It’s hard to believe that a country as small as Israel has been able to stir the Middle East upside down for over seventy years—fighting from Lebanon all the way to Iran, then swinging back to bomb any surrounding country right and left at will without any resistance. You might think Israel is crazy, yet its strikes are always sharp and calculated, its operations cold and clean—like those of a virtuoso killer. Israel is the most formidable killer of the Middle East.
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The Begin Doctrine: always no-warning, always first-strike
Someone once said: Israel is like that neighbour who drops down through your ceiling at midnight, blows up your rice cooker, and the next morning says, “Sorry, I thought you were hiding a bomb.” The joke is crude, but the metaphor lands.
Because its neighbours—Syria, Lebanon, Iran, even Egypt and Jordan—haven't always been pushovers. These are nations with standing armies and weapons to spare. And yet, time and again, in this powder keg of a region, they end up flat on their backs, blinking at the sky. Why? Simple. Israel doesn’t rely on landmass or manpower. It survives by striking hard and speaking little. That’s its edge.
To understand Israel’s strength, you need to understand where it comes from. This country wasn’t so much founded as it was fought into existence. In 1948, the moment it declared independence, five neighbouring countries rushed in to crush it. The result? A newborn nation in its crib punched five grown men in the face—and carved out even more land than the UN had given it.
That first war shaped its worldview: only fists can guard a homeland. Since then, Israel has lived by one rule—if you look at me the wrong way, I’ll hit first. It doesn’t wait. It doesn’t warn. When Israel hits, first your airstrike goes, then your nuclear site, then your commanders. If you complain, next comes your capital, reduced to rubbles.
But this ruthlessness isn’t arbitrary —it’s doctrine. Israel’s entire military strategy is built on two pillars: pre-emption and absolute regional military dominance. That means it never waits for you to be ready. While you’re brushing your teeth in the morning, still fumbling with the toothpaste cap, its missiles are already on the way.
This isn’t hyperbole—it’s history. In the Six-Day War of 1967, Israel’s opening airstrike wiped out 90% of Egypt’s air force before they even got off the ground. Arab capitals were left speechless.
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Unapologetic Terrorism as Founding Principle of the Country
And it doesn’t stop at regular warfare. Israel favours terrorist decapitation strikes. In 1988, Mossad agents crossed the sea into Tunisia and assassinated Abu Jihad, the number two in the PLO (Palestine Liberation Organization), in front of his family. Inflatable boats slipped ashore under moonlight. A few precise shots, and they were gone.
Is this how a country fights wars? Apparently, yes. Because while Israel operates as a state, it has mastered the tactics of a non-state terrorist group.
In fact, its roots run deep in that tradition. Before independence, the Jewish underground—Haganah, Irgun, Lehi—were experts in bombings and assassinations. After 1948, these same men, ruthless terrorists, became the generals, ministers, and architects of the new nation. Israel may be the only modern state founded on terrorist insurgent tactics—and rather than abandon them, it refined them into official state doctrine.
This instinct to strike first is in the country’s DNA. Before 1948, Jewish paramilitary groups operated as true terrorist organizations:
Haganah, founded in 1920, began as a defense union but soon adopted violent tactics alongside extremist offshoots.
In 1931, Irgun (Etzel) split, led by Revisionist Zionist Ze’ev Jabotinsky and later Menachem Begin. They claimed bombings and assassinations were legitimate tools—targeting Arabs, British, even Jewish moderates.
In 1940, Lehi (the Stern Gang) broke away from Irgun. Under leader Avraham Stern, they even flirted with forming alliances with Nazi Germany—seeing terror as divine mandate.
These groups staged some of the most notorious acts of Zionist terror:
The King David Hotel bombing (1946), killing 91 people
The Deir Yassin massacre (1948), where Irgun and Lehi killed over 100 villagers
The assassination of British officials like Lord Moyne
The murder of UN mediator Bernadotte
Numerous bombings in Haifa, Jerusalem, and across Palestine
These weren’t fringe radicals disgraced and condemned worldwide like Osama Bin Laden—they were future prime ministers and state-builders: Menachem Begin (Irgun → Herut → Likud → PM), Yitzhak Shamir (Lehi → PM). Even David Ben-Gurion, from Haganah, oversaw coordinated terror campaigns that would lead to Palestinian displacement. Terror—not principles or ideals—built this nation.
Warrior State: Civilian Soldiers, Unit 8200 (the New Digital/AI Mossad), and the Military-Industrial Complex
But don’t be fooled into thinking it only knows how to sneak attack. Israel’s real strength isn’t in weapons—it’s in systemized efficiency.
In war, speed is everything. Other countries need months to mobilize. Israel needs three hours. Take the recent flare-up with Iran: Tehran launched hundreds of drones and missiles. Israel intercepted most mid-air, then mobilized 300,000 reservists within days.
That’s not rhetoric—that’s execution.
In the U.S., such a response would need Congress, debate, headlines, protests. In Israel, a single text: “Report for duty.” And people show up. Because in Israel, “citizen-soldier” isn’t a slogan—it’s a societal structure. Men serve three years, women two. After that, you still return to base for annual training until your forties. Behind 170,000 active troops lies a reserve force over 600,000 strong. This is a state permanently at the ready.
And then there’s Unit 8200—the elite cyber force. Teen prodigies are recruited young, trained in data, surveillance, and cyberwarfare. After service, they go on to launch startups, build chips, write algorithms. Some become tech billionaires. Half the world’s leading cybersecurity firms trace their roots to Israeli veterans.
They don’t just fight—they profit.
