Ben Noll Profile picture
Jun 17 7 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Extreme humidity — not just extreme temperatures — will make headlines over the next week as a heat dome develops.

Humidity levels will surge across 40 states and southern Canada, bringing tropical rainforest-like conditions, especially next week 🧵 Image
What feels humid to one person may not to another, so it’s important to recognize that the stickiness of the air is subjective.

This table describes the humidity level associated with dew point thresholds — and how each feels. Image
Up to a dozen or more very humid days are expected in many central and eastern states over the next two weeks.

High humidity and temperatures will be driven by above average ocean temperatures in the Gulf and western Atlantic and winds blowing from these areas. Image
Temperatures are forecast to exceed 90 degrees for around 170 million people across 45 states over the next week. Image
NOAA's HeatRisk shows major to extreme heat in the Plains, Midwest, Northeast, Mid-Atlantic and Southeast this weekend into next week.

Extreme, the highest level on the four-tier scale, is described as "rare and/or long-duration extreme heat with little to no overnight relief."
Here’s when selected major cities will experience very high or extreme humidity levels and the expected weather impact. Image
Image
In today's @washingtonpost: Maps show the cities about to experience extreme humidity and heat.

Find out where there will be excessive heat and humidity — and how humidity patterns are changing.

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More from @BenNollWeather

May 10
Copernicus Day for May 2025 has arrived, a day for long-range weather fans around the world!

Let's take take a look at what the data is showing for the upcoming summer 🧵 Image
Neutral conditions in the equatorial Pacific could adjust toward a La Niña-like direction later in 2025, in concert with a potential negative Indian Ocean Dipole.

Warmer than average seas are predicted in much of the Northern Hemisphere, bolstering summer heat.
Above average summer temperatures are favored in many areas, including the United States, western and central Europe and eastern Asia. Image
Read 11 tweets
May 2
Is May becoming more like a summer month?

This map shows how May temperatures have changed since the 1980s. It's trended warmer for 90 percent of U.S. counties.

States that have warmed the most: Washington, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, West Virginia, Ohio, Vermont & Massachusetts. Image
April featured impressive levels of warmth:

• 11 days above 90˚F in Tampa (record)

• Nine days above 80˚F in Washington D.C.

• 12 days above 70˚F in New York City

• 79˚F in Ireland (record)

• 120˚F in Pakistan

Will it continue into May? Image
Muggy air from south-central states is blowing eastward and will be felt as far north as New York this weekend.

It won’t be humid every day, but waves of sultry air will bubble northward from a warmer-than-average Gulf throughout the month. Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 13
Copernicus Day for March 2025 has arrived!

It's a day when long-range climate model data comes out, giving us clues as to what the next few months may hold.

Here's what it shows 🧵 Image
The picture in the tropical Pacific, home to the oscillation that includes El Niño & La Niña, is complicated.

An El Niño Costero (coastal El Niño) is occurring near western South America as La Niña wanes in the central Pacific.

This tug-of-war will influence patterns worldwide.
Drier than average conditions may prevail across swaths of the western and central United States through early summer, with severe weather risks shifted farther east.

Big rainfall events are possible in northern South America and Australia as El Niño & La Niña battle. Image
Read 9 tweets
Mar 4
Tropical Cyclone Alfred will lash southern Queensland & northern New South Wales, Australia, making landfall later this week.

Significant damage is possible in this densely populated region where tropical cyclone impacts are not uncommon, but landfalls are.

🧵 What to know Image
Slow-moving Alfred will generate big waves.

The highest one-third of the waves will average 20-30 feet with individual waves as high as 50 feet.

Dangerous seas will pound the coast for days, with erosion, inundation, and damage possible. Image
Huge rainfall totals are likely between Brisbane and Byron Bay.

Two to four months' worth of rain will likely cause serious flooding.

The heaviest rain will fall late in the week into the weekend. Image
Read 4 tweets
Feb 21
The United States has been home to the most unusually cold air on the planet so far this year.

A desolate part of central South Dakota has been 11 degrees below average, making it Earth’s most unusually cold place in 2025 so far.

Here's why 🧵 Image
The tropospheric polar vortex has been displaced to the south.

Strong high pressure near Alaska and Greenland contributed to above-average temperatures across the Arctic, displacing the region’s frigid air much farther south — over southern Canada and the United States. Image
The pattern of high latitude high pressure caused the jet stream to become loopier than normal.

The jet frequently took a northerly detour into the Arctic Circle.

There, it picked up freezing air and transported it south.
Read 7 tweets
Dec 24, 2024
Can you guess the snowiest place on the planet?

The answer might surprise you.

It's the Southern Patagonian Ice Field, where over 166 feet of snow falls annually. That's 15 stories or 2,000 inches.

I found someone who's been there 🧵 Image
Southern Patagonian Ice Field 🌨️

“I can definitely confirm that the Southern Patagonia Ice Field is a snowy and windy place, and I would not be surprised if it is the snowiest place on the planet,” said Margit Schwikowski, professor emeritus from the University of Bern in Switzerland.

Schwikowski and a team of six researchers, including three Chilean glaciologists, visited the ice field in August 2006 to take ice cores from the Pio XI Glacier, the largest in the Southern Patagonian Ice Field.

“Although our work was finished after four days, we spent two weeks in tents up there. We could not get out because of snowfall and strong winds,” Schwikowski said.

“We took especially rigid tents, a lot of food and skis to be able to get out on our own if the helicopter could not fly. We prepared the GPS track of the escape route to Argentina,” recalled Schwikowski.

In other words, don’t try this at home. Getting to the snowiest place on the planet requires intricate planning, strong mountaineering skills, an escape route and much more.

It’s not about to become the next Instagram hot spot.

Photos: Theo Jenk and Beat RufibachImage
Image
What makes it so snowy 🏔️

“Patagonia is such a unique place,” said @meteodiego, a researcher at the Earth Sciences Department of the Barcelona Supercomputing Center. He is originally from Santiago, Chile.

He said that the storm track passes directly through the region and that precipitation occurs year round, but is highest during the winter months of June, July and August.

His research also found that the region had very high levels of annual precipitation, but noted that a lack of weather reporting stations in the region made it difficult to corroborate precipitation estimates.Image
Read 5 tweets

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