Artur Rehi Profile picture
Jun 24 12 tweets 5 min read Read on X
The appointment of Robert Brovdi, known by his call sign "Madyar," as head of the Unmanned Systems Forces of Ukraine has already yielded noticeable results, according to Russian military bloggers. They report that Ukrainian drone strikes are now primarily aimed at eliminating
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Russian UAV operators. Madyar has openly declared his goal of building a "drone wall" along the entire front line and destroying up to 35,000 Russian soldiers per month—the estimated number that the Russian army can mobilize on a monthly basis. He advocates for establishing
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dedicated UAV units for each section of the front line, with operators who are intimately familiar with their own sector, rather than deploying UAV teams as a mobile reserve shuffled between hotspots. His concept is to create a continuous "kill zone" across the whole
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frontline where defense relies not on bunkers, manpower, and fortifications, but on the work of FPV drones. The first step to making such a strategy effective, according to him, is the elimination of enemy UAV assets—removing Russian reconnaissance and strike capabilities
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and directly targeting enemy drone pilots. Russian sources claim that Madyar has now been granted expanded authority and access to a wide range of weaponry, including the ability to direct HIMARS missile strikes, which he is reportedly already employing. They also note a
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decline in attacks on Russian logistics and rear areas, as Ukrainian drone efforts increasingly focus on targeting UAV operator teams. Madyar's unique combat experience highlights the key difference between the Russian and Ukrainian militaries. Despite all the institutional
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challenges and remnants of Soviet military culture, Ukraine’s army is evolving—and figures like Robert Brovdi are proof of this transformation. Having started in the Territorial Defense Forces, he led an assault platoon and in May-June 2022 created his own aerial
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reconnaissance unit called "Madyar's Birds," which became the first in the Ukrainian military to specialize in both reconnaissance and strike UAV operations. Thanks to its effectiveness, he was promoted to the rank of major and is now the Commander of Ukraine’s Unmanned
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Systems Forces. This kind of rapid and merit-based career advancement would be unimaginable in the Russian military. Russian observers recognize him as a highly capable and dangerous commander who fully understands the potential and limits of drone warfare—and they are
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right to do so. Madyar’s focus on targeting Russian manpower rather than hardware also indicates how depleted Russian technical resources have become. Ukrainian reports from the Sumy direction, where Russia has recently intensified attacks, mention almost no significant
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enemy equipment losses—only a few destroyed transport vehicles. If Madyar succeeds in reaching his ambitious target of 35,000 Russian soldiers killed or wounded per month, it could deprive Russia of its last major advantage: sheer numerical superiority in manpower.
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Without this, Russia's ability to sustain offensive operations may collapse, as its capacity for large-scale mechanized assaults has already been severely reduced.
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More from @ArturRehi

Jun 26
Ultimately, the main achievement of both Putin and Trump is that NATO has now committed to increasing annual defense spending to at least 5% of GDP by no later than 2035 — a level unseen since the Cold War. Previously, the target was just 2%. Some countries, like Estonia,
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are already set to reach this threshold as early as next year. Spain opposed the move, but it is geographically the farthest from the main threat — Russia. At least, that’s how it seems to them. But one should not forget that Russia’s core strategy revolves around hybrid
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threats, which have no borders. For major European countries — France, Germany, and others — the decisive factor was pressure from Trump. The war in Ukraine, ongoing since 2014, had not pushed Europe toward a more serious approach to security. While the Baltic states, Poland,
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Read 7 tweets
Jun 26
NATO suggests that Russia can sustain the war at its current pace until 2027. Of course, I may be accused of being sympathetic to Ukraine and having a biased opinion, but let’s look at the facts—what’s wrong with this statement? The Russian war machine currently relies on
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Soviet-era equipment reserves, a large number of soldiers, and the National Wealth Fund. Let’s start with the first point. Soviet equipment reserves are almost completely depleted. The offensive on Sumy is carried out mainly through infantry assaults, and the amount of
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destroyed Russian equipment in recent weeks is two to three times lower than during the same period in previous years. If Russia continues the war at the same pace, by 2027 almost all of its equipment will be gone—perhaps even the few donkeys they have. As for soldiers,
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Read 18 tweets
Jun 20
The war in Iran benefits Russia in the short term, but in the long run, the loss of Iran would be a major defeat for Moscow in the region, further weakening its already diminished position in the Middle East. The fall of Syria has significantly undermined Russia’s influence
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there, and Iran remains its last major ally in the region. Russia is trying to squeeze every possible advantage out of this unfavorable situation. The war in Iran distracts the West and its allies from the conflict in Ukraine, but the main gain for Russia is the rise in oil
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prices. Russia’s 2025 budget is under enormous strain because it was planned based on an oil price of $80 per barrel. However, since the summer of 2024, oil prices have been steadily falling, reaching around $50 per barrel for Urals crude in the spring of 2025. The war in
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Read 16 tweets
Jun 19
British intelligence notes that the conflict between Israel and Iran may put Russia in a difficult position; however, the Kremlin also sees the escalation as an opportunity for its own benefit. The agency recalled that Russia has no formal obligations to provide Iran with any
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military assistance in its conflict with Israel. The Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Agreement signed between Russia and Iran in January 2025 covers cooperation in a number of areas, including defense and security, but does not include a mutual defense clause.
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This contrasts with agreements between Russia and Belarus or North Korea. As noted in the review, Russia almost certainly sees some benefit in this conflict, as it diverts the attention of the international community from the war it has unleashed against Ukraine. "However,
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Read 5 tweets
Jun 16
Israel has demonstrated what it truly means to possess powerful air power — something Ukraine unfortunately still critically lacks. What else do Israel's strikes in the war with Iran reveal? Russia’s weakness. In January 2025, Russia signed a military cooperation agreement
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with Iran, in which both sides promised mutual military support in case of "security threats." But Russia's air defense systems did not work — nor did the agreement itself. The air defenses were neutralized in advance by Mossad agents during an operation similar to Ukraine’s
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Spiderweb. Israeli agents launched drones at numerous targets, including air defense systems, with these drones assembled inside Iran and launched from within the country. Now we have two countries — Russia and Iran — both bogged down in their own wars and unable to help
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Read 11 tweets
Jun 12
The best gift for Russia Day has been prepared by the Armed Forces of Ukraine – one million Russian army personnel neutralized. This figure does not represent the number of Russians killed, but the total losses suffered by Russia, including the wounded. The number of killed
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is estimated at approximately 400,000. However, this is not a reason for joy, because behind every killed Russian there is also a killed, wounded, missing, or captured Ukrainian. Ukraine’s total losses are currently estimated at around 400,000, of which about
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100,000–150,000 are KIA, the rest are wounded. About 10,000 Ukrainians are in captivity. One must not forget the conditions of Russian captivity compared to Ukrainian. It is no secret that Russian captivity is a real concentration camp with torture and murder. The exact
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Read 13 tweets

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