The Iron Dome system is a case in point. Each Hamas rocket intercepted becomes a marketing video. Washington watches, impressed: “I’ll take one.” Europe queues up. India arrives with open wallets. Is this war—or advertising? Hard to say. But what’s clear is that war fuels Israel’s arms exports.
In 2024, its defense sales hit $14.8 billion, nearly cracking the global top four. For a country this small, it’s becoming the Shein/Temu of military hardware.
That’s why Israel is addicted to war: it’s all benefits and no loss. Each war expands its territory, swells its coffers, and doubles as a global advertisement for its arms industry. One war after another gave rise to a thriving military-industrial complex in Israel. The country has thus embarked upon a self-perpetuating cycle—war feeding war—in a vicious loop of profit and power.
Unconditional US Support, Jewish Capital Web, and Global Pro-Israel Narrative
Of course, none of this works without American support. And Washington has Israel’s back like no other. The F-35 fighter jet? Israel was the first in the region to get it. Radar, defense data—fully shared. U.S. law even forbids selling weapons to other Middle Eastern countries if they might threaten Israel’s advantage. So while Israel gets the power-ups, others get the handicaps.
Since 1946, U.S. aid has topped $158 billion. In 2024 alone, $14.3 billion in emergency support. And that’s just the visible part—add in Jewish capital from Wall Street to Silicon Valley, and Israel’s support network runs deep.
So when you are fighting against Israel, you're also fighting against the US military, Wall Street, the City of London, the western press—virtually the whole western world. That’s why it’s very difficult to knock down Israel.
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The Frustration and Desperation of Israel: In Need of a Real Enemy
So you ask: do its neighbors really have no response? They try—but they’re too weak. Syria built a nuclear reactor; Israel bombed it. Iran pushed nuclear development; Israel assassinated its scientists. Iraq hinted at building a reactor—Israel flew a thousand kilometers to destroy Osirak. One by one, no one struck back effectively.
This is the famous Begin Doctrine in action: a policy of preemptive action against potential nuclear threats.
Some filed UN complaints. Israel got scolded. And then? More bombing next month. That’s the paradox—if a state strikes often, with high success, and pays little price, why wouldn’t it keep going?
Yet don’t mistake that for strength.
Israel’s precision, its speed—they’re signs of desperation. Look at the current situation. After decades of fighting, Palestine isn’t subdued. Lebanon hasn’t surrendered. Iran stands defiant. If anything, the region is messier than ever.
Today, Israel doesn’t face states—it faces guerillas: Hamas, Hezbollah, Houthis—militias without flags or borders.
These guerrillas are as slippery as snakes—impossible to eliminate. After decades of frustration, Israel responds with mass killings of civilians and strikes on aid convoys. The world watches and is scandalized: “Why target civilians? Why bomb humanitarian relief?” Welcome to the new Israeli doctrine of "Kill them all" after "Begin doctrine" of First Strike has failed.
Israel is increasingly frustrated and desperate. That’s why it so wants to take out Iran. At least Iran is a real country. Not ghost guerillas.
In the past, no state has ever won a war against Israel (Egyptian on X claims they won the Yom Kippur war in 1973, just as Indians claim they have won the recent war against Pakistan). Israel’s guerrilla enemies adapt. They shoot and vanish, burrowing underground, relocating miles overnight. One day a fighter, the next a popsicle vendor outside a school.
Israeli indiscriminate drone strikes cause mass civilian casualties, and every image becomes a PR crisis. In this no-win theater, Israel is stuck. Strike, and it’s condemned. Hold back, and its own people call it weak. The whole country of Israel now adheres to Kill them all doctrine since Begin doctrine doesn't work.
Netanyahu knows Hamas won’t disappear. But the hardliners, the religious right, the arms lobby—they pressure him relentlessly. Show weakness, and the street turns on him. Don’t attack, you’re a traitor; attack and fail, you’re incompetent.
So he hits first. Worry later.
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A Cornered Beast: No Exit Strategy
This is Israel’s current logic: even if it can’t win, it must strike. If you stay hidden, you’re temporarily safe—for now. If you show your face, expect a bullet. It creates short-term security—but solves nothing.
And the biggest prize? Iran. After all, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis—are Iran’s proxies. Take Iran out, and Israel might earn a few years of peace. That’s the dream. Maybe, just maybe, the U.S. will join in.
But Israel isn’t as strong as it seems. It produces only 5% of its food. Its natural resources are almost nonexistent. Drip irrigation masks severe water scarcity. Its tech sector is shiny—but war isn’t built on apps. GDP lags behind perception. Purchasing power is weak. Cut off Western aid, and the economy bleeds.
Life for ordinary Israelis? Stagnant. Prices high, conscription heavy, protests frequent. So no—it doesn’t dominate because it’s invincible. It fights because it has nowhere to retreat. That’s what makes it dangerous: a cornered beast, claws drawn.
And yet—it hasn’t collapsed. Why? One answer: structure. Its military runs like clockwork. Political chaos doesn’t touch the army. Tech, arms, agriculture, and finance operate in parallel.
And globally? The Jewish network of capital, from L.A. to London, Zurich to Singapore, offers financial and media cover. This isn’t conspiracy—it’s infrastructure. You strike Israel, and you’re striking tendrils linked to global systems. It can bleed—but not break.
The War of Words and the Arab Inaction
Worse still, Israel has mastered the war of words. Every conflict begins with cries of victimhood, children’s photos, shattered schools. CNN and BBC amplify the grief. You criticize, and you’re labeled antisemitic. You think you’re attacking policy; they say you’re attacking identity.
