as an elected Democrat, 6 consecutive terms as SC First Circuit Solicitor. On April 10, 2025, he switched to the GOP. SC Dem Chair Christale Spain says he "has been trying to find a lane to run for higher office." Image
Image
Pascoe switched parties in April 2025.
Pascoe launched his AG campaign in August 2025.
That's 4 months, in a state where no Democrat has won a statewide race since 2006.
You do the math. Image
Image
Read 20 tweets
Feb 27
If you're a subscriber, enter your oppo research request below! I haven't scaled it out yet, so can only do about 3 a day. It also helps if you pair a name with a focus (e.g., investigate connections to so-and-so entity)

I'll prioritize the requests with highest likes.
John Thune report here, next up is Gavin Newsom and Tina Kotek:
drive.google.com/file/d/1RURJvF…
Read 4 tweets

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