The Final Reckoning - A Nation Consumes Itself
🧵👇

I study the vix, geopolitics and currencies - trying to make sense of what is actually happening in the context of sound bites we get here or there from government.

Its hard to paint an actual picture from a single sound bite or news article.

But when you put them all together you paint a tapestry - some call it a masterpiece - others call it a dystopian hellscape.

For each point I will try to include a relevant news topic.

Lets begin.
The U.S. is not just struggling; it's in a death spiral.

Driven by hyperinflation & desperation, the government is making choices that solidify its descent into kleptocracy and civil breakdown.

Here’s the terrifying truth that is unfolding
Crypto: Not Innovation, But Capitulation.

The government, facing a worthless dollar, is now frantically trying to contain crypto by regulating it into the banking system.

This isn't forward-thinking; it's a desperate attempt to co-opt the flight from fiat before total loss of control.

Its an admission the dollar is no longer a store of value which is pretty damning for a government to turn against its own currency like this.

#DeDollarization #CryptoControl

abcnews.go.com/Business/geniu…
Codifying new "assets" into government function is an admission its own currency isnt plausible anymore
Even the buffett has weighed in :

“We wouldn't want to be owning anything that we thought was in a currency that was really going to hell, and that's the big thing we worry about with the United States currency,” he said candidly.

Here’s why the Oracle of Omaha is getting anxious about the future of the greenback.
Dollar’s decline

Buffett’s concerns about the value of the U.S. dollar stems from his observations of the government’s spending under President Donald Trump.

Despite the Trump administration’s efforts to curb spending, the government spent $200 billion more in the first 100 days of Trump’s term than in the same period last year, according to CBS News analysis of U.S. Treasury data.

finance.yahoo.com/news/warren-bu…
The Fed's Dogma: "Framework" Over Survival

Despite runaway prices, the Fed clings to a defunct "framework."

Their refusal to adapt to the real-world suffering means they will continue policies that guarantee the dollar's annihilation, prioritizing a nominal façade over the lives of millions.

#FedFailed #Hyperinflation

aier.org/article/rethin…
The VIX Lie: Market Illusion

While the VIX seems "calm," this is manufactured.

The government must suppress any sign of panic to prevent total capital flight.

It's a thin veneer over a roaring inferno, ensuring a more violent collapse when it finally breaks. #MarketManipulation #FinancialCollapse

m.economictimes.com/markets/stocks…
Any one who has followed me for any length of time has heard me say "Israel supports US equities" - they have no ethics or morals, and are not bound by US laws.

They are a natural ally to manage volatility, in exchange for bombs and bombing runs against their sworn enemy
Housing Apocalypse: Frozen & Worthless

The housing market is dead.

Inventory piles up as hyperinflation makes any transaction impossible.

For most, homes are now worthless in real terms, and an inescapable debt trap. #HousingCrash #RealEstateApocalypse

realtor.com/research/may-2…
Worse yet - the burden of owning a home is explosively higher - with no relief in site.

wsj.com/economy/housin…
New Homes: The Graveyard of Dreams.

New home sales are collapsing, leaving a wasteland of half-built structures.

This isn't just an industry dying; it's the systemic destruction of jobs & wealth, showing how fast the real economy vanished.

#EconomicCollapse #Unemployment
census.gov/construction/n…
CRE: The Bank Killer

Commercial Real Estate defaults are soaring, directly gutting the already fragile banking system.

This isn't a problem; it's the fuse on the final financial meltdown, with special servicers picking over the bones. #CRECrisis #BankingDoom

multihousingnews.com/special-servic…
Dynamic Pricing: Starvation by the Minute

Grocers adopting dynamic pricing in hyperinflation means the cost of food changes hourly.

This is not innovation; it's a direct mechanism for the impoverished to starve faster, as their worthless wages chase ever-climbing prices. #FoodCrisis #HyperinflationExplodes

forbes.com/sites/jennmcmi…
Selling the Farm: Our Last Assets

The government's desperate attempt to sell off federal lands to raise capital, however politically challenged, is a sign of total fiscal insolvency.

They're liquidating national heritage for scraps of real value. #FiscalMeltdown #NationalBetrayal

cpr.org/2025/06/25/fed…
"Golden Visa": Selling Citizenship for Survival

The US is effectively selling its citizenship via the EB-5 program.

This isn't about economic growth; it's a desperate revenue grab, typical of collapsing island nations, now adopted by a "superpower" on its knees.
#CitizenshipForSale #FailedState

holbornpass.com/usa-eb5/what-i…
Guns Over Bread: The Ultimate Betrayal

In a final, deluded act of "strength," the US pours what little real resources it has into military spending, starving every other essential service.

This is the last gasp of an empire, sacrificing its people for a show of force. #GunsVsButter #ImperialOverstretch

csis.org/analysis/what-…
Debt's Embrace: Drowning in Interest

For the first time, interest on debt exceeds defense spending.

This means the US is spending more to service past mistakes than to defend itself.

Fiscal insolvency is now undeniable and crippling. #DebtSpiral #Bankruptcy

pgpf.org/article/the-un…
Global Retreat & Betrayal: Foreign Aid Cuts

The US cuts foreign aid, abandoning its last vestiges of soft power and humanitarian responsibility.

This fuels global instability and refugee crises, turning the world even more against a collapsing America. #GlobalIsolation #HumanitarianCrisis

rescue.org/13-countries-i…
Government Dismantled: Power Consolidates

Mass firings of IGs, cuts to EPA, DoH, IRS, and Social Security (causing massive delays/denials) are not just budget cuts.

