Geopolitical Analyst | Military, History Enthusiast | Reservist Soldier | Speedcuber | Law Student
🇺🇦🇹🇼🇵🇸🇺🇸🇪🇺🇵🇱🇽🇰
#NAFO
Jun 21 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
🇷🇺 Why Russia Needs the Nagorno-Karabakh Conflict to Stay UNRESOLVED:
Russia has long used the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict not to solve it, but to freeze it just enough to maintain leverage over Armenia and Azerbaijan. Here's an in-depth explanation as to WHY: 👇 1/ 🇷🇺 doesn’t solve conflicts, it manages them just enough to be indispensable.
In Nagorno-Karabakh, 🇷🇺 sells weapons to both 🇦🇲 & 🇦🇿 and positions itself as the only viable “neutral” mediator, while using the unresolved status to justify a military presence in the region.
Jun 21 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
💬 Turkey’s Neo-Ottoman Diplomacy: From Imperial Nostalgia to Strategic Brokerage 🇹🇷
Turkey is no longer just a regional actor reacting to events, it’s actively trying to shape the architecture of post-imperial Eurasia. Here's why...🧵 1/ For decades, Turkish foreign policy oscillated between Kemalist isolationism and Western integrationism. But under Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, it has transformed into something more ambitious, and more fluid.
Jun 21 • 11 tweets • 3 min read
💬 What does Pashinyan's official visit to Turkey means for Russian influence and peace in the Caucasus?
This could be a watershed moment in both Caucasus diplomacy and the geopolitical power struggle between Russia and the West.
Let's break it down...👇 1/ A Diplomatic Shockwave: Armenia Reaches Out to an Old Enemy
This visit is symbolically enormous because relations have long been poisoned by events such as Turkish support for Azerbaijan in the Nagorno-Karabakh wars.
Jun 15 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
🇮🇷 💬 The Flawed Logic Behind Justifying Iran’s Nuclear Ambitions By The Less Informed🧵
1. The logic that 🇮🇱 repeated attacks on 🇮🇷 justify Tehran’s pursuit of nuclear weapons is emotionally persuasive to some, but breaks down under closer scrutiny. Here's why...👇 2. It relies on a dangerously flawed moral equivalence and ignores the broader implications of legitimizing nuclear ambitions based on grievance politics.
“If one bad actor has nuclear weapons, then another bad actor should be allowed to as well.”
May 23 • 9 tweets • 3 min read
[HISTORY] How the US Took Over the Global Pistachio Market & the Violent History Behind It:🧵
1/ From pistachio cakes to Dubai chocolates, pistachios have become a global food obsession. What was once a niche Middle Eastern nut has now become a symbol of luxury across the world. 2/ But behind this growing popularity lies a darker, lesser-known history: the violent, geopolitically charged story of how the US muscled its way to the top of the global pistachio trade, displacing Iran, the original heartland of pistachio cultivation.
May 23 • 12 tweets • 3 min read
💬 How Malaysia’s Flawed Inter-Ministry Coordination Will Derail Our Balancing Strategy:🧵
1. The Huawei AI chip episode reveals a deeper weakness in 🇲🇾’s balancing strategy. It exposes a troubling structural flaw, that is the weak inter-ministry & inter-agency coordination.
2. By all appearances, 🇲🇾 is striving to position itself as a neutral yet strategic player amid intensifying US-China tech rivalry. It has welcomed foreign investment from both sides, courted digital partnerships with 🇺🇸 tech giants, and opened doors to 🇨🇳 AI & 5G technologies.
May 16 • 10 tweets • 3 min read
🧵SAARC and Why It’s So Useless: An Exploration of Regionalism Without Results
1. The South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation was established in 1985 with high hopes of fostering economic & regional integration among South Asian nations. 2. Comprised of 8 member states—Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Maldives, Nepal, Pakistan and Sri Lanka—SAARC was envisioned as a platform for cooperation on trade, development, culture & mutual security in one of the most densely populated & diverse regions of the world.
May 11 • 13 tweets • 3 min read
💬How the India-Pakistan conflict may boost the 🇵🇰 Prime Minister’s popularity despite ongoing scandals, political controversies, and the enduring influence of Imran Khan:🧵👇
🇵🇰🇮🇳 1. As tensions between 🇮🇳 & 🇵🇰 flare onceSharif, this time over cross-border strikes & Kashmir-related rhetoric, the domestic political scene in 🇵🇰 is seeing a surprising shift.
🌎💬 How Russia's 🇷🇺 betrayal pushed Armenia 🇦🇲 into Western sphere of influence 🧵
1. Despite Armenia's membership in the Russian-led CSTO, Russia failed to provide decisive support during the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war and subsequent skirmishes. This led to widespread-
dissatisfaction within Armenia, where many believe Russia prioritized its ties with Azerbaijan and Turkey over its obligations to Armenia. Moreover, Azerbaijan launched a military offensive in Sept 2023, leading to the capitulation of Nagorno-Karabakh's Armenian authorities and-