Terry Virts, ex-NASA astronaut at ISS: We watched Russia bombing Ukraine in the winter of 2015, from space.
Russian crewmates later joined Putin’s party and backed the war. They knew the truth, but chose lies. 1/
Virts: Russia’s using space to threaten nuclear war. Once on the ISS, I saw their laptop open to images of Aviano Air Base, a U.S. site.
We don’t do that. Our space work’s peaceful. Theirs felt like intel gathering. 2/
Virts: Before launch, Russia had just invaded Crimea. I remember thinking Obama’s response was weak.
We should’ve hit Putin’s wallet in 2014 by building LNG infrastructure and selling gas to EU. A decade later, we’re still lagging. 3/
Virts: My Soyuz commander, Crimean, a “hero of Sevastopol”, would chant "Crimea is ours". His wife was Ukrainian. It felt like twisted imperialism. I was naive then, but even in 2014, it felt chilling. This isn’t 1939. 4/
Virts: Russia politicizes space. Trump and Elon are doing it too, turning science into politics. It's not about “Biden is terrible.” It’s F=ma. Physics. We should keep politics out of it as much as possible. 5X
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Former CIA Director Petraeus: I said from the start Russia would not take Kyiv. Others predicted it would fall in 3–5 days. Kyiv is a vast city with brave defenders.
It would be extremely hard to break in — and Ukraine’s actions denied Russia the airfield north of the capital.1/
Petraeus: The Budapest Memorandum was a major failure.
Ukraine gave up nuclear weapons in exchange for security assurances from the US, Russia, and the UK and those guarantees weren’t upheld. This is Ukraine’s war for independence — a fight for its very survival.
2/
Petraeus: US sanctions are under Senate review.
If paired with the EU’s 19th package and continued military support, the pressure could be strong enough to push Putin toward a ceasefire by the end of the year.
Angela Stent, Former National Intel Officer: Every time Witkoff claims progress on Ukraine, the next day Putin or Lavrov restate the same demands — withdrawal from Donbas and “denazification”.
They also cite an “Anchorage formula” no US official confirms. It’s obfuscation. 1/
Stent: Russia's negotiations are entirely performative.
They follow Soviet and post-Soviet tactics: negotiate to create a process and wear people down. Putin wants to humor Trump to avoid more punitive actions from the US administration. 2X
Former Amb. to Ukraine, William Taylor: Putin can't break Ukraine’s will. He’s tried for 4 years.
They don’t show signs of breaking. Soldiers, civilians, people in and out of government know that if they lose, there’s no Ukraine. They have to win and stop the Russians. 1/
Taylor: We want to see Ukrainians stop the Russians. Europeans want the same because Russia is a clear threat to them.
They’re stepping up with a $100B loan and continued funds. If big neighbors invade little ones and prevail, that’s not the world we want to live in. 2/
Taylor: Zelenskyy says Europeans have to step up more and prepare for a time when Americans are not there. He’s probably right.
Trump may not change. Europeans need to build up, provide weapons, and strengthen the defense industrial base. 3X
Macron: Russian energy stopped in 2022. There is no way back.
China as a supermarket for our export is over, and during the past 2 years we were overwhelmed by the Chinese export.
The US is imposing tariffs on us and a series of economic coercion mechanisms. 1/
Macron: End of Russia as a permanent provider of local energy. End of China as a main export market. The US is imposing tariffs on our economy and a coercion mechanism.
This is a game changer. This is not just a transition. None of these factors will change in the short run. 2/
Macron: China is an authoritarian regime, no offense, this is a collective choice. The US is becoming an unpredictable economy and governance.
In the middle of that — the EU. It remains a place where the rule of law and predictability remain valid. 3X