A 🧵 on stablecoins and Ethereum 1/ Stablecoins is the singular most successful crypto product and the only one to move into the "real world" with $250 billion in total assets
we are in the earliest days....
(keep reading plz)
2/ Stablecoins are a good business model and attracted the interest of banks $JPM $V and even merchants $AMZN $WMT
- issuers of stablecoins generate significant profits as the collateral (USD) can earn yield and this is not paid to holders of the stablecoin (yet)
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell @WSJ @business
3/ Merchants like stablecoins but there is lower transaction costs and the merchants do not take the continuous loss from "chargebacks" which can run as high as 5%-6% of transaction dollar volume
- and BONUS: a large untapped market of users who do not use credit cards
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell
4/ In fact, 80% of USD stablecoin volume is outside the US
- Singapore, Hong Kong and Japan nearly 40% of stablecoin volume
- in some nations USDT trades above $1.00 because of high demand
- even real estate transactions are paid with stablecoins
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell
5/ US gov't realizes stablecoins = two structural benefits:
first, USD dominance surges in stablecoin/crypto:
- USD = 27% global GDP
- USD = 57% of global central bank reserves
- USD = 88% of liquid financial market
- USD = 100% of stablecoin denomination
The more assets move to the blockchain, the greater the demand for stablecoins:
= greater USD dominance
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell
6/ The second benefit to USD: Stablecoins collectively now the 12th largest holder of US Treasuries
- Tether $USDT owns more UST than Germany
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell
7/ Looking ahead, stablecoins is the "front end" of the convergence of financial services and crypto:
- the next generation may prefer to bank to be crypto-friendly company $HOOD $CRCL $COIN $JPM $GS
- hence, as banks likely to add crypto to their balance sheet Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH (staking)
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell @WSJ
8/ TREASURY STOCKS = BACKBONE FUTURE FINANCE:
In future, Banks, credit card issuers ($PYPL) and biz likely hold "crypto" on balance sheet as working capital:
- thus, "pure play" Treasury companies like $MSTR $SMLR $SBET $MTPLF $DFDV $UPEXI
- arguably represent the "high margin" component of future bank and financial institutions architecture
These $ETH $SOL Treasury stocks earn yield from staking which is a positive feature
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell
9/ This is positive for the layer 1 blockchains issuing stablecoins
Why Ethereum? $ETH
- the majority of stablecoins minted on Ethereum
- most of the "real world assets" (RWA) in crypto are on Ethereum such as stablecoins, tokenized equities, tokenized real estate
@coingecko @SeanMFarrell
10/ Stablecoin fees are 30% of Ethereum $ETH network fees today:
- @SecScottBessent recently said >$2 trillion USD market for stablecoins is reasonable
- this is 10X exponential growth in network fees for $ETH Ethereum
- other nations may mint stablecoins = upside
@fs_insight @SeanMFarrell
11/ That is it for now
Thank you to the @fundstrat @fs_insight crypto team for the data:
Sean Farrell @SeanMFarrell
Thomas Couture
Tireless Ken @tirelessken
🧵🪡
Ethereum and Bitcoin and crypto prices have fallen sharply in the past 10 days
- $ETH down -40% and Bitcoin -30%
- crypto sentiment is reflexive
- so there is a lot of “rage quitting”
- and many pundits citing problematic structural and unfixablr reasons for the decline
To me, this type of volatility and drawdown seen in 2026 is very much what happens in crypto
Keep reading 👀👀📚
2/ Since 2018,
- $ETH has seen a drawdown
- of -60% or worse 7 times
- in 8 years
This is basically every year
- in 2025, $ETH decline -64%
3/ But it feels worse in 2026, than other declines
- because this price decline matches a “crypto winter”
- while crypto fundamentals have been improving
- in 2022 crypto winter ❄️, NFTs busted and then the collapse of 3 arrows and FTX book-ended the decline
2026 started with the earthquake of Oct 10th and the industry limped along but then took some hits from
- Greenland truthsocial tweet
- Gold and silver surge
- Kevin Warsh annct
🧵on ethereum 1/ $ETH +22% past month but down -9% YTD
ETH rangebound since 2021, but the rise of stablecoins $CRCL $USDT and Wall Street tokenizing real-world assets is driving up demand for ETH = upside
....please read on
$BMNR DAT @BitMNR
2/ @fundstrat discusses how stablecoins are the "ChatGPT" moment for crypto and Wall Street converging onto ETH on @SquawkCNBC