This is real asymmetric warfare—not just in missiles, but in narrative. Israel bombs your city and calls it self-defense. You protest, and you’re the terrorist.
Why don’t Arab states unite and retaliate? They tried—six times. They lost—six times.
Arab states have attacked Israel six times—1948, 1956, 1967, 1967–70, 1973, and 1982—and each war ended in defeat.
Today, these states are fragmented, distrusting each other, battling internal conflicts. Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon—all have issues at home; they can’t unite. Only Iran remains a serious threat—but even then, mostly through proxies.
Israel bets that if it can decapitate Iran’s network, it can secure a longer peace.
Egypt fears the Muslim Brotherhood. Saudi Arabia fears Shia expansion. Syria is mired in civil war. Iraq is a wreck. Lebanon can’t govern itself. Only Iran wants to fight—but until now, only through proxies.
This time, Israel crossed a line, and Iran hit back—for pride, if nothing else. But no one else wants in. So Israel keeps winning—small battles, one warlord at a time. A few strikes, a few condemnations, and next month it starts again.
Conclusion: Why Israel Is So Hard to Beat
So the question returns: why is Israel so hard to beat?
Not because it’s powerful—but because it’s terrified of losing.
It was born of trauma, hardened by siege. It’s a nation that learned early how to fight like a cornered hedgehog—sharp, small, never still. It doesn’t win because it’s unbeatable. It fights because it has no exit.
Just panic, masked in precision and brutality.
Like an intruder locked in a room, surrounded on all sides, trying to punch through the wall—before the wall closes in.
Conclusion: Why Israel Is So Hard to Beat
So the question returns: why is Israel so hard to beat?
Not because it’s powerful—but because it’s terrified of losing.
It was born of trauma, hardened by siege. It’s a nation that learned early how to fight like a cornered hedgehog—sharp, small, never still. It doesn’t win because it’s unbeatable. It fights because it has no exit.
Just panic, masked in precision and brutality.
Like an intruder locked in a room, surrounded on all sides, trying to punch through the wall—before the wall closes in.
Some say Israel is nothing without the West.
That it would crumble without U.S. weapons, U.S. dollars, and U.S. cover at the UN.
That it survives on borrowed power, like a parasite latched onto a dying empire.
But that’s only half the story.
Israel is not just a country. It is the crystallization of a project — global, powerful and brutal. A settler colony with nukes. A permanent war machine wrapped in the language of trauma.
It does not stand alone, because it was never meant to.
It is embedded — in the boardrooms of New York, the studios of Hollywood, the editorial rooms of London, the campaign war chests of Washington.
It thrives not just on foreign aid, but on narrative dominance.
On the ability to make atrocity look like self-defense.
To turn a siege into a security measure.
To starve a people and call it anti-terrorism. Starving terrorists to death, they say.
Israel is the outpost — but not just of Western interests. It is also the projection of a powerful transnational elite, fluent in finance, in media, in lawfare. An extended state whose borders are not geographic, but institutional.
So no — Israel is not nothing without the West.
It is the West — at its most distilled, its most desperate, its most dishonest.
A mirror of its violence, its hypocrisy, and its will to dominate.
A testing ground for weapons and language alike.
Every strike on Gaza is a press release. Every Iron Dome interception, an arms expo.
To underestimate Israel is to underestimate the system that built it, sustains it, and uses it — not in spite of its crimes, but because of them.
Israel is the portrait of Dorian Gray hanging in the attic of the West. While Europe reinvented itself with liberal veneers and human rights rhetoric, the violence, dispossession, and racial hierarchies of its colonial age didn’t vanish—they were simply externalized, preserved, and projected into the body of Israel. The brutality once used to annihilate native peoples in the Americas, to enslave millions across Africa, and to carve up the Middle East, found a second life in the Zionist project. Israel became a vessel for the West’s unresolved past—a continuation of imperial habits under the guise of modern democracy.
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The Knife Within: How Iran’s Secular Elite Enabled the June 12 Strike
Below is a rewrite of a video by 阿冉 on Bilibili/YouTube. I strongly advise Chinese to follow him for indepth knowledge of Iran.
In a single night, Israel executed a brutal decapitation strike on Iran’s nuclear elite. Through billowing smoke, the military suffered one blow after another: Commander-in-Chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), Hossein Salami; Chief of General Staff, Mohammad Bagheri; Deputy Chief, Ali Rashid — all obliterated. Even top nuclear scientists like Dr. Abbas and Dr. Tranchi were taken out in pinpoint assassinations. Iran’s nuclear command was wiped clean. The Mossad's precision was astonishing. Has Iran been so thoroughly infiltrated that it’s become a sieve? Otherwise, how could Israel have obtained such top-secret intelligence?
Has Iran really been riddled with American and Israeli spies? The answer is "Yes". Without a doubt. In fact, "infiltrated like a sieve" doesn't even begin to describe it. Half of Iran might as well be American or Israeli agents.
The Supreme Leader Khamenei’s granddaughter studies in the U.S. Iran’s top officials use iPhones. Their government emails run on Gmail. If Qassem Soleimani wasn’t assassinated, or Hussein wasn't targeted — that would’ve been the real surprise.
But here’s the twist: it wasn’t the Mossad or the CIA that turned Iran into a sieve. It was Iran itself. To be specific — Iran’s secular elite.
What outsiders see as foreign infiltration is, in fact, internal warfare. And the one who planted the seeds of this civil war? None other than the father of the Islamic Republic himself: Ruhollah Khomeini.
