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Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jun 21 • 5 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X

Summary of the significant evidence that the B-2s currently airborne are a strike package heading directly for Iran:

1. Immediate refuelling after departing from Whiteman Air Force Base indicates that the aircraft are carry close to their maximum payload.

If not an immediate strike, it is highly likely that the ordnance would have be pre-positioned at Guam or Diego Garcia with C-5 or C-17 transport aircraft in order to save the logistical headache of the additional aerial refueling and airframe stress.

2. If the B-2s continue onward to Iran they will arrive on target a few hours prior to opening of the Futures market at 6PM ET Sunday. This will give the Trump administration time to host a press briefing to calm the markets before they open.

3. KC-135 and KC-46 aircraft have been pre-positioned around the world at the exact bases that would enable the world’s longest (and first circumnavigation) bombing mission. I fully suspect this record would be something that would appeal to Trump.

4. Not launching from Diego Garcia means that the U.S. is not legally required to inform Mauritius of the strike as part of their lease agreement.

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More from @OAlexanderDK

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Mar 7

Maxar has cut off satellite imagery access to Ukraine, undoubtedly due to pressure from the U.S. government.

This means that not just classified, but commercially available unclassified intelligence products are being cut off.

I now fully expect Starlink to be next.

*Insert 100th WAKE UP CALL FOR EUROPE tweet*

Read 4 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Dec 25, 2024

All the videos of the Azerbaijan Airlines flight showing the damage show holes in the wreckage have entry holes on the port side and exit holes on the starboard side, likely with a slight angle from below.

Here one can see the difference between the port and starboard side of the aircraft’s vertical stabilizer.

Visible damage to the port side flap hinge fairing prior to the crash.

Read 6 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Dec 24, 2024

🧵The Ursa Major was heading to Vladivostok and not en route to aid in the evacuation of Tartus.

Given cargo it carried, this is in fact even worse for Russia than if it had been heading to Tartus.

The Ursa was carrying two Liebherr 420 mobile cranes for the harbor in Vladivostok that is heavily backed up due to a lack of cranes and two 45-ton hatches for the construction of the new Project 10510 nuclear powered icebreaker.

obl.ru/pressa/news/po…

In this image you can see both of the the cranes, as well as grab buckets for bulk handling at the harbor in Vladivostok at the front of the vessel.

The loss of these cranes will severely hurt loading/unloading times in Vladivostok.

Read 5 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Dec 16, 2024

https://x.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1867536340772172210

🧵More and more pointing towards the Russia/HTS deal to keep their bases has fallen apart.

The media caught wind of the deal negotiations on the 12th.

On the 12th Russia started moving its valuable S400 system out of Khmeimim Air Base

https://x.com/OAlexanderDK/status/1867536340772172210

On the 12th within 2 hours of each other, the Ursa Major left St. Peterburg for Vladivostok and the Sparta left Baltiysk for Port Said, Egypt.

Both locations that could easily send them to Tartus instead.

https://x.com/TommyLundn/status/1867580511193116895

On the 13th Russia decided to suspend grain shipments to Syria

https://x.com/TommyLundn/status/1867580511193116895

Read 5 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Dec 3, 2024

Most of the Korean SOF operators I saw at the National Assembly building had no magazines in their pistols, were carrying blue training magazines and had simunition bolt carriers in their rifles.

Empty pistol with no magazine in it.

SCAR L with a blue man marker / blank training bolt carrier instead of a live bolt carrier.

The weapon can’t fire live rounds with that bolt carrier.

Read 4 tweets

Oliver Alexander

@OAlexanderDK

Jul 19, 2024

🧵Analysis of footage from the Trump assassination attempt shows that Trump and David Dutch were hit in Crook's initial 3 shot volley. Corey Comperatore and James Copenhaver were struck by Crook's follow-up volley a few seconds later. (1/8)

This wide angle recorded by the Right Side Broadcasting Network shows the entire event unfold and shows all 3 bystanders get struck by Crook's bullets. (2/8)