Hypothesis: we’ll look back on mass migration as being worse for Europe than WW2 was.
Europe recovered quickly from WW2, because each country remained high-trust and homogeneous.
But you can’t just rebuild your way out of internal ethno-religious fractures.
Europe recovered quickly from WW2, because each country remained high-trust and homogeneous.
But you can’t just rebuild your way out of internal ethno-religious fractures.
Why compare mass migration with WW2 specifically? Because the “never again, at any cost” attitude towards WW2 from European elites has been a major cultural force pushing against national identity and for suicidal immigration policies.
For more on that see:
For more on that see:
https://twitter.com/richardmcngo/status/1890046958422933516
Large-scale remigration will help, but it’ll be hard to do without many other undesirable effects (e.g. strengthening coercive power of the state, massive internal unrest, political polarization).
So a lot of the damage is already locked in.
So a lot of the damage is already locked in.
I posted this poll with this hypothesis in mind.
Ofc people disagree on what percent of immigrants have values “deeply hostile” to European values.
But many respondents believe that even 10% in that category is worse than literal decimation.
Ofc people disagree on what percent of immigrants have values “deeply hostile” to European values.
But many respondents believe that even 10% in that category is worse than literal decimation.
https://twitter.com/richardmcngo/status/1934720833961988313
Also relevant: this post of mine on a concept I call well-foundedness - roughly, “how far down does an agent’s internal coherence go”?
It’s much more abstract but inspired by many of the same ideas as this thread.
It’s much more abstract but inspired by many of the same ideas as this thread.
https://twitter.com/richardmcngo/status/1909052253702664649
I should clarify: *Western* Europe recovered quickly from WW2. Eastern Europe didn’t, due to Soviet occupation. So there are big path-dependencies.
But Eastern Europe did recover quickly after the fall of the USSR, because even the Soviets didn’t destroy their national cohesion.
But Eastern Europe did recover quickly after the fall of the USSR, because even the Soviets didn’t destroy their national cohesion.
Some people are incredulous about this hypothesis because of the sheer number who died in WW2.
But being a functional society compounds over decades to benefit billions.
E.g. China is far better off than India today, even after enduring the horrors of the Great Leap Forward.
But being a functional society compounds over decades to benefit billions.
E.g. China is far better off than India today, even after enduring the horrors of the Great Leap Forward.
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