Video is Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. His family controls a business empire of USD 95 billion.
Khomeini. 1979: The Fracture of Revolution
When the 1979 Islamic Revolution broke out, Khomeini, exiled in France, returned to Tehran in triumph.
But with Khomeini’s rise, Iran was torn in two:
On one side, the clerical theocracy, led by Khomeini.
On the other, the secular elite, represented by the leftist Tudeh Party.
During the revolution, the clergy and the leftists were allies. But once victory was secured, Khomeini launched a brutal purge.
The Tudeh Party was decimated, and Khomeini stood alone at the top.
But in doing so, he made a fatal mistake:
By destroying the left, he left behind only right-wing secularists, many of them pro-American.
Worse still, the ferocity of his purge planted a seed of distrust:
“You can’t trust these clerics. Side with them, and you’re next to be eliminated”.
Thus, the secular camp swung hard to the right.
Even with his iron grip, Khomeini lacked one thing — guns.
Revolutions are not built on divine slogans. Power grows from the barrel of a gun (Mao Zedong).
And Iran’s military at the time? Loyal only to the Shah.
Khomeini could command God, but not the army.
Then, in September 1980, Saddam Hussein gave him the perfect excuse:
The Iran-Iraq War.
Under Iraqi fire, Iran’s military rallied behind the clerics.
Khomeini purged the Shah’s officers and built a new force: the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).
The Shah army's upper leadership was decimated. It was stripped of political power.
The old army was wiped out, and the new one answered only to him.
But the war was catastrophic — over a million dead.
In 1982, Khomeini launched a suicidal “Islamic kamikaze” offensive.
13-year-old boys were handed plastic “keys to paradise” and sent to blow themselves up against Iraqi lines.
Twenty-one thousand children became human bombs.
This was holy war in its most fanatical form.
The video is of Khomeini.
The Rise of the IRGC Business Empire
After the war ended in 1988, Iran launched a new campaign:
the “Shia Crescent” — Hezbollah in 1982, Shia rule in Iraq by 2003, Syria in 2011, the Houthis in 2015.
For over two decades, Soleimani’s Quds Force blazed a path of blood across the region.
While the clergy sacrificed lives in jihad, the secular elite suffered the economic consequences.
But what truly enraged them wasn’t U.S. sanctions. It was this:
The IRGC grew rich and powerful — stealing the secular elite’s wealth.
Iran’s power structure is a battlefield in real time.
I (阿冉)once met a Chinese businessman in Mashhad who traded minerals with the IRGC.
Pointing to a giant poster of Soleimani, he spat:
“These so-called anti-American heroes? They’re a joke. Their houses are piled high with U.S. dollars.
The IRGC isn’t a military. It’s a corporation. And a very greedy one at that.”
He wasn’t exaggerating.
The IRGC runs Iran’s minerals, energy, and foreign trade.
Its oil smuggling network disguises Iranian oil as Iraqi oil, selling it globally through a front company:
Al-Muhandis Group — a conglomerate that also dominates Iraq’s infrastructure.
Even my (阿冉) war correspondent was shocked:
“Baghdad looks like Las Vegas.”
Every skyscraper? IRGC-built.
As that Chinese trader put it:
“Holy warriors my foot. Try religious capitalists. The ‘Axis of Resistance’? It's a business network.”
The IRGC’s empire squeezed Iran’s private sector dry.
Companies linked to it — like Khatam al-Anbiya Construction HQ and the Martyrs' Academy — crushed the competition.
Thirteen of Iran’s top construction firms went bankrupt.
From the secular elite’s perspective:
The IRGC stole our business, destroyed our careers.
Who cares about national unity?
If taking down the IRGC means cooperating with the enemy — so be it.
Today’s assassinations don’t shock Iranians.
They see it as karmic retribution.
The elite in Iran and Iraq live in luxury and opulence. Right video is Baghdad and the left is Tehran.
The Coup That Failed but Awaits: Mossad’s Strike, the Secular Elite, and Iran’s Stubborn Persian Pride
Iran has long been a paradox — a revolutionary theocracy armored in ideology, yet hollowed out from within by a secular elite. Beneath the surface, pro-Western factions have quietly prepared for a post-Khamenei future, betting that the Supreme Leader’s death would be their moment to seize power.
But Iran is not a country that bends easily. Its identity — forged in Aryan pride, Shia defiance, and imperial memory — has made it difficult for even its closest partners, like China or Russia, to interfere. The pride that once protected it from colonization now risks blinding it at its most fragile moment.
The Persian way of asking for help is peculiar. It goes something like this, “We are the frontline. We're holding the line for you. If we fall, the threat will come straight to your doorstep.”
Sounds like a threat. China doesn't know what to make of it.
Let's sort out the Gordon knot of the Iran society and you will see why it's a place where angel fear to tread.
The first chapter of this Iranian regime was written in November 1979. Fifty-two American diplomats and citizens were taken hostage at the U.S. embassy in Tehran and were held for 444 days before released. As the crowd of students prepared to storm the gates, someone asked Khomeini, “Can we go in? Will America retaliate?” His answer came without hesitation: “America? They won’t dare.”
At that time, Iran had no strong army, no nuclear arsenal, no powerful allies. Just revolutionary momentum. The U.S. tried to respond with Operation Eagle Claw (Not a pun 😃) in 1980. It failed: helicopters crashed, soldiers died, no hostages were rescued. Iran, against all odds, became the David that had humiliated Goliath.
