Thread by @DataRepublican

🧵 THREAD: Honduras as a case study for mass migraton

I poked around into the Honduras story a bit more thanks to prodding from a subscriber. The subscriber insisted that there had to be beneficiaries or the "closed loop" where destabilization -> displacement -> resettlement would not have gone on so long unnoticed.

And, yes, the history of Honduras is very much interesting and educational... and I'm going to try my best to share what I've collected below👇

This Congressional report is worth reading in its full for a history (albeit buried under some euphemisms and omissions), but I'll excerpt the important parts here.

As we will see, the seeds of the mass migration crisis was planted very early on. But the actual migration did not begin in earnest until 2014. President Trump tried aggressively to cut down foreign assistance in his tenure, but was only partially successful, stymied by Congress.

The report is not clear on the causes of what actually spurred the 2014 migration, but Honduras did elect a new President in 2014 which put it on an austerity path after unsustainable deficit spending, with the assistance of IMF.

Interestingly, the President's brother was indicted by Department of Justice on large-scale drug trafficking but the DoJ cleared the actual President himself.

The report is full of praise for President Hernandez himself. It's also worthwhile that US spending obligations in Honduras jumped over 50% from 2014 to 2016, from 126.1M to 197.4M. Spending reached a peak of 423.2M (!) in 2018.

Honduras was a "receiving country" for refugees in Latin America during the "lost decade" of the 1980s. Hurricane Mitch changed that in 1999, which is also when Honduras received TPS status in the United States which allowed migrants to get refugee benefits and work status.

The report specifically notes that the end of the Cold War brought in an influx of NGOs.

It's worthwhile noting that NED's budget was only 15M in FY 1989. NED now has a budget of 363M - even inflation adjusted (if my calculations are correct), that's almost 10 times as much being spent on "soft power" than when we were combatting Soviet Union.

Here's the actual graph of migration flows:

That we have a whole category for unaccompanied children, and it is such a large percentage, is unsettling.

The report claims that the increase in foreign aid after 2014 helped stem the crisis, but the year we spent the most in Honduras per USA Spending (2018), was followed by the largest increases by far.

"As of 2017, approximately 603,000 individuals born in Honduras resided in the United States, and an estimated 425,000 (70%) of them were in the country without authorization."

These numbers are from before it started ramping up again in 2018...

Finally, we get to the meat of who benefits from mass migration.

In 2017, 19.8% of Honduras GDP came from remittances. The primary income for than a third of Honduras households is from remittances.

Since the report was written - I found a source that says remittances reached a peak of 27% of GDP in 2022.

This would be on top of foreign aid.

However, this is coming at the expense of the Honduras economy itself. As stated in the other thread - Honduras has gotten poorer, not richer.

Even as they grow more dependent on remittances, they get poorer.

This is starting to look a lot like the dependency cycle we see here with our own poor American citizens.

A 2020 article by @capitalresearch implicates that the surge starting in 2018 was caused by a massive investment from Soros money. Three NGOs were implicated: Pueblo Sin Fronteras, La Familia Latina Unida, and the Centro Sin Fronteras.

@capitalresearch A 2018 @JudicialWatch report details all this. The report claims that East-West Management Institute is the nexus of taxpayer money to Soros, which in turn ... manages USAID projects all around the world.

EWMI is almost entirely taxpayer funded. It also gets grants from NED and International Republican Institute. So, yeah... the supposed Republican Party nexus of soft power is evidently giving Soros mass migration money.

Good job, @LindseyGrahamSC , @TomCottonAR , @SenJoniErnst , and @DanSullivan_AK .

@capitalresearch @JudicialWatch @LindseyGrahamSC @TomCottonAR @SenJoniErnst Soros was one of the cofounders of EWMI. In a weird essay of his which I haven't had time to read fully - he describes CEU and EWMI as being "permanent pillars" once he achieves his goals of erasing borders (at least, that's how I take it).

@capitalresearch @JudicialWatch @LindseyGrahamSC @TomCottonAR @SenJoniErnst But I'm speculating that Soros' motive for funding the caravans (and helped by US taxpayer dollars via EWMI) - it is a way of achieving his Messianic goal of erasing and blurring borders.

So we understand the motives of two players here:

1. Honduras itself - the foreign aid and remittance create a positive feedback loop where they are increasingly dependent on outside money.
2. Soros - motivated to finance caravans to erase borders. has the assistance of US taxpayer money and possibly other money from EU, etc.

@capitalresearch @JudicialWatch @LindseyGrahamSC @TomCottonAR @SenJoniErnst The remaining question mark is - why is the United States government going along with all this?

And does the Republican party (IRI) know, or is the Republican party not knowing where these grants end up?

A lot of "experts" made promises to the US government. Center for Strategic International Studies (CSIS), a think tank, promised migration would drop off when certain economic conditions were met. And the way to meet these conditions: massive investment in foreign aid.

(Which ended up in the pockets of the people organizing caravans, evidently.)

@capitalresearch @JudicialWatch @LindseyGrahamSC @TomCottonAR @SenJoniErnst There's also hints at a "too big to deport" argument: that Honduras' economy is so structurally adjusted around mass migration and remittances that ending it would cause mass destabilization, which would worsen the problem.

@capitalresearch @JudicialWatch @LindseyGrahamSC @TomCottonAR @SenJoniErnst I found an article that attempted to explain why some Republicans supported a higher refugee cap.

Surprisingly, one of the alleged reasons was that Christian evangelicals support refugee programs and that they voted Biden over Trump because of this...

@capitalresearch @JudicialWatch @LindseyGrahamSC @TomCottonAR @SenJoniErnst I think the true way to get at Republicans' reluctance to clamp down on migration is by looking at IRI publications - and frankly, it seems to be exactly the same as globalists'. They fear populism (individual sovereignty). Migration is a good way to erode that.

This is my conclusion on "who benefits" from mass migration.

1. Honduras: they are trapped in "remittance dependency" that is getting worse, not better, over time. Despite experts' promises otherwise.
2. Soros: finances the caravans to fulfill his Messianic complex of creating a border-free peaceful Earth.
3. Democrats: love mass migration because they believe amnesty will gain them voters.
4. Globalists: love mass migration as a way of destabilizing the population and staying in control.
5. Republicans: their stance ranges from fear-driven inaction (believing expert warnings that deportation would trigger widespread chaos) to quiet alignment with globalist aims, motivated by their own inner tyrant.

So I will have to change my conclusion: everyone benefits from mass migration except independent, sovereign people.