💬 How Malaysia’s Flawed Inter-Ministry Coordination Will Derail Our Balancing Strategy:🧵
1. The Huawei AI chip episode reveals a deeper weakness in 🇲🇾’s balancing strategy. It exposes a troubling structural flaw, that is the weak inter-ministry & inter-agency coordination.
2. By all appearances, 🇲🇾 is striving to position itself as a neutral yet strategic player amid intensifying US-China tech rivalry. It has welcomed foreign investment from both sides, courted digital partnerships with 🇺🇸 tech giants, and opened doors to 🇨🇳 AI & 5G technologies.
3. Malaysian government initially declared it would implement 3,000 Huawei Ascend GPU-powered AI servers nationwide by 2026, positioning itself as the first country to adopt this technology at a national scale. malaymail.com/amp/news/malay…
4. This move would have represented a significant win for Chinese tech influence in Southeast Asia at a time when the US is actively working to contain China’s global AI expansion.
5. Within a day of the announcement, Malaysian officials abruptly withdrew Deputy Communications Minister Teo Nie Ching’s statements without offering any explanation for the reversal.
6. The incident follows recent US Commerce Department guidance warning that using Huawei’s Ascend chips "anywhere in the world” could potentially violate American export controls.
7. Malaysia’s strength lies in its ability to navigate between the U.S. and China without aligning too closely with either. But that strategy only works if policy is clear, consistent, and credible. Poor inter-ministerial coordination erodes all pillars.
8. Impact on @tzafrul_aziz Tariff and Trade Talks
As Minister of Investment, Trade, and Industry (MITI), Tengku Zafrul Abdul Aziz has been trying to secure preferential tariff arrangements with the US. These negotiations depend heavily on predictability and coherence.
9. Key players like the US Trade Representative’s Office might question Malaysia’s ability to uphold digital trade standards or protect intellectual property if ministries contradict one another.
10. In short, Zafrul's efforts could be undermined not by external opposition, but by internal chaos.
This isn’t just an administrative hiccup, but a strategic liability. This lack of coherent direction sends the worst possible message to investors & strategic partners alike.
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🧵SAARC and Why It’s So Useless: An Exploration of Regionalism Without Results
1. The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation was established in 1985 with high hopes of fostering economic & regional integration among South Asian nations.
2. Comprised of 8 member states—Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka—SAARC was envisioned as a platform for cooperation on trade, development, culture & mutual security in one of the most densely populated & diverse regions of the world.
3. Nearly four decades later, the dream has largely turned into a diplomatic dead-end. SAARC’s relevance has diminished to the point that many regard it as ineffective, if not entirely obsolete.
💬How the India-Pakistan conflict may boost the 🇵🇰 Prime Minister’s popularity despite ongoing scandals, political controversies, and the enduring influence of Imran Khan:🧵👇
🇵🇰🇮🇳
1. As tensions between 🇮🇳 & 🇵🇰 flare onceSharif, this time over cross-border strikes & Kashmir-related rhetoric, the domestic political scene in 🇵🇰 is seeing a surprising shift.
🌎💬 How Russia's 🇷🇺 betrayal pushed Armenia 🇦🇲 into Western sphere of influence 🧵
1. Despite Armenia's membership in the Russian-led CSTO, Russia failed to provide decisive support during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war and subsequent skirmishes. This led to widespread-
dissatisfaction within Armenia, where many believe Russia prioritized its ties with Azerbaijan and Turkey over its obligations to Armenia. Moreover, Azerbaijan launched a military offensive in Sept 2023, leading to the capitulation of Nagorno-Karabakh's Armenian authorities and-
the exodus of its Armenian population. Russia’s peacekeepers were again criticized for their inaction, and many Armenians viewed this as the final act of abandonment.