It's a deliberate dismantling of checks, balances, and vital services to consolidate unchecked power. #Authoritarianism #DeepStatePurge

(for cuts): spectrumlocalnews.com/international/…

(for DOJ/FCPA focus shifts, implying less broad oversight): natlawreview.com/article/dojs-n…
Starvation Wage: The Government's Cruelty

The vehement refusal to raise minimum wage amidst hyperinflation guarantees the working poor starve. It's a deliberate policy of impoverishment, ensuring no dissent from a desperate populace. #WageSlavery #SocialUnrest

investopedia.com/ask/answers/05…
Bankrupt Banks: The Ripple Effect

Loan failures are soaring.

This is the inevitable crash as the real economy dies, directly pushing banks into insolvency.

No business or individual can repay debt with a worthless currency & no income. #BankingCrisis #LoanDefaults

spglobal.com/ratings/en/res…
Reputational Risk Removed: License to Cheat

The Fed removes reputational risk from bank exams.

This is a license for fraud and predatory behavior.

The system is telling banks: "Cheat, we don't care, just keep our paper Ponzi going." #RegulatoryCapture #FinancialFraud

pymnts.com/cryptocurrency…
SLR to Zero: Unlimited Debt Absorption

The Fed effectively eliminates the SLR for Treasury purchases. This forces banks to absorb infinite amounts of worthless government debt, hyper-inflating the money supply into oblivion.

It's desperate, last-gasp debt monetization. #DebtMonetization #HyperinflationarySpiral

ainvest.com/news/fed-propo…
Chevron Overturned: Regulatory Anarchy

The Supreme Court overturning Chevron deference strips all "teeth" from regulatory bodies. There are now no effective checks on corporate power or government overreach. Lawlessness reigns. #JudicialActivism #Deregulation

naco.org/news/us-suprem…
Now that you have context - not just imaginary bullshit - take a moment to compare and contrast
Lets keep going -

Environmental Destruction Unleashed

EPA rolls back key environmental laws.

This isn't about efficiency; it's about allowing unchecked pollution & resource exploitation by the powerful, further devastating the land and public health.

#EnvironmentalCollapse #Ecocide

hklaw.com/en/insights/pu…
Delay PFAS limit rules...they dont care if you get cancer
npr.org/sections/shots…
Anti-Corruption: Officially Abandoned

Investigations halted, asset caps lifted, anti-corruption laws removed.

The US has formally become a kleptocracy, where the powerful can steal with impunity.

The rule of law is dead. #Kleptocracy #NoAccountability

winston.com/en/blogs-and-p…


I fed this all to grok - ask it questions - this is your opportunity to shine!x.com/i/grok/share/o…

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More from @VietVantage

Oct 27, 2025
This green line is called "the formula"

It tracks the stonk with near perfection.

The math....
(FX:USDJPY-1/CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE*2)/FX_IDC:USDGBP/(FX_IDC:USDEUR*0.576)/(TVC:VIX*0.000001)/24000000

👇🧵 Image
It is also known as the EU$ or the "euro dollar" and sometimes you will see it as s$.

It is made up of japanesea yen (red)
2nd chart zoomed in Image
Image
the spice (oil) (in white)- something USA is mad at russia, venezuala, iran, iraq, india and china about

I want to draw your attention on the left side how the green line tracks oil, and how the right side its desperately trying to track the red line....

2nd chart zoomed in Image
Image
Read 36 tweets
Sep 28, 2025
The US is hell bent on destroying the dollar.

I got curious why US would extend a swap line to a shit country that has failed to repay its debts.

For context here is the weekly view of USDARS

Up on this chart is massive inflation for the locals.

The currency is worthless
👇🧵 Image
China said no more Image
US stepped in (shit) Image
Image
Read 15 tweets
Sep 26, 2025
I look at the market upside down from you, but today i'll make an exception.

This is OVX - its oil volatility.

OVX and VIX are positively correlated.

On this chart? Ovx is rising (going down).
👇🧵 Image
OVX and SPY are negatively correlated.

If you are a bull you want the yellow line to go up Image
That is the 5y USA bond. When it goes up it costs more to take an autoloan or borrow money.

Markets traditionally do not like it when yields go up like this. Image
Read 54 tweets
Jun 26, 2025
This is beef.

Since covid its up nearly 175%

Many of you eat hamburger and madonnas.

This is why madonna's is no longer affordable.
👇🧵 Image
Here is mcdonna's vs beef

"Oz - they didnt collapse with beef going up??!"

correct.

And there's raisons.... Image
Enter currencies - zimbabwe'ing the currency has implications for the underlying

when u c it Image
Read 15 tweets
Jun 17, 2025
Lets build.

This is my calculated vix.
The higher it goes the higher the vix should be.

👇🧵 Image
It is a function of bond yields.
Bond yields SLOW the markets down.
Its MORE expensive to borrow

The west runs on finance- price of debt (the yield) matters a lot, just like it matters to you when you buy a car a house or put chipotle on credit. Image
Zoomed in on right side Image
Read 42 tweets
Jun 17, 2025
A while back i calculated what the vix SHOULD be based on yields.

(1) you can see clear correlation
(2) it broke but the peaks still match
🧵👇 Image
The vix is a function of bond yields. Image
Read 9 tweets

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