Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jun 20 6 tweets 2 min read Read on X
Politico's very critical take on Yermak (unfair in my view, and not good for Ukraine either):

Trump and Biden administrations both see Yermak as a diplomatic liability, threatening Ukraine’s relationship with U.S.

He is accused of abrasive behavior. 1/ Image
Yermak is seen as a “bipartisan irritator” in D.C., frustrating Trump and Biden camps.

On his June trip, top U.S. officials snubbed him: Rubio canceled (although later met with him in WH), Wiles kept him waiting then bailed, and Vance's office ignored him. 2/
Yermak allegedly called envoy Steve Witkoff “Russian assets,” which irritated WH, sources say.

Ex-Trump aides describe him as acting like Ukraine is the “center of the world” and warn his conduct is already straining U.S.-Ukraine relations. 3/
Biden’s Blinken and Brink urged Zelenskyy to sideline Yermak from meetings.

Sources call Yermak an “existential liability,” with one describing his recent D.C. visit as “a disaster from the Ukrainian perspective.” 4/
Yermak wrongly believed a critical minerals deal could win Trump’s support for Ukraine security guarantees — sources called it “ludicrous.”

Friction comes as Trump halts aid and intel sharing after a February Oval Office clash with Zelenskyy. 5X

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More from @Mylovanov

Jun 22
Trump: For 40 years, Iran has chanted ‘death to America, death to Israel,’ killing over 1,000 U.S. service members with roadside bombs and fueling global carnage — many slain by Qassem Soleimani. 1/
Trump: I thank PM Netanyahu, the IDF for their outstanding work, and congratulate the American patriots who flew those missions on an operation unlike anything seen in decades. 2/
Trump: This cannot continue. Iran faces a choice: peace — or devastation far greater than what we’ve inflicted over the past eight days. 3/
Read 5 tweets
Jun 21
Politico: Putin publicly dismissed his Economy Minister's warning that Russia is on brink of recession.

Russia GDP is propped up by weapons output, while the civilian economy collapses, despite 1.5% claimed growth. 1/ Image
Russia’s revenue is collapsing as Saudi oil glut pushes prices to 3-year lows [yet, let’s see what Iran war will do to the revenues.]

Inflation hits 10%. Central bank hikes rates over 20%, sparking open conflict between the finance ministry and struggling businesses. 2/
St. Petersburg forum, once a magnet for Western investors, is now just a show amid economic collapse.

Putin highlighted his commitment to the war in Ukraine, claiming “all of Ukraine belongs to us” with no sign of backing off. 3X
Read 4 tweets
Jun 21
Zelenskyy, for the first time since 2022, allows export of Ukraine innovative weapons to the rest of the world.

Ukraine provides the tech, allies provide the money and infrastructure. 1/ Image
Zelenskyy is proposing that partner countries allocate 0.25% of their GDP annually for joint weapons production with Ukraine on their soil. 2/
Zelenskyy: This summer, Ukraine plans to sign agreements to start exporting defense production technologies, setting up manufacturing lines across Europe. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Jun 21
NATO will [finally!] spend 5% of GDP on defense.

Mark Rutte lays it out in Foreign Affairs: Rearm, outproduce China and Russia, and prepare to hit back fast. 1/ Image
Rutte: Russia rolls out 1,500 tanks, 3,000 armored vehicles, and 200 Iskander missiles in 2025.

China funds and supplies the war. NATO now expects a direct challenge from Moscow within 5 years. 2/
The new NATO plan demands:

- 5x more air & missile defense;
- Millions of artillery shells;
- Thousands of tanks, drones, ships;
- Battlefield medicine & transport scaled to match full war. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jun 21
The US now backs far-right regime changes in Europe. What can Europe do to stop it?

Bas Erlings, ex-adviser to Rutte, says the answer is pragmatic, not ideological.

- Refuse coalitions with the far right

- Win voters on emotion, not facts

- Call out U.S. interference game

1/ Image
Erlings: Voters ask 3 questions. Do I like you? Can you manage? Do you care about me?

Populists answer these intuitively. Liberals must learn to do the same - or lose by default. 2/
He warns not to treat these changes as a local issue.

Trump’s team is building a transatlantic axis: AfD in Germany, Le Pen in France, Simion in Romania, Nawrocki in Poland. U.S. backing gives them legitimacy and makes them more aggressive at home. 3/
Read 9 tweets
Jun 21
Europe faces its biggest test since 1945 — and its future is on the line.

Timothy Garton Ash warns in The Ukranians: Europe must build its own strength now, before it’s too late. 1/ Image
Ash explains that talking about “Europe” grew from trauma — 60 million died in World War II, entire towns wiped out.

Only unity across France, Germany, UK and backed by the US kept peace. 2/
He calls February 24, 2022 a turning point — Europe returned to that wartime hell.

Bosnia was a preview, but Ukraine’s war is full-scale and ongoing. 3/
Read 10 tweets

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