Let’s go through — one by one — 16 of the most vulnerable Republican House incumbents for 2026 that voted for this abomination of a bill that cuts Medicaid & SNAP benefits for millions of Americans, while cutting taxes for the rich.
Adams charitably had a 40% chance of winning if it was a 1:1 race vs. Mamdani, with a coalition of Black, Jewish, moderate, conservative, uber wealthy, non-college & low income New Yorkers
But even then he needed everything to go right to have a shot
With Sliwa in, it’s Joever
Mamdani should run through the tape regardless and take absolutely nothing for granted, and work to maximize the size of his citywide mandate.
But…I mean…the math is just not there to take him down in a 3 or 4-way race.