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Jun 15 21 tweets 11 min read Read on X
The anti-Israelis are melting down over the amazing military successes of the Jewish State. I am starting this thread, called "The Dumbest Take." Please feel free to nominate dumb takes on the war -- and also on related matters. Let's cast the net wide. The goal is amusment.
Here's nomination number one: Matt Duss. He used to be the foreign policy advisor of Bernie Sanders. He has one issue, and one issue only, and he feels very passionate about it. By the way, what's the difference between Bernie Sanders (who is Jewish) and Donald Trump (who is not)? Trump has Jewish grandkids.Image
Here's take two: Ben Rhodes. Rhodes cried in front of the cameras when Trump won. This is what passes for a serious take on foreign policy in Washington. As President Trump says: It's sad, so sad. Image
Take three is my favorite so far. It's Tucker Carlson. He says "thousands of Americans would die." And "We'd lose the war that follows." He offers this fear mongering drivel in the name of figthing the fear mongers! Donald Trump has already said explicitly that Tucker Carlson does not speak for MAGA on this issue. Tucker Carlson's view, you will notice, is identical to Bernie Sanders' and Barack Obama's, but he depicts it as the very essence of MAGA. Some fraction of young MAGA supporters follow his lead. I say to them: Listen to the president instead.Image
Take four comes courtesy of @BartschKayla, whom nominates American Conservative magazine. Andrew Day at that esteemed publication wants to teach Israel "who's boss." Did Andrew reveal tmi about his private fantasies? Perish the thought. He's a serious intellectual. Image
Take five has already sped past Tucker Carlson to take the frontrunner position. It comes from Daryl Cooper, aka "Martyr Made," the man whom Carlson lauded as "America's finest living historian," or words to that effect. I prefer to think of him as America's most problematic pinkie. Watch the pinkie here. Somehow I find it revealing, but I can't put my finger, so to speak, on why.
PP (problematic pinkie) is a raving antisemite, and like most antisemites he's at great pains to claim that he is not. He has many very dumb takes and I won't rule out the possibility that he will end up competing with himself for the top position, but here's my nomination today. Notice that he claims to be arguing with "professional anti-semites," then he trots out all the favorite themes of professional antisemites: dual loyalty, controling the media, controlling the government, etc. He should get that pinkie looked at.Image
@BartschKayla Take six is a doozy from @RedWhiteBlueJew, who nominates Ian Carroll. Llike Tucker Carlson, Jeffrey Sachs and others, Carroll justifies being angry at Israel by asserting that there was a good deal to be had with peace-loving Tehran. This fable never dies. Image
Take seven, nominated by @AnamaMOSS, causes me pain. I really admire Matt Walsh. He's funny, and in leading a campaign against mutilating the private parts of children, he is doing God's work -- seriously. But his take on Israel-Iran is dumb. In his tweet below, the phrase, "one random Middle East country after another," is a tell. He probably knows little about the subject. He succumbed to the classic temptation of the talking head, the desire to have a witty take. You aren't obligated to opine on every subject. You can sit some out.Image
Take eight, Alon Mizrahi, comes to us from @POTerritory. Mizrahi is an Israeli peacenik, an author with a very strong critique of Israeli society based on familiar leftwing views. He's entitled to those opinions, of course, but when he lets them influence his analysis of the military balance, he enters into dumbest take territory. This tweet will not age well.Image
Number nine is Curt Mills' hot take on Trump's decision to step back and urge Iran to cut a deal directly with Israel. Mills would have us believe that Netanyahu is leading Trump around by the nose. On almost ever other issue, Trump seems to have a mind of his own. Why on this issue is he so easily manipulated? Mills leaves the answer to our imaginations. What oh what could it be?Image
@BartschKayla @RedWhiteBlueJew @AnamaMOSS @POTerritory Number ten is Dan Bilzerian, with whom I am unfamiliar. I have no idea what he is claiming in this tweet. He gets credit for having the most off-the-wall contribution so far. Image
@BartschKayla @RedWhiteBlueJew @AnamaMOSS @POTerritory Coming in at number 11 is a strong competitor from the International Crisis Group and the NYT, Mairav Zonszein. Her name rhymes with fine mind. Poor thing, she suffers from Bibi Derangement Syndrome. Many a fine mind has been destroyed by this horrible sickness. Image
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Our panel of judges debated whether Josh Rogin of the Wash Post deserves to be nominee number 12. Strictly speaking, Israel’s miraculous successes against one of the ugliest enemies of the US are not what shorted Rogin’s cerebral circuits. But we are casting the net wide. We aim to amuse, and to capture the full spectrum of stupidity in display today. Trump Derangement Syndrome is the cause of Rogin’s particular aneurysm. Another fine mind fried by this horrible killer. So sad.Image
Lucky 13 is Candace Owens. She is jealous of Tucker. He was already the frontrunner in our contest while she had yet to be nominated. But Candace is nothing if not resourceful. She earns a very respectable place in our contest by accusing the president of exerting inappropriate influence over our proceedings. Worry not, Candace. We will not let Trump determine whether you are less kooky than Carlson!Image
Wow. What’s going on at the American Conservative? Despite the richness of the English language, I strain to find “le mot juste.” I resort instead to a neologism: “Déjà Himmler.” That’s when you encounter someone you have never met before and you get an eerie feeling that he rushes home after work to his secret closet packed with Nazi memorabilia. When I look at the pictures of the nerdy dweebs at the American Conservative, I shudder with Déjà Himmler. But perhaps my jump to unseemly fetishes is unfair. Perhaps we should look to substance abuse. Will someone who knows the boys please go over and check on them. Either way, an intervention is in order. Nomination 14, the entire editorial board and the donors.Image
Take 15, Ken Roth, comes to our attention thanks to @GeraldNGOM. In Tehran, the Israelis are striking not civilians but Iranian transporter erector launchers that shoot ballistic missiles into Israeli cities. Iran's targeting of civilians is a war crime. Its placement of TELARS in civilian areas is a war crime. Shooting back at TELARS in civilian areas is called legitimate self defense. Ken Roth lives in Mad Hatter world.Image
Take 16 brings us to Stanford’s Mike McFaul. Back when Tulsi Gabbard was up for confirmation, McFaul perceived a national security threat: she was too soft on Iran (along with its patrons, China and Russia). But now that Trump has overruled her, precisely for being too soft on Iran, McFaul is still unhappy. Now he perceives the nefarious hand of Bibi. Where do Trump and Bibi derangement combine to create a super mind virus? Academia. Pity the students.Image
Take number 17 belongs to Alex Jones. A vulgarian, he offers us this crude antisemitic image of the Jews as demons raping our women. Personalities that are naturally drawn to conspiracy theories almost always embrace classical antisemitism. Jones is consumed by resentments. Such people cannot but envy the talents and successes of the Jews.Image
Steve Bannon comes to us with dumbest take #18. Israel's strike on Iran, says the oracle, “isn’t about the nuclear program,” it’s just Bibi trying to “save his job.” No, sir. Among Israelis—left, right, and center—this is only about the nuclear program. Even Yair Lapid, who despises Netanyahu, said: “On this, he was right.”

