Bohdan Krotevych, former Chief of Staff of the 12th Brigade, notes that in some areas, a unit is spread across a stretch of more than five kilometers with just 10 to 12 soldiers. Only 25% of the battalion's original personnel remain.
🧵Few important points to add here:
🧵Few important points to add here:
2/ One of the first things people assume is that Ukraine isn’t recruiting or mobilizing, but this isn’t true. We estimate that 17,000 to 24,000 people are being called up each month. That’s still below Russia’s numbers, but far above what Russians want people to think
3/ At the tactical level, some units with capable leadership have adapted to the situation, partially offsetting personnel shortages through the effective use of drones, well-prepared positions, and, if possible, minefields. Yet, these are not the result of a systematic effort
4/ At the operational-strategic level, not much has changed since 2024. There have been taken steps - changes in training, drone scoring systems, system for transfers between units, and the move to a corps structure - but key problems in organizational leadership are still there
5/ In my view, this likely reinforces Putin’s belief that victory remains within reach - one of several factors driving his decision to prolong the war, despite the mounting toll both within Russia and his troops along the front lines
6/ The original post by Krotevych, written in Ukrainian, can be found here:
https://twitter.com/bohdankrotevych/status/1938170915574985170
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