1) CDC & Biobot wastewater surveillance both show the West region in an apparent uptick in C19 transmission.
Here's the graph of regional transmission from CDC data with the West in green:
Here's the graph of regional transmission from CDC data with the West in green:
2) This image zooms in on the West (green line) so you can see the apparent departure from the C19 lull more easily.
3) Biobot still provides national & regional C19 updates. They usually post sometime between Thursday morning & Saturday evening. IMO, their most recent data point can be viewed as the Wednesday of the prior week.
Like the CDC, they have an apparent uptick in the West (green).
Like the CDC, they have an apparent uptick in the West (green).
4) Here's the Zoom in on Biobot's C19 uptick in the West (green).
5) The CDC & Biobot data have long been *extremely* consistent at the national level, w/minor variation due to the specific sites sampled.
Right now, Biobot is running just a bit cooler than CDC. People sometimes wonder if the CDC would juke these stats. No evidence of that.
Right now, Biobot is running just a bit cooler than CDC. People sometimes wonder if the CDC would juke these stats. No evidence of that.
6) Overall, the data suggest it won't be long before we exit a lull. If lucky, levels will bounce around a bit longer before rising predictably.
My best guess is a late-Aug peak, but it's still much too early to say. Keep an eye on the West.
My best guess is a late-Aug peak, but it's still much too early to say. Keep an eye on the West.
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