Israelis see this as existential.

Bannon also omits two key facts: 1) During the election and after the election, Trump consistently promised to stop Iran’s bomb. 2) Israel isn’t asking for the invasion of Iraq 2.0. They want one strike—Fordow, buried deep, where Iran's nuclear program remains intact. No boots on the ground. One bunker. A unique chance.

So why is Bannon boxing Trump in with this lazy conspiracy theory? Why is he making it harder for Trump to keep his word, all while pretending to support him?
At last, we’ve received a submission from an international organization. IAEA chief Rafael Grossi comes in at #19 to reassure us that there’s no evidence Iran was building a bomb—and, by implication, that Israel is the aggressor.

Grossi’s logic is rooted in Zeno’s paradox. The swift Achilles races the tortoise, who has a head start. But Achilles can never catch him, Zeno taught, because he must first go halfway, then halfway again, and so on—an infinite series. Trapped in endless halves, Achilles never arrives. The tortoise wins.

Grossi, clipboard in hand, tells the tortoise: “Don’t worry. The science is settled. Achilles will never catch you.” And he gives the same assurance to Israel about Iran: “They’re always enriching uranium, testing delivery systems, reconfiguring centrifuges—just never quite building a bomb. Always halfway there. Don’t worry!”

As for me, I prefer to quote the frog, who, just before dying in the boiling pot, sounded a lot like Grossi:
“There’s no evidence of a systematic attempt to boil me. The water just keeps getting warmer.”

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More from @Doranimated

Oct 2, 2024
President Biden violates a rule of sound statecraft. “The answer is no,” he said, when asked if he supported an Israeli attack on Iran’s nuclear sites. “[A]ll seven of us [G7 nations] agree that they have a right to respond but they should respond proportionally,” he added. 1/
Richard Nixon explains succinctly in this clip how, as vice president, he learned from President Eisenhower never to make such a statement.
Ambiguity is basic to deterrence. Keep the adversary guessing. Keep him worried about the terrible things that might happen to him. If the adversary knows that certain sites are off the target list, then he can plan better. He can concentrate his resources elsewhere.
Read 5 tweets
Sep 19, 2024
A few thoughts on Operation Grim Beeper.

1) This is one of the most astonishing intelligence operations in history. It is a reworking of the story of the Trojan Horse for the digital age, and it deserves to become nearly as legendary as its iconic predecessor. If we are not utterly astounded, it is because we have seen too many James Bond and Black Mirror movies for our own good.

In real life, operations like this just don’t happen. It is at least four operations in one.

First, the Israelis thoroughly mapped Hezbollah’s supply chain.

Second, they invented a special explosive charge small enough to be inserted inside a handheld device, sophisticated enough to be remotely activated, big enough to do real harm, and yet not so prominent physically or electronically to call attention to itself.

Third, the Israelis turned themselves into a big enough link in Hezbollah’s procurement network to take physical control of the devices and rig them.

Fourth, they activated the charges simultaneously and across a very wide geographic area.

