Richard Vereker Profile picture
Jun 7, 2025 9 tweets 4 min read Read on X
1) With so much news coming from the war, this almost feels redundant, but here is my update🧵on Russia Tank losses, again T-80s losses out numbered T-72s, but not by as much as the last few months, T-90 losses are stedy, but T-62 Losses are down. Image
2) The first graph does not include 'Unknown Tank' which have been increasing and were over 25% in May (Black in this graph) this adds an extra layer of uncertainty on this, but I will persevere anyway. Image
3) T-90 losses, Q2 has so far only been T-90Ms. I don't know how many T-90As are left, but I suspect its very few now, the rest having been destroyed or upgraded to T-90M, but possibly some that have been forgotten. Image
4) T-80s: For the last few months 70% of T-80 losses have been the Obr 2022 variants (gray) most of the rest are BV or BVM, (orange) there may still be an ocatianly U (blue) out there left as well! Image
5) T-72s, similarly to the T-80s most of these 70% are T-72B3 Obr 2022 (green) or the 1 Obr 2025 which I have added to the Obr 2022s for simplicity. also there has been a rise in the very old T-72s, don't know if this is a blip or a trend yet. Image
6) I've simplified the T-62 Graph, putting all the Obr 2022s together, and in may they were 100% of the losses of T-62s. this might be an outlier. However the bigger story is why are total T-62 losses down, from 22% in december to 10% now. I don't know, I would like to think that they have run out of reparable T-62s and maybe that's true, but its not a safe conclusion to run to, perhaps the Russian have decided they are not worth the effort?

It might be that they are overrepresented in the 'Unknow Tank' category. or just a blip. Id be interested in other theories insiders knowledge.Image
7) The IFV to Tank loss ratio was almost exactly 3 in may, down form its peek in December, but up from were it was for the fist 2 1/2 years of the war. Image
8) A big thank you as always to the amazing people @WarSpotting for collating this data and making it available. here is the data table I use.

Also please can I ask a favour of any person form the UK reading this, please can you sine this petition created by @RossRitchie12 we really should be given Ukraine everything we can, and I'm sure they will appreciate 600 IFVs even if they are a bit old.
petition.parliament.uk/petitions/7191…Image
@WarSpotting @RossRitchie12 9) Also for those asking, I will defiantly be adding the 13 from the train to the tables. (If they can be identified and added to warspoting.) however if they are all from the same type they might skew the losses a bit so that caviate needs to be remembered.

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More from @verekerrichard1

Oct 25, 2025
1) Russian Artillery losses have changed, for most of the war, there have been far more SPGs than Towed artillery, that started to change earlier this year and now its about 2/3 Towed guns. Image
2) Also the calibers of the lost Russian artillery has also changed, at the start about 2/3 of the losses were the standard 152mm guns Dark Blue). that has steadily decreased, and now represent just 11% of the total, mostly displaced by 122mm. Image
3) I don't know why the change is being observed. Visually observed Losses are not necessarily an exact reflection of what is being used. However, in absence of other methods/modales I'm putting this out in graph form, as it may be the best proxy we have, so long as we understand its limitations.
Read 4 tweets
Oct 18, 2025
1) There has been a notable increase of Russian T-54/55 destroyed recently as a share of total Russian Tank losses as recorded by @WarSpotting while still modist, only 4 tanks, it's still a noteworthy increase, a short 🧵 Image
2) There have been 88 total Russian tank losses over 3 months, but of these a quarter 22 have been of Unknown Type. Therefor, of the 66 lost tanks of Known types, the 4 T-54/55s represent 6% A small share, but not negligible, as they have been up to now. Image
3) All 4 of the losses have been Geo located, 2 of them are in Donetsk Oblast, one in Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and I think the most recent 'Sudxha raion' is in Russia, if i'm not mistaken. It's possible that its one Russian unit that's been moved about, But I don't think so. Image
Read 6 tweets
Oct 14, 2025
1) More Russian IFV/APC losses added in the last 24 hours (16) to @WarSpotting than happened all of September combined. (14) Image
2) I don't have any inside knowledge of Russian tactics, and 'loss analysis' always has limitations, so recognising those limitations, I'm not going to say why this is. But those that are suggesting that Russia might have stopped supporting small assaults with IFVs and instead are now doing small numbers of larger assaults, might be right.
3) One interesting thing is that of the 25 IFV/APC losses over half 13 are MT-LBs, mostly used as a rather simple APC.

Use of MT-LBs are a proportion of total losses has been increasing, Over 40% in sep (midpoint of 3 month average) again I don't know why, but interesting. Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 4, 2025
1) A 🧵on Russian tank losses. In September russian losses returned to a more normal distribution, T-80s and T-72 each make up about 1/3 of losses, most of the rest are T-62s, and T-90s stay in the 5-10% range. Image
2) T-90 losses are now exclusively T-90Ms, only 2 T-90As have been lost this year, the last in April. This reinforces my long held assumption that Russia has been upgrading there T-90As to T-90Ms, And probably means they are now few if any T-90As left, new T-90M production is probably back to 60-80 a year.Image
3) T-80 losses have not shown any big recent change, but Unmodernised T-80BV (Dark Blue) continue to become less common, and ether T-80BVM Orb 2022 or Orb 2022s of unknown (BV or BVM) modle, (yellow and light blue) together now make up over half the total. Image
Read 6 tweets
Sep 26, 2025
1) Russian tank loss update, while most of our attention is on the stunning Ukraine offensive against Russia Oil refining; Russia continues to lose tank. Russia is still losing a lot of very old T-62 Tanks, but the proportion is down over the last 2 months. Image
2) this striking chart is perhaps the big news from this months Russi losses, it shows the ratio of Tanks to IFVs, we have gone form 2-3 IFV/APCs for each tank lost to less than half an IFV/APC to each tank lost. Image
3) That's because the number of IFV/APC losses, (yellow) has dropped dramatically. Transport losses however are up, and most others are about normal for this point in the month. Image
Read 4 tweets
Sep 21, 2025
1) Dramatic change in the make up of Russia losses this month. A big drop in the proportion (and absotte numbers) of IFV/APC losses (Light Blue) and rise in the proportion of Truck losses (light yellow near top) also some increase in tank proportion (dark yellow at bottom) Image
2) Here in table format, only 6 IFV/APCs (yellow) but 37 transport (orange).

I dont know whats driving this change, but I think it's too large to be random. my first thought/theory is that it might be related to the 'point' system that Ukrainian Drone forces operate under. Image
3) Here is a graph format, comparing tank to IFV/APC visually confirmed losses you can see the full and dramatic change. This graph is 'mid point of 3 month average' except September 25.

Normally there are 2-3 IFV/APCs for every tank lost, now it's the other way around. Image
Read 4 tweets

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