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Trent Telenko Profile picture
@TrentTelenko
Jun 23 • 4 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Please note that Iran _ISN'T_ shooting down IDF drones over Tehran⬇️

There are technological reasons for that.

1/2
The odds are heavily in favor of the IDF having parked Hermes drones with "Gorgon Stare" technology over Tehran to hunt Iranian senior government officials.

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P.S.

This is the wiki on Gorgon Stare technology.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gorgon_St…Image
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More from @TrentTelenko

Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 22
The following photo captures from WW2 bomb damage analysis documents are to calibrate people's eyes as to what to expect from the Fordow strike.

The MOP crater is going to be something called a "Camouflet" because the MOP will dig so deep before exploding.

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The problem with this US strike is the rock density in the Fordow area may be too much for the GBU-57/B MOP (See Grok below)

Unless there is really good intelligence showing a weakness in Fordow or...

2/6
 grok.com/share/c2hhcmQt…
...this MOP strike had several bombs with the same aim point and a timer setting for simultaneous detonation. Good results will be difficult.

WW2 testing showed hard crystallized limestone was a pain for semi-armor piercing bombs dropped from 16,000 feet to penetrate.

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Read 7 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 22
Well, it wasn't a TACO moment.

This US strike on the Iranian nuclear program was paddy cake.

The Iranian smart move here is screaming a lot, doing little and waiting for a Democratic US President to build nukes.

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The dumbest of dumb moves by the Iranians would be laying sea mines in the Strait of Hormuz.

That was what set off Operation Praying Mantis in the late 1980's which sank 1/2 of Iran's navy in a day.

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If the Iranians choose doing something dumb...

...US has positioned aerial assets in the Mid-East that are sufficient for a modestly large aerial bombardment effort for ~100+ tactical fighters⬇️

3/3
Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 19
Ukrainian SF/intel teams are ripping up Russian rear areas, and possibly now RuAF strategic nuclear ICBM's, with armed small drones.⬇️

China will do the same to the USA with it's fighting age male "undocumented migrant" population, when it kicks off the invasion of Taiwan.

1/3
Small drones fitted with flux compression generator (FCG) non-nuclear electromagnetic pulse (NNEMP) would be capable of zorching the electronics of a Cold War era ICBM physics packages, RV and midcourse bus inside a silo by landing on the missile hatch and going bang.

2/3 Image
A drone carried FCG (figure below) can emit a pulse similar to the E1 EMP from a nuclear weapon, at a higher than 50 KV/meter Cold War EMP protection standards.

It is a measure of the "Eek! A nuke!" phobias of US Flag ranks that this threat has been ignored since 2018.

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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 18
Iran has been at war with the USA since 1979.

Every time the USA has fought back, like Operation Praying Mantis or killing IRGC chief Qasem Soleimani, it has won.

The Iranians last killed American servicemen on January 28, 2024.

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They were
- Sgt. William Jerome Rivers,
- Spc. Kennedy Ladon Sander and
- Spc. Breonna Alexsondria Moffett
of the 718th Eng. Co., 926th Eng. Bat.

2/3 Image
I spent several years of my DCMA career inspecting Caiman MRAP and visiting subcontractors making armor kits to beat Iranian EFP roadside bombs.

There is a 46 year American blood price to be collected from the Mullah's.

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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
Jun 17
A lot of Western military officers at all levels have been vociferously denying the systematic Russian use of Chemical weapons since the siege of Mariupol in 2022.

I expect this Western military delusion to continue.

1/3
This is because acknowledging it was happening would require

1. Pronouncing the Chemical weapons convention is as dead as the London Naval treaty, and

2/3
2. Spending money to do something about it, starting with the idea Chinese bug spraying drones will also be used to deliver nerve gas.

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Read 4 tweets
Trent Telenko Profile picture
May 31
This is not new.⬇️

Enemies of the West have been using cellphone networks against Western militaries since the 2006 Israeli invasion of Lebanon.

The Houthi are currently targeting ships in the Red Sea using the cell network they control to ping smart phones of ship crews.
1/
I did a thread on the exploitation of cell networks for drone targeting on December 2023.

2/
David Axe was talking about an early version of the Russian Drone cell phone navigation Serhii "Flash" is discussing in 2023.

3/
Read 9 tweets

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