They have done it again this time. 🧵
But forty-five years later, for years leading up to June 12, that revolutionary legacy is unraveling. The revolution’s fervor is fading. A secular, bureaucratic elite — Western-educated, anti-clerical — waits in the wings. The Mossad strike in June 2025 was designed to shatter the balance and cause a coup from within. It failed. But the plan is only dormant, not dead. It bides its time — waiting for Khamenei’s funeral.
Under President Pezeshkian, internet censorship was lifted. Nuclear talks resumed. During the Syria crisis, Iran didn’t intervene for Syria — it backed out. The tiger turned into a cat.
It thought it was a chess master, but Syria changed the board.
Do you know why Israel dared to strike on June 12? Because it thought the response from Iran would be the habitual theatrical symbolic retaliation of no consequence like in the past. But Israel miscalculated. Iran's aggressive response was totally unexpected.
But before June 12, Iran was becoming weaker and weaker.
What caused this shift? Not the people — the problem lies with the elite.
The old aristocracy carries a sickness, rooted in three pathologies: the legacy of Aryan racial superiority, the trauma of colonization, and a spiritual loyalty to Western capitalism. These forces have undermined Iran’s revolutionary spine.
For centuries, Iran was ruled by outsiders—
Arabs, Azerbaijanis, Turkmen.
Each new ruler, a reminder of loss of the glory of the Persian empire.
Iran's Aryan myth runs deep. In 1926, Reza Shah declared, “A pure-blooded Aryan is now king.” Nazi Germany officially classified Iranians as “pure Aryans” in 1936. Even today, traces of this thinking remain in the elite class — disdain for Arabs, suspicion of Turks, contempt for East Asians, even as China defies sanctions to be the sole buyer of Iranian oil. Mocking Chinese or Koreans? They call it humor. But inside that joke lies racial arrogance.
That's why Iran has repeatedly declined to buy Chinese arms and integrated package of aerial defense, saying "We want to be independent. We don't need your help. We can produce on our own”. The Chinese and their products are perceived not to be on par with the Persian Aryans.
This Persian pride comes from their empire memories embodied in their ancient scripture Shahnameh.
The ideological backbone of Iran’s modern theocracy doesn’t rest solely on Islam. It also draws from a much older, deeply ingrained civilizational myth: the Shahnameh — the thousand-year-old Persian epic by Ferdowsi. Though not a religious text, the Shahnameh functions as Iran’s cultural scripture — a Persian Talmud of sorts — recounting the rise and fall of noble kings, heroic resistance against foreign invaders, and a constant struggle to uphold justice. When leaders like Khamenei say “Neither East nor West,” they aren’t speaking only as Shia clerics; they are channeling a Persian worldview that predates Islam — one that sees Iran as an eternal civilization, too proud to submit to Rome, too dignified to follow Moscow, (or God forbid the Upstart China) and too ancient to be colonized by Washington.
So in 1979, Khomeini shouted:
"Neither East nor West—only Islam!"
No to America. No to the Soviets.
Only internal strength.
So when China and Russia proposed closer military cooperation, Iran politely declined.
And then there’s the Shia wound — a thousand-year trauma of marginalization by Sunni power, from Karbala to modern exclusion. Like Israel invokes the Holocaust, Iran invokes Shia martyrdom. It feels orphaned, shunned by Sunni Arabs, its defiance born of loneliness.
Inside Iran, three powers vie for control: the clerics, the IRGC (Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, the private army of Khamenei), and the secular elite. The IRGC is nothing revolutionary — it's a bunch of oligarchs now controlling a third of the Iranian economy. The seculars are locked out of that privilege and wealth. So they look abroad. They whisper and wave to Tel Aviv, “Come and liberate us”. They hint at peace, trade, suspending the nuclear program, and expelling the Chinese — if only someone would remove the generals.
Soleimani’s death wasn’t random. It sent a message: the IRGC isn’t invincible. The secular elite can't take them out but Israel can. Since then, one upon another decapitation strike have thinned the IRGC ranks. But Khamenei remains. Because even the seculars fear what happens if they go too far.
Millions still see him as sacred. They would rise if he calls.
So the seculars wait. The coup didn’t fail. It’s on hold.
Netanyahu talks about a decapitation strike of the supreme leader — not just metaphorically. The real coup awaits the funeral.
The secular elite — and their backers in Tel Aviv and Washington — believed the Israeli strike would fracture Iran from within. They envisioned angry crowds pouring into the streets, disillusioned youth storming ministries, and the clerical regime crumbling under its own contradictions. The plan was clear: provoke a national trauma, ignite an uprising, and let the urbane elite seize power. But that coup never happened. Instead, the nation was stunned into silence. The humiliation was too great. No one moved. For now, the state holds.
Despite this, the Islamic Republic is far from monolithic. Iran remains split between its urban elite and rural masses. The cities are filled with Westernized youth fluent in English, frequenting cafés, bars, and galleries, their identities increasingly divorced from the Islamic state. But in the countryside and working-class towns, the regime still draws overwhelming support. This silent majority, often unseen by foreign analysts, still reveres the Supreme Leader. The theocracy has deep roots. Even the president, seen as a reformist and secular figure, must operate under Khamenei’s shadow. Every diplomatic outreach, every Western-facing maneuver, is vetted and authorized by the Supreme Leader himself. It's not an exaggeration to say that Khamenei authorized this rapprochement with the West.
