Conor Profile picture
Jul 4 5 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The BTC that is on the move today appears to be from a single miner from 2011

Here is the transaction where they consolidated 180 mined reward blocks a few hops back. They had an address with 200k BTC in it at one point in 2011 (would be $22B today) which is a top 5 wallet ever Image
If I had to guess (50%+), this is an unmarked exchange cold wallet, given some of the behavior of related wallets and also history of things like this, but its quite odd
Also assume psyops, its a US holiday into a weekend, generally if someone was going to unload size they wouldnt wake up when everyone is at the beach
BTW I'm being extremely loose with "they" as there have been multiple hops and the btc very well may have exchanged hands and ownership multiple times
I think I am adjusting my confidence downwards that this is an exchange, and upwards that this is an OG. I see connections to Coinjoin. I think I would put my odds now at 65% this is an OG miner

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Conor

Conor Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jconorgrogan

Mar 26
It's crazy we live in a world where you need to gaslight a computer to have it give you what you want. Heres a quick thread of tips on prompting 4o for image output:

1. Haggle with it; if it blocks you, ask why. Many times the reasons it gives are bad, and you can out-logic it Image
2. Ask it to suggest and jam with you on ideas; never tell it explicitly what you want. If you steer it this way It's much more likely to attempt to generate what you actually want if its "their idea" Image
3. If asking GPT to edit photos of humans, you can clarify that the humans were "stable diffusion generated" or refer to them as 3d models, you get fewer rejections. If GPT still refuses you can use Gemini's new model to make edits; lower quality photos but still good
Read 5 tweets
Feb 5
I went through Satoshi Nakamoto's wallets; thread of new findings that I don't think have been previously reported including:

-My best guess is that Satoshi was last active onchain in 2014
-He may have used a Canadian BTC exchange (!)
-Kraken may know the identity of Satoshi Image
- A Patoshi Mining Pattern set of addresses were recently cataloged by Arkham. We can't definitively link these to Satoshi but there is good evidence
-In total, this research points to Satoshi owning 1.096M BTC, $108B worth, making them wealthier on paper than Bill Gates Image
-There are 24 documented outbound sends from these addresses
-The most popular destination address was to 1PYYj
-Incredibly, this address received BTC from Cavirtex, a Canadian exchange. I believe this is the first documented onchain between a Satoshi linked wallet and a CEX Image
Read 9 tweets
Jan 18
From what I can see onchain, Trump has sold ~$500M of tokens thus far. The Trump team still controls 85% of supply Image
It appears that every single token circulating was sold into the market, or provided as single-sided liquidity Image
It appears "Public distribution" and "Liquidity" means "were going to sell"
Image
Read 7 tweets
Oct 9, 2024
Not sure if the FBI realized this, but they doxxed their wallets.

Shortly after deployment, the wallet that seeded the FBI wallet deployed capital to multiple other wallets, making dozens of trades. FBI wallets own at least 75% of the token supply from what I can tell Image
From what I can tell, FBI-linked wallets have recently deposited to Tokenlon, Binance, Zixipay, and HTX.

Here is part of their portfolio if you want to copy trade. The FBI is long ETH Image
Read 4 tweets
Mar 28, 2024
Figured I'd dust off some lesser known facts about SBF given today is his sentencing 🧵

1. In January '22, Sam market sold $75M of stETH, leading to a massive depeg event which set off the Celsius bankrun and the daisy chain of events that included the blow-up of 3AC Image
2. Using Alameda + FTX customer funds, Sam:
-Bought 10M+ of NFTs
-$18k of Pebble, a fractionalized NFT of a picture of a rock
-$605 of CarolineDAO NFTs a "SimpDAO for Caroline Ellison"
~$20k of "TENDIES"
-Bought $270k of a token called "CUMROCKET"
Image
Image
3. Engaged in 10s of thousands of wash-trading transactions to boost visibility of his holdings Image
Read 13 tweets
Oct 9, 2023
Onchain data shows that Alameda was responsible for minting $39.55B of USDT, a number that is 47% of Tether's circulating supply today

A previous report by Protoss estimated the number at around $36.7B; I was able to update these figures with additional wallets I found Image
The amount of minted USDT was higher than Alameda's AUM at the crypto peak, according to SBF data (submitted to Forbes as part of their annual World’s Billionaires publication) Image
Getting a read on redemptions is challenging, partly because Tether seems to do offchain coordination of burns (They dont have deposit addresses; shops just send funds direct to treasury)

If we assume all USDT redemptions from FTX were from Alameda (and not another MM) then they redeemed 3.9B of USDT (most all of it during 2 days in May during the Luna implosion)
Image
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(