Egypt 🇪🇬 signs a strategic agreement with China 🇨🇳 to dedollarise trade and adopt yuan settlement
Egypt is following Iran’s playbook. Months before the failed US–Israel airstrike campaign on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, Tehran moved first. 1/10
It locked in agreements with Russia and China to settle trade in national currencies, linked to CIPS, and systematically removed the dollar. This was done preemptively. Egypt is now replicating the same moves after escalation. 2/10
On July 10, the Central Bank of Egypt hosted the Governor of the People’s Bank of China. Three memoranda of understanding were signed, embedding Chinese financial infrastructure inside Egypt’s monetary system. 3/10
The two central banks expanded their local currency swap line to allow direct yuan–EGP trade. The agreement also prepares the ground for Egypt to issue Panda bonds in China’s capital markets. 4/10
Separately, Suez Canal Bank, TEDA Investment, and CIPS agreed to enable RMB settlement inside the Suez Economic Zone. UnionPay will be integrated into Egypt’s payments system via the Egyptian Banks Company and Paymob. 5/10
This is not policy coordination. It is structural engineering. Egypt now has the legal and technical capacity to trade with China, Russia, and Iran entirely outside the dollar system. SWIFT is no longer required. 6/10
Egypt is not alone. Syria has announced it will dedollarise trade and use national currencies. The UAE is already functioning as a hub for non-dollar trade settlement. A bloc is emerging, not rhetorically but materially. 7/10
A financial network linking Egypt, Syria, Iran, Russia, and China is being built. The Middle East is the first region to dismantle dollar dominance at this speed and scale. The shift is institutional and irreversible. 8/10
The US is responding with pressure. Trump has imposed tariffs on Arab states expanding BRICS ties. He warned that losing the dollar’s global role would be like losing a world war. That is the level of strategic threat now perceived. 9/10
The new system is not theoretical. Egypt has joined it. Iran designed it under siege. Others are following under pressure. The financial map is changing. Egypt is no longer watching. It is shaping. 10/10
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Trump Imposes 30% Tariffs on Algeria 🇩🇿 Iraq 🇮🇶 and Libya 🇱🇾
On July 9 2025 the White House issued three nearly identical letters to the leaders of Algeria Iraq and Libya announcing a sweeping new tariff policy. 1/15
Starting August 1 the United States will impose a 30 percent tariff on all goods exported from these countries to the US market. 2/15
The letters signed by President Trump accuse the three states of contributing to persistent unsustainable trade deficits through tariff and non-tariff barriers and frame the new tariffs as both a correction and a warning. 3/15
🇮🇱🇮🇷 After Iran's Strike, Moody's Rating of Israeli Credit Sustains a Negative Outlook:
Moody’s 7 July Baa1 rating of Israel' creditworthiness while maintaining a negative outlook has formalised a shift in perception that Israeli officials cannot spin away. (1/10) 🧵
Iran’s strike succeeded in destabilising Israel’s fiscal position in ways that no previous conflict has. The numbers tell the story. Debt to GDP is now projected to reach 75%, up from earlier expectations of 70%. (2/10)
The fiscal deficit is set to widen to 8 % of GDP in 2025. This is the material cost of Israel’s attempt to preserve military primacy in the region. (3/10)
🇩🇪 GERMANY ACCUSES CHINA OF HELPING HAMAS WITH LASER WEAPON IN GAZA DEFENCE: FIRST KNOWN USE, REMAINS UNSECURED
Germany has formally accused China of using a high-powered laser weapon against a German surveillance aircraft operating over the Red Sea. (1/13)
The mission was part of Operation Aspides. The aircraft was conducting reconnaissance in support of maritime security linked to Gaza operations. The laser was fired from a Chinese warship. It forced the German aircraft to abort its mission and return to base. (2/13)
Berlin summoned China’s ambassador. Officials called the act entirely unacceptable. This is the first confirmed use of a military laser system connected to the defence of Gaza. The timing of this incident is remarkable. China has not officially commented. (3/13)
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇸🇦 Trump Imposes 10 Percent Tariffs on Iran, Saudi, UAE, Egypt, Algeria for Ties to BRICS (1/11)
Trump's 6 July tariff decree, a 10% levy on any country aligning with what he terms the anti-American policies of BRICS is the calculated fulfilment of a warning he issued in December 2024, when he pledged tariffs of up to 100 per cent on both BRICS members & partners. (2/11)
This is an attempt to institutionalise financial coercion as the central mechanism of US foreign economic strategy. The objective is unambiguous. US is demanding states suspend efforts towards dedollarisation & disengagement from the U.S.-centred financial order. (3/11)
🇮🇱🇦🇪 THE UAE IS SUPPORTING A COUP AGAINST NETANYAHU:
Their diplomatic recognition of Yair Lapid is a political intervention in Israel’s domestic sphere reflecting a rift between the UAE and Netanyahu’s regional visions. (1/9)
There are deep structural tensions between the Emirati model of regional order and the ethno-religious vision advanced by Netanyahu’s coalition. What appears on the surface as a scheduling choice in foreign diplomacy is in fact a strategic act of regime preference. (2/9)
The UAE is aligning itself with a current inside Israel that supports economic integration & geopolitical stability rather than religious expansionism and permanent occupation. This rupture is embedded in the contradictions of the Abraham Accords. (3/9)
🇸🇾🇶🇦 QATAR IS NOW SYRIA'S MOST STRATEGIC ALLY POST-ASSAD:
In just months, Qatar has overtaken Turkey, signing 4 major deals with Syria: covering gas, power, aid, food, media & public salaries, gaining unprecedented influence over Syria’s core state functions. (1/12)
This is the fastest & most comprehensive endorsement Qatar has extended to a regional government. Saudi has so far done little for Syria. The UAE has done more but still falls behind Qatar. This reflects different strategic instincts. Smaller Gulf states often move faster. (2/12)
& with more flexibility, unburdened by regional leadership expectations. Qatar appears to be gambling that early intervention will secure lasting influence over Syria’s reconstruction and political direction. (3/12)