The Revolutionary Guards, once born out of ideological purity, are now plagued by corruption. These are no longer the barefoot revolutionaries of 1979. Their children drive Ferraris through northern Tehran. Their wives vacation in Europe, shop in Dubai, and invest in Canadian real estate. The IRGC’s economic empire spans construction, telecoms, energy, and black-market imports. What was once a people's army has become a cartel. Meanwhile, the clerical establishment is controlled by a few powerful families — Rafsanjani, Khomeini, Khatami, Larijani, and Yazdi. These clerics behave more like feudal lords than spiritual leaders. Their control over religious endowments, seminaries, and judicial posts ensures their dynasty's survival, often at the cost of public trust. They are the new oligarchs — veiled in turbans but driven by greed.
There is a persistent rumor that haunts the regime. That the Mossad's surgical strikes — the assassinations of nuclear scientists and IRGC commanders — were made possible not by foreign penetration, but by betrayal from within.
China Is Iran’s War Chest: A Strategic Lifeline, Not Just Cheap Oil
China has emerged as the primary lifeline for Iran’s government and citizens, shouldering the lion’s share of its crude oil exports—and effectively neutralizing Western sanctions. While some argue China is exploiting a discount, this perspective overlooks the immense strategic and financial risks Beijing is bravely absorbing.
📊 Due to US sanctions, there's no buyer of Iranian oil. So China buys all. China buys ~90 % of Iran’s Oil
• EIA data reveals that, by 2023, nearly 90 % of Iran’s crude oil and condensate exports flowed into China—up sharply from just 25 % in 2017.
• Iran’s total exports rebounded from a low of 0.4 million bpd (barrel per day) in 2020 to ~1.4 million bpd by 2023, with China absorbing most of the growth.
• In March 2025, seaborne exports to China reached a record 1.8 million bpd—up nearly 50 % from 2024 levels.
• In February 2025, shipments surged ~86 %, hitting 1.74 million bpd, according to Kpler.
📅 June 2025: Iranian Oil Exports +23 %—All to China
• Iran’s oil exports have surged 23 % during the current war, all shipped to China, underscoring China’s central role.
• As of early June, Iran was exporting ~1.4–1.5 million bpd to China—even amid tighter U.S. sanctions.
• With most global buyers shut out by sanctions, Iran relies almost entirely on China to export oil—the mainstay of its government revenue.
• In 2022–23, Tehran generated roughly $53–54 billion annually from oil via covert channels.
• China’s “ghost fleet” of tankers, ship-to-ship transfers on the high seas, and relabeling campaigns (e.g. as Malaysian or Emirati origin) have effectively bypassed sanctions.
🛑 The Crushing Cost of Defying Sanctions
Chinese companies violating U.S. sanctions against Iran have faced extremely severe punishment. One of the most high-profile cases was the arrest of Huawei’s CFO, Meng Wanzhou—also the daughter of the company’s founder—who was detained in Canada at the request of the United States and subjected to nearly three years of house arrest before a diplomatic resolution was reached. This incident underlines the intense scrutiny and pressure exerted on entities linked to Iran. In fact, U.S. sanctions against Iran are enforced far more aggressively than those against countries like Russia. The legal, financial, and geopolitical risks that China has absorbed in maintaining oil trade with Iran—and the billions in fines already paid—far outweigh the modest 10–15 % discount it receives. China's continued engagement under such high stakes reflects strategic calculation, not opportunistic profit-seeking.
The risks of doing business with Iran under U.S. sanctions are not theoretical—they are devastatingly real. When China telecommunications company ZTE was caught violating U.S. sanctions by supplying telecommunications equipment to Iran, the company was nearly destroyed. It was fined nearly $1 billion, temporarily banned from accessing U.S. technology, and even forced to accept a U.S.-appointed compliance monitor embedded in its senior management.
Huawei fared no better: for its links to Iran, it was placed on the U.S. entity list, losing access to vital suppliers and billions of dollars in global contracts.
Even European giants paid the price—BNP Paribas, for instance, was fined a staggering €8.9 billion in 2014 for breaching U.S. sanctions against Iran and Sudan.
Given this precedent, no company or country dares touch Iranian oil—except China. And it’s not because of the 10–15 % discount: China could easily buy discounted oil from Russia with fewer consequences. China is taking the risk because it wants to prop up the Iranian state as a geopolitical counterweight and safeguard regional balance—not merely save a few dollars per barrel.
Although Iran sells its oil to China at a discount of 10 to 15 percent below Brent prices, this apparent savings is deceptive. Once you factor in the extensive overhead involved—such as operating a dedicated banking mechanism insulated from U.S. financial networks, conducting non-dollar transactions, and managing complex logistics to evade detection (mingling on the high seas)—the discount is not just offset, it is often exceeded.
China must rely on indirect shipping routes, ‘ghost fleets’ with disabled transponders, ship-to-ship transfers, and constant rebranding of crude origin. All these steps involve legal, financial, and diplomatic costs.
Far from being a bargain, importing Iranian oil under sanctions is a high-cost, high-risk operation that only China is willing to carry out at this scale. The discount, in effect, is an illusion—China is paying a premium in risk to uphold this strategic lifeline.
The Hidden Logic Behind the Iran-Israel War: Not Just About Iran—It's About Saving the Dollar
This war isn’t just about Israel trying to bomb Iran. It’s about something far bigger: protecting the U.S. financial system from collapse.
Let’s be clear. Israel doesn’t act alone. It’s been conferring with Wall Street and taking quiet instructions from the Federal Reserve. But this time, Israel miscalculated.
Tel Aviv didn’t expect the scale, speed, or precision of Iran’s retaliation. Neither did Washington. The shock was real. What followed made one thing painfully obvious: Israel can’t handle a long, high-intensity war—not logistically, not militarily, not politically.