If any one of these sub-operations had been botched, the operation as a whole would have fizzled. Who else in the world could pull off such an imaginative, technically sophisticated and audacious plot?
2) It is the first mass targeted killing in history. Every one of the thousands of persons killed or maimed was selected individually, yet they were hit at the same moment. The great genius of the operation is that the Israelis relied on Hezbollah itself to select their targets for them. I can’t think of another case like this where the attackers just sat back and let the enemy perform a key part of their work for them. If we map the attacked men we map Hezbollah’s org chart, including the blinded Iranian ambassador to Lebanon who is an IRGC officer.
3) The large ratio of maimings to deaths is a sign of success. In military terms, a maiming is preferable to a death because it ties up more resources and stresses enemy systems to a much greater degree.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 18, 2024
The internet of Things Fall Apart. A new wave of explosions in Lebanon has also affected phones, radios and other devices with lithium-ion batteries: household appliances, fingerprint scanners, electronic locks, and more.
The explosions today seem to be bigger.
An electronic lock rebelled against “The Resistance.” Image
Read 5 tweets
May 18, 2024
Dramatic. Minister Gantz issues an ultimatum to Netanyahu: develop a strategy designed to achieve six goals by June 8, or he will resign. If this wasn’t directly coordinated with the White House, it seeks to draft off of American policy.
Gantz six conditions that the strategic plan must meet:
1. Bring home the hostages.
2. Topple the rule of Hamas, demilitarize the Gaza Strip, and ensure Israeli security control.
3. Establish an American-European-Arab-Palestinian civil administration that will manage civilian affairs in the Gaza Strip and lay the foundation for an alternative in the future that is neither Hamas nor Abbas.
4. Return the Israeli residents of the north to their homes by September 1 and revitalize life in the Western Negev.
5. Promote normalization with Saudi Arabia as part of a comprehensive move that will create an alliance with the free world and the Arab world against Iran.
6. Adopt a general outline regarding reform of the military draft that will result in all Israelis serving the state and contributing to the national effort.
Netanyahu's office responded to Gantz's conditions with the following statement:

While our heroic fighters are fighting to destroy the Hamas battalions in Rafah, Gantz chooses to issue an ultimatum to the Prime Minister instead of issuing an ultimatum to Hamas.

The conditions set by Benny Gantz are polite words whose meaning is clear: the end of the war and a defeat for Israel, the abandonment of most of the hostages, leaving Hamas intact, and the establishment of a Palestinian state.

Our soldiers did not fall in vain and certainly not for the sake of replacing Hamastan with Fatahstan.

If Gantz prefers the national interest and is not looking for an excuse to overthrow the government, let him answer the following three questions:

1 - Is he ready to complete the operation in Rafah in order to destroy the Hamas battalions, and if so, how is it possible that he is threatening to dismantle the emergency government in the middle of the operation?

2 - Is he opposed to civilian control of Gaza by the Palestinian Authority, even without Abbas?

3 - Is he ready to accept a Palestinian state in Gaza and Judea and Samaria as part of the normalization process with Saudi Arabia?

The Prime Minister's position on these fateful issues is clear: Prime Minister Netanyahu is determined to eliminate the Hamas battalions. He opposes the introduction of the Palestinian Authority into Gaza and the establishment of a Palestinian state which will inevitably be a terror state.

Prime Minister Netanyahu thinks that the emergency government is important for achieving all the goals of the war, including the return of all our hostages, and expects Gantz to clarify his positions to the public on these issues.
Read 8 tweets
May 9, 2024
A weapons embargo on Israel ensures that Biden can’t get either what he says he wants or what we might fairly assume he wants. A thread. 1/ Biden says he wants a hostages-for-prisoners deal/ceasefire. But by pressuring Israel he emboldens Hamas to make unrealistic demands.
2/ Biden says he wants a two-state solution with a “revitalized”Palestinian Authority (PA) in charge of Gaza. But by saving Hamas he ensures it will block Fatah (the ruling party in the PA) from gaining a foothold in Gaza. The policy is stoking a Palestinian civil war.
3/ Biden says he wants to alleviate the humanitarian suffering in the Gaza Strip but by precluding a ceasefire deal and emboldening Hamas, he prolongs the war and therefore the suffering. A speedy Israeli victory is the only pathway to anything approaching normalcy for Gazans.
Read 11 tweets
Nov 2, 2022
Man, 71, dies of a subdural hematoma after a teen beat him outside NYC pizzeria. | I had a subdural hematoma this summer. It was very unpleasant. I had never heard of this injury before, but once you learn about it, you see it in the news all the time. nypost.com/2022/11/02/man…
What is it? A SDH is bleeding between the brain and the skull. There is no place for the blood to go so it presses against the brain. They are much more common in old people than young. Why? Because as you get older, your brain shrinks. There develops between the brain and the
skull a small gap. I’m the gap are veins. When you get a blow to the head it can jiggle the brain and sever a vein. People die of this quite frequently, perhaps more frequently than you know, because what you hear is that they died from a blow to the head. Bottom line: don’t go
Read 4 tweets

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