Above is the average genetic score of high school students, but I'll get to that later.
Below are the results of a meta-analysis on education. Here, education, using different methods, points to a 1-3 IQ point increase per additional year!
So there is certainly an effect! But let's put that into context: a 3 IQ point increase equals a Cohen's d of 0.2, or 1% of the variance.
1% isn't nothing, but look at what the rest shows us: the smartest students are considerably better, 3 IQ points is small in comparison.
And here are scores in terms of distributions, shifting a distribution by 0.2 SD (or a few points here) is about the difference between a 7th and an 8th grader.
Moreover, the improvement from (in this case, higher) education is short-lived. This improvement to IQ only seems apparent for the first two years; education thereafter has no effect.
Ok, so we get a few IQ points from education, what are we to make of this?
Well, we can track the results of other studies where people get more education: What else happens?
Here's a study of education reform in Britain. In 1947, 80% of pupils received more education.
The study tracked labor market outcomes, i.e., was this cohort more employed after the change, even a little bit?
Sadly, this intervention had no effect on existing employment trends.
There's more! Using another education initiative in Britain, a study measured features of the students' brains who received this extra education and those who didn't.
Again, no difference.
We can go global, many countries in the last few decades have dramatically increased education, especially those in Africa.
But there are no noticeable effects on test scores here; these regional differences remain resolute.
So what's going on? The key is that education increases IQ but not necessarily intelligence itself.
Consider that an IQ test has different parts, and some will be more related to intelligence than others. The less related ones can be easier to learn.
Here's the evidence: If we take measures of IQ at age 11 and later in life, we can use structural modeling to fit the data.
Below are three models, two where education affects intelligence (g, the general factor) and one that doesn't. Can you guess which one fits best?
Of course, it was the latter. Education is only related to some specific abilities.
See here: Schooling was related to better performance on some tasks, but not all. For example, Backward Digit Span performance was only influenced by intelligence.
So if it's not education and other studies find few other environmental effects, this leads to the main cause of intelligence differences: genetics.
Here is from above: throughout high school, people become more and more differentiated genetically in the classes they take.
In the same way, your parents can have a large effect on whether you go to college, but can't affect your college grades; the fact that your teacher can nudge your abilities on some tasks doesn't mean that you are more generally intelligent.
McNamara’s Folly and The Denial of Individual Differences 🧵
The utmost importance of Intelligence in war, and the grim reality of what happened when the Military drafted over 300,000 low IQ men.
Robert McNamara, the eighth Secretary of Defense, was a genius.
At different points in his life was an Eagle Scout, the youngest and most highly paid assistant professor at Harvard Business School, and a president at Ford Motor Company.
He had mastered quantitative analysis by running the B-29 Bomber schedules and statistics in WWII and then later at Ford. In the 1960s, as Sec. of Defense he attempted to apply a similar process to the military.
Taleb / Carr have an erroneous 'insight' over the nonlinearity of IQ along with a conceptual misunderstanding.
On linear and non-linear IQ relationships 🧵
Here's the interaction, the premise is that :
a) There exists some (unspecified) degree of nonlinearity
b) This is somehow a 'devasting' critique of IQ
Note that the above is a simulation. This can motivate a point but you need to back it up with data, as we'll see this only happens in certain situations.
Critically, the point that IQ isn't efficacious at the high end fails here.
About the paper behind this figure: The moral circle
🧵
The paper is from Nature, entitled "Ideological differences in the expanse of the moral circle" by Waytz et al. They combined a few different surveys to produce this study.
The first takes a broad look at the moral differences between conservatives and liberals:
Their 'love' scale produced statistically significant differences for all measures, although the absolute differences themselves were small.
Mackenzie Scott plans to donate her and Bezos' $36 billion divorce settlement. She has given over $2 billion this year. An update on what exactly she funds🧵
First, her most well-funded focus has been on racial causes (and prev. years at ~$5 billion). In fact, over half of the recipients have a racial focus.
Here's the picture for all years:
It's quite similar despite most of the recipients being new orgs she has not donated to before. Her mission is clearly similar through time.
Over the years she has donated anywhere from $1.5 billion to $4 billion. This year is nothing special in terms of money.
The Chinese Communist Revolution consolidated its power by taking land from the elite. In the following generation, the previous elite once again reclaimed their social advantage.
This is not an isolated phenomenon: A Thread on the persistence of status 🧵
The Cultural Revolution is one of the most extreme efforts of wealth equalization in all of human history, over 43% of all land assets were transferred to others. The goal was explicit: to eliminate income and wealth differences between the rich and poor in perpetuity.
The vision of the revolution was to ensure that the elite could not pass on their status to future generations. So, beyond confiscating wealth, the Communists eliminated merit-based admission into universities.