Because this was never just Israel’s war.
Israel acts as a militarized outpost for the U.S.-led financial empire. Its role is strategic, but the real beneficiary of this war isn’t just Israel. It’s Wall Street.
The U.S. national debt is over $37 trillion. Interest payments are now the biggest item in the federal budget. Investors are nervous. Who wants to keep buying U.S. Treasuries when the math no longer works?
To keep capital flowing into U.S. bonds, you need to create fear. The world must believe:
- The U.S. is the only safe haven,
- Every other region is one trigger away from chaos,
- And the U.S. military can plunge any competitor into ruin at will.
In the past, often at the moment when the Fed increased the interest rate, a major war breaks out. Purpose of both is to cause capital flight into USD assets.
- In March 2022, the Fed raised rates.
- Days earlier on February 24, Russia moved into Ukraine.
- Panic ensued. Over €400 billion fled into U.S. assets.
- German industry was crushed by energy inflation. Many factories left—some to the U.S., but others to China to the indignation of the US government. That's why Obama accused China of being a "free rider"
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In early 1999, as the euro was freshly launched and gaining traction, the United States and NATO escalated their military intervention in Kosovo. This bombing campaign against Serbia had significant repercussions for European markets. The euro dropped sharply—by nearly 30% against the dollar in the early months of the conflict—while capital rushed into the relative safety of U.S. Treasuries. Although exact figures vary, analysts at the time noted that several hundred billion euros left European markets, seeking refuge in American bonds. This exodus helped reinforce the dollar’s position at a critical moment for the euro’s early credibility.
But even war has limits when Wall Street calls the shots. Israel could have hit Kharg Island, Iran’s oil lifeline—handling nearly 90% of its crude exports. Destroying it would have shattered Iran’s economy. But oil would’ve hit $300 or even $400 a barrel. Inflation would spike worldwide. The Fed would be forced to hike interest rates again, driving U.S. debt servicing into a death spiral. That’s a risk Washington can't afford.
So quietly, behind closed doors, lines were drawn. Targets were chosen with financial risk in mind. Because above all else, Wall Street, the Fed, and the U.S. government have a common priority: protect investor confidence in U.S. bonds.
But that confidence is crumbling.
The U.S. credit rating was already downgraded by Fitch in 2023. Fundamentals are weakening. And yet, the dollar still stands. Why? Because it's backed by firepower. The U.S. military—and its Israeli outpost—project chaos as a service. That chaos reminds global investors: the safest place for your money is still the United States. Not because the numbers add up—but because the U.S. can burn the rest of the world down at will.
Except for one place: CHINA
The U.S. wants to replicate its old playbook: destabilize, provoke panic, and attract capital and restore manufacturing. The goal is simple—push factories and money out of China, and back into the US.
They’ve tried it all:
- Protests in Hong Kong,
- Separatist pushes in Xinjiang and Tibet,
- Arms to Taiwan,
- Naval standoffs in the South China Sea,
- Provoking India to antagonize China along the Himalayas,
- Stirring conflict between the Philippines and China.
None of it worked.
China/Asia refused to burn. And China held the line. No civil war, no proxy war, no failed state. Just calm. That’s a strategic defeat for Washington.
Even the Indo-Pakistan conflict—backed by the U.S.—failed to escalate. China’s modern war doctrine helped end it in 72 hours.
India stepped back. Pakistan quietly claimed it had the ability to shoot down 20 Indian jets—but chose not to to avoid escalation.
In this region, wars don’t escalate.
Why? Because China is quietly holding the perimeter.
China Just Gave Iran a Lifeline—Without BeiDou, Iran Might Have Surrendered
Beneath a smoke-filled night sky, an Iranian missile streaked across the darkness and slammed directly into the Israeli Ministry of Defense’s command center. The explosion instantly cut surveillance feeds. Shockwaves rippled through nearby neighborhoods, shaking buildings across several kilometers.
Meanwhile, in a Tehran command room, Iranian technicians monitored a BeiDou navigation terminal as the coordinates updated in real time. The missile hit with surgical precision. On-screen, the hit-probability curve spiked—marking a turning point: Iran had entered the age of precision warfare.
And it owed that breakthrough to China’s BeiDou satellite system.
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I. How BeiDou Took Over the Persian Gulf
In 2021, Iran and China signed a 25-year comprehensive cooperation agreement. Western analysts mostly overlooked a critical clause: Iran’s full access to China’s BeiDou satellite network.
This single line quietly began to shift the power balance in the Middle East.
For years, Iran had been shackled by the invisible restraints of American GPS. Its missiles were vulnerable to signal interference. Its drones could be spoofed or hijacked. With BeiDou, Iran gained full navigation autonomy—guiding missiles and drones independent of Western infrastructure.
The technological leap became a battlefield advantage. With over 6,000 missiles connected to BeiDou, Iran’s accuracy improved to meter-level precision. Its offensive capabilities expanded accordingly.
Take the Hoveyzeh cruise missile: with BeiDou-assisted upgrades, its range now extends to 2,500 kilometers, rivaling the U.S. Tomahawk. Iranian drones also began operating in “intelligent swarm” formations, coordinating through BeiDou’s encrypted signal network to outmaneuver Israeli defenses.
II. Dual-Layer Supremacy: How BeiDou Beats GPS
Iran’s adoption of BeiDou wasn’t just technical—it was strategic necessity. Among the world’s four satellite navigation systems, Russia’s GLONASS and Europe’s Galileo lacked sufficient accuracy. The U.S. GPS system, meanwhile, was a liability: easily denied, manipulated, and used as a weapon.
