PoIiMath Profile picture
Jul 11 7 tweets 2 min read Read on X
I talk a lot about how the Romney campaign was a turning point in American politics but I had forgotten how the Romney campaign's finance co-chair was audited by the IRS and the Dept of Labor *during the campaign* as a strategy to destroy him

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Van…
I'm reviewing a bunch of old stuff and @NateSilver538 defended these audits as totally normal and, quite frankly, that was a bunch of stupid bullshit

archive.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeigh…
@NateSilver538 Frank VanderSloot was obviously, clearly, transparently targeted by the Obama admin as punishment for his support for Romney

Duh. This is a "no shit sherlock" situation. The man had never been audited in his life and suddenly he gets three audits? Don't play dumb.
I honestly think Nate has gotten better and I honestly think he wouldn't write that piece today. I think he's more cynical than he was back then.

But this is part of how we got to where we are. Because honest people weren't skeptical enough and ran defense for corruption.
That is the legacy of Barack Obama. He took the honesty of the "benefit of the doubt" people and manipulated it. He engaged in deep corruption knowing his press handlers would run defense for him.
This is why Biden ran for a second term. He thought (or his wife thought) that the press would run point for their corruption and lies because it worked so well for Obama. They thought they would get the loyalty that was given to Obama.

Ha.

Ha ha ha.
It is still, even as we all complain about it, underrated how much good will Obama burned. He took advantage of every ounce of goodwill and left the country in a disaster state of suspicion. He came in as an agent of hope and utterly destroyed the idea of hope for a generation.

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More from @politicalmath

Jun 27
Everyone who is into politics needs to think hard about what the Zohran Mamdani victory means for the future of American political alignment
One thing that occurred to me this week is that young people on the left have been told by their intellectual elders (professors, older statesman) that far left-wing policies are obviously workable and good and beneficial but that Americans just won't vote for them
Young lefty's have grown up in a bubble in which they really believe that these ideas are clearly practically functional. They've been taught this, this is a thing they know to be true. They think that the only thing standing in their way is the will of the voters. Guess what.
Read 8 tweets
Jun 19
I really cannot emphasize to the left how much they have over-played their hand on the "trans kids" stuff
When I was living in Seattle, a mom in my small group found out that her 1st grade daughter was being fed trans propaganda at the public school

She very politely asked that her daughter be excused for this. Not that they stop doing it, just that her daughter not be a part of it
Washington has a law that allows parents to opt out of sex ed. The mom was just asking for the thing she had a right to ask for.

The principal asked her if they could meet about this. She agreed, seeing this as a positive development. A good, healthy conversation between adults
Read 8 tweets
Jun 4
The renaming of the USNS Harvey Milk is such a perfect example of a smarter right-wing that has learned how to set a narrative trap

The Navy "leaks" that they are going to rename the ship, leveraging the volume and scale of the media to spread wide this info /1
The predictable outrage ensues. Nancy Pelosi calls it "shameful, vindictive erasure", which is not a thing she said about people tearing down statues of the founding fathers

The governor of Maryland says this name change is "lying about history" /2

That's where the trap is sprung. The Dem's outrage machine has given the story legs and visibility. The right can leverage that visibility to sabotage Milk's legacy

They can talk about how a 33-year-old Milk was sleeping with teenage boys /3
Read 6 tweets
Jun 2
In the last 5 years, there are 3 big narratives that everyone will eventually agree the libs got 100% wrong

1) Covid school closings
2) Biden's decline
3) m2f transgender athletes Image
Just keep this in mind b/c the defense against the first two is "oh how could we have known?"

You could have known if you had just listened to the people talking sense. Your bubble is too perfect and it is self-destructive. You need to listen to more people.
I am warning those on the left: if you give a single shit about transgender rights, you have to stand up for female athletes and bar m2f athletes from competition

This issue will drag down every other thing you think is important
Read 5 tweets
May 31
It is incredibly damning that a Harvard statistics PhD student is so socially isolated from the larger nerd and tech scene that he felt comfortable making this statement
Let me give an example of how I use AI that is transformative

So I've got this project that is scraping out data and putting it haphazardly into a DynamoDb table. I want to screw around with this data in Excel, so I want to export the data as a csv.

None of Amazon's tools are good for this, I google it, stack overflow, probably about an hour of looking for solutions

I ask Claude how to export a DynamoDb table as a csv file. 10 minutes later I have the data loaded into Excel and I'm running various analysis on it
The AI doesn't get in my way. It doesn't tell me what I'm trying to do is stupid. It helps me solve the specific problem I have right in front of me or it can set me on a path to solving that problem very quickly.
Read 5 tweets
May 26
I don't know how to solve this problem in a free market but when I signed up for gmail, it was advertised as "free unlimited email forever". That's what I signed up for

Now I have to pay Google or get rid of half my email. I feel tricked.
I can't give up my gmail account, there's 20 years of emails in there!

And Google's interface for clearing up space is intentionally bad. It's intentionally painful so that you will just give up and pay the money.
For people saying "Google always had a storage cap / never promised free storage", here is a screencap of their sign-up in 2005

That number in "Don't throw anything away" is ticking up as you watch it. The promise is that this will increase forever. Image
Read 4 tweets

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