🧵 Spot the Next MSTR Before It Moons: How to Find the Purest #Bitcoin Plays
Want to know which stocks are truly driven by BTC—and which are just pretending?
We built a system to quantify that.
Here’s how to find the next MSTR 👇
Want to know which stocks are truly driven by BTC—and which are just pretending?
We built a system to quantify that.
Here’s how to find the next MSTR 👇
Not all BTC treasuries are created equal.
Some companies moon with BTC.
Others barely budge.
We measure model fit—the correlation between a stock’s price and its BTC per share.
Some companies moon with BTC.
Others barely budge.
We measure model fit—the correlation between a stock’s price and its BTC per share.
https://x.com/_ChaitanyaJ/status/1936135471467286864
📈 R² = how “pure” the Bitcoin exposure is.
Take $MSTR.
Software company? Sure, used to be.
Now it's a BTC proxy.
R² = 97.6%.
That means 97.6% of its price movement is explained by BTC value per share.
That's a pure play.
Take $MSTR.
Software company? Sure, used to be.
Now it's a BTC proxy.
R² = 97.6%.
That means 97.6% of its price movement is explained by BTC value per share.
That's a pure play.
But what about the others?
Our leaderboard ranks the top contenders 👇
Our leaderboard ranks the top contenders 👇
The system works like this:
Share Price = mNAV × BTC Price × BTC per Share
If a company doesn't follow that formula?
We don’t allocate to it.
No hype. Just math.
Share Price = mNAV × BTC Price × BTC per Share
If a company doesn't follow that formula?
We don’t allocate to it.
No hype. Just math.
But timing matters too.
$CANGO has incredible BTC fundamentals…
…but no one cares (yet).
R² = 2%
The market still sees it as a car finance biz, and maybe a miner, not a BTC stacker.
We wait until price catches up.
$CANGO has incredible BTC fundamentals…
…but no one cares (yet).
R² = 2%
The market still sees it as a car finance biz, and maybe a miner, not a BTC stacker.
We wait until price catches up.
Or take $SMLR.
They’ve stacked BTC—but the market sees a healthcare stock with DOJ baggage.
R² = 45%
Our system cuts its weight in half until sentiment shifts.
They’ve stacked BTC—but the market sees a healthcare stock with DOJ baggage.
R² = 45%
Our system cuts its weight in half until sentiment shifts.
This model-fit filter is just Step 1.
Next:
📈 BTC Yield
📆 Days to Flippening
📊 Forecast CAGR
It’s all part of our data-driven system to ride the fastest horse.
Next:
📈 BTC Yield
📆 Days to Flippening
📊 Forecast CAGR
It’s all part of our data-driven system to ride the fastest horse.
You could chase hype.
Or you could follow the data.
We track the Bitcoin treasuries that actually move with BTC.
🚀 Want to find the next breakout before it moons?
Read the full article:
👉 blog.microstrategist.com/spot-the-next-…
Or you could follow the data.
We track the Bitcoin treasuries that actually move with BTC.
🚀 Want to find the next breakout before it moons?
Read the full article:
👉 blog.microstrategist.com/spot-the-next-…
Which BTC treasury stocks are you watching right now?
👇 Drop your picks in the comments and tell us why.
We'd love to analyse them all to see how they stack up.
Let’s crowdsource the BTC treasury gold rush together!
👇 Drop your picks in the comments and tell us why.
We'd love to analyse them all to see how they stack up.
Let’s crowdsource the BTC treasury gold rush together!
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