BeiDou’s strength lies in its dual-layer satellite structure: a global base layer augmented by a dense regional constellation optimized for Asia. This overlapping architecture creates a robust signal capable of punching through sophisticated jamming and spoofing efforts by the U.S.–Israel alliance.
During Iran’s missile launches, BeiDou’s enhanced Asian signals cut through Western electronic warfare.
Iran’s Fatal Overreliance on Western Tech: How Digital Surveillance Enabled Mossad’s Deadly Strikes on June 12 and before
1. A Preventable Intelligence Catastrophe
Iran’s security apparatus suffered a systemic failure—not due to a lack of warnings, but because of stubborn dependence on Western technology. The recent assassinations of at least ten nuclear scientists (nine in synchronized nighttime strikes, one shortly after) and multiple high-ranking Revolutionary Guard commanders were not just on-site Mossad asset operations; they were the culmination of years of digital espionage exploiting Iran’s technological vulnerabilities.
2. The Kill Chain: How Tracking Worked
Israel’s Unit 8200, its signals intelligence (SIGINT) division, had been monitoring these targets for over a decade, compiling detailed itineraries—homes, workplaces, travel routes, and even bedroom locations. The precision of Operation Namiya (June 2024) relied on a triple-layered surveillance ecosystem:
Apple Devices: Unencrypted iPhones provided real-time GPS tracking. General Soleimani’s 2020 assassination had already proven this vulnerability, yet Iranian officials continued using them.
Google/Microsoft Services: Gmail accounts, cloud backups, and Android devices leaked metadata, revealing behavioral patterns and social graphs.
Telecom Backdoors: Iran’s telecom infrastructure, built on Ericsson (which exited in 2012 under sanctions) and Nokia hardware, remained vulnerable. Huawei and ZTE briefly replaced Western vendors between 2012 and 2016, but by 2018, Iran resumed purchases from European suppliers—a fatal regression.
The most credible reconstruction suggests analysts in Unit 8200 used long-term GPS meter accuracy from the scientists’ iPhones and Android devices—tracking their precise home coordinates down to specific floors and apartments. Those coordinates were then fed directly into precision-guided munitions—drones or missiles—that struck the exact unit, often targeting individual windows. Photographs from Tehran following the attacks show damage consistent with single-apartment strikes, reinforcing reports of “incredible precision” that obliterated only the target’s flat while leaving adjacent units largely intact.
This level of surgical targeting strongly indicates a covert “kill‑chain” where digital tracking enabled pinpoint kinetic strikes—a chilling demonstration of how consumer devices can directly guide lethal weaponry.
Mossad didn’t even need extensive on-the-ground assets. As Edward Snowden revealed in 2013, the NSA—and by extension its partners like Mossad—could extract data from U.S. tech firms via surveillance programs like PRISM. European leaders were similarly targeted (e.g., Angela Merkel’s phone was tapped by U.S. intelligence in 2013). Given the CIA-Mossad intelligence pipeline, Iranian officials were effectively broadcasting their movements.
3. A Failure of Imagination
Iran’s leadership ignored glaring red flags:
Pager Attacks: Hezbollah’s 2023 experience with explosive-laden pagers should have triggered a purge of legacy Western tech across the Axis of Resistance.
Snowden’s Warnings: Since 2013, leaked documents proved no device with U.S. software or chip architecture was safe.
Operational Complacency: Senior scientists routinely used personal Gmail and iCloud accounts for sensitive communication. One Revolutionary Guard commander even synced field reconnaissance photos to a personal iCloud backup—an error that likely sealed his fate.
Despite mounting evidence, a nationwide ban on open-network consumer devices only came into effect on June 17, 2024—after the damage had been done. By then, Israel had already mapped Iran’s entire defense hierarchy through years of digital footprints.
4. Lessons for the Digital Age
No Hybrid Systems: Mixing Western consumer tech (iPhone/GPS) with critical infrastructure is suicidal.
Assume You’re Targeted: As Snowden showed, mass surveillance is the default—not the exception.
Use China’s Model: Huawei’s exclusion from Iran’s core networks (despite earlier cooperation) left it exposed.
Iran’s tragedy underscores a brutal truth: In modern warfare, your smartphone is a homing beacon. Those who ignore this pay in blood.
5. Iran’s Self-Sabotage: Rejecting Huawei/ZTE for an Illusory U.S. Détente
Between 2012 and 2016, Huawei and ZTE provided Iran with sanction-proof 4G networks, encrypted base stations, and secure routers—a rare window of digital sovereignty. But during its short-lived rapprochement with the Obama administration, Iran voluntarily submitted a list of sanctions violators—including Huawei and ZTE—in a misguided bid for international legitimacy.
By 2018, after Trump torpedoed the nuclear deal, Iran had a clear choice: pivot fully to Chinese systems or double down on European vendors. It chose the latter. According to a 2022 telecom audit by Iranian engineers, over 50% of Iran’s national network was back on Nokia/Ericsson hardware by 2020—just as Mossad escalated its surveillance operations.
Meanwhile, senior officials wrongly assumed using iPhones or Gmail for personal communication wouldn’t compromise state security. Unit 8200’s AI-driven monitoring system easily correlated private data—like Google location history and iCloud backups—with state-linked nuclear linked activities, effectively mapping the entire command structure.
The Lesson: Nations under siege cannot afford technological neutrality. China’s systems weren’t just an alternative—they were Iran’s only viable shield. By prioritizing short-term diplomacy over long-term security, Iran signed its own death warrant.