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Jul 11 19 tweets 6 min read Read on X
Your brain has been lying to you your entire life.

This Nobel Prize winner spent 58 years proving it.

He exposed a major psychological flaw in human decision-making.

Once you see it, you can’t unsee it.

And you'll question every decision you've ever made: 🧵 Image
Image
Meet Herbert Simon:

• Political science dropout turned Nobel Prize winner
• Father of artificial intelligence
• Revolutionized how we understand decision-making

After studying city managers for years, he discovered something shocking about human behavior... Image
Scientists used to think humans were perfectly rational.

But Simon proved we have severe limitations:

• Limited information
• Cognitive overload
• Time pressure

This changed economics forever. Here's how: Image
Simon discovered we make decisions using "bounded rationality."

We don't optimize. We "satisfice."

Translation: We search until we find something "good enough," then stop.

To show you how this affects your decisions, here are 4 hidden traps controlling every choice you make: Image
1/ The Scissors Effect

Simon used a brilliant analogy:

Your decision-making is like scissors with two blades.

One blade = your brain's limits
Other blade = your environment's structure

You can't understand your choices by looking at just one blade. Image
Here's what this means:

Your brain is limited. But it's incredibly good at using patterns in your environment to make up for those limits.

You don't remember every price. But you know expensive stores vs cheap stores.
The dangerous part:

Smart people design environments to exploit this.

Casinos remove clocks so you lose track of time.
Social media feeds use infinite scroll so you never feel "done."

Your brain + their environment = their desired outcome. Image
Image
How to use the Scissors Effect:

• Change your environment to support better decisions
• Remove temptations from your space
• Design your surroundings to make good choices easier

Don't fight your brain's limits. Work with them by controlling your environment.
2/ The Programmed vs Non-Programmed Decision Blindness

Simon discovered two decision types:

• Programmed: Routine (what you eat, hiring, pricing)
• Non-programmed: Novel (market entry, launches, career decisions)

Most people use the same approach for both. Image
The billion-dollar insight:

Programmed decisions: Build systems and satisfice
Non-programmed decisions: Gather intelligence and analyze

Amazon automates small decisions but analyzes big bets for months.

Most entrepreneurs do the opposite.
3/ Your Brain Uses Dangerous Shortcuts

Simon discovered your brain uses "mental shortcuts" called heuristics.

These help you decide fast. But they also trick you.

You think you're being logical. Really, you're just using shortcuts that can lead you wrong. Image
Here are the shortcuts fooling you:

Recognition Shortcut: You pick brands you've heard of, even if they're worse.

Familiarity Shortcut: You choose what feels comfortable, even when new is better.

Recent Memory Shortcut: You think plane crashes happen a lot because you saw one on TV.
How to beat these shortcuts:

• Slow down your thinking
• Research the unfamiliar options
• Ask: "Am I choosing this because it's actually better, or just because I've heard of it?"

Your brain wants to go fast. Force it to slow down.
4/ Satisficing vs Maximizing

Here's Simon's biggest discovery:

Most people think successful people "maximize" (find the absolute best option).

But Simon proved successful people "satisfice" (find the first good option that meets their criteria).

Maximizers get stuck. Satisficers move forward.Image
Why satisficing beats maximizing:

• You make decisions faster
• You spend less mental energy
• You avoid "analysis paralysis"
• You can always adjust later

Perfect is the enemy of good. Good enough is the friend of progress.

Remember: The goal isn't the best decision. It's a good decision made quickly.Image
Simon's research changed how I approach my business.

After creating content daily for 18 months, I realized something:

Understanding decision psychology is the future of marketing.

When you design content that works with human psychology, it spreads faster and converts better.
That's why every entrepreneur should master the psychology of influence and build their personal brand.

When done right, it's the most scalable way to build trust and gain customers.
If you want to build a premium personal brand:

I help founders build brands on X and get more clients through viral threads like these.

So far, my threads have gained 400M+ impressions.

If interested, book a call below (serious founders only): calendly.com/andrejdrats/di…
Thanks for reading.

What are your thoughts on this? Let me know below.

& If you enjoyed this thread...

Follow me @AndrejDrats for more branding-related content like this.

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More from @AndrejDrats

Jul 10
In 1984, Dyson was rejected by every UK manufacturer.

So he fled to Japan for 18 months, broke and desperate...

Today, Dyson's $25B empire makes Apple, Samsung & LG scramble to copy his designs.

Here are the 3 philosophies he found in Japan (copy them): 🧵 Image
Picture this: It's 1984.

Dyson had created a revolutionary bagless vacuum after 5,127 prototypes.

But every UK manufacturer rejected him, saying the same thing:

"It will destroy our lucrative replacement bag business."

Most saw rejection. Dyson saw opportunity.
Dyson wasn't your typical engineer.

A graduate of art school, not engineering, he approached problems differently.

His obsession? Solving frustrations through design.

But it wasn't going well for him...
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Jul 7
In 2019, Disney was unstoppable.

$69B revenue. 4 of the top 5 highest-grossing films ever.

Then they made ONE branding move that wiped out $200B in market value.

Their films are flopping. Fans turned into haters.

Here's the dark story (& why they are perfectly happy with it): Image
First, let's look at the numbers.

Disney lost nearly $900 million in 2024 alone. Their stock crashed from $200 to $86, a 60% decline.

The Marvels became their biggest box office bomb ever.

But here's what's truly shocking...
Disney took 4 of the 5 biggest box office losses in 2023.

Strange World, Lightyear, Elemental, each film lost over $100 million.

For a company that once dominated global entertainment, this should be catastrophic.

Yet Disney's executives remain completely unbothered. Image
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Read 18 tweets
Jul 4
Wrigley's 5 Gum just became the ultimate case study in brand destruction.

In 2007, they created the most outrageous marketing campaign in snack food history.

By 2020, they were selling "gamer gum."

This is how a legendary brand completely annihilated their brand image: 🧵 Image
In 2007, 5 Gum did something insane.

They took chewing gum—the most boring product on earth—and made it feel like a sci-fi movie.

Their commercials looked like dystopian experiments. People getting launched through pneumatic tubes at Mach speed.

It was absolutely wild. ↓
The campaign was called "How It Feels to Chew 5 Gum."

Instead of normal flavors like "peppermint," they named them after elements and weather: Cobalt, Rain, Flare.

Each ad looked like humans being tortured with flavor in a military lab.

But here's where it gets crazy... Image
Image
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Jun 27
In 2015, Under Armour had everything.

Worth $19 Billion. Dethroned Adidas. Signed a deal with The Rock, Tom Brady, & Michael Phelps.

But then they made ONE fatal decision that turned into a $17 BILLION loss.

Here's the full story (& how to avoid making the same mistake): 🧵 Image
Image
Under Armour was unstoppable.

For 26 consecutive quarters, they posted 20%+ growth. Revenue exploded from $2.33 billion in 2013 to $4.83 billion by 2016.

Wall Street called them the "Nike killer." Their stock hit $53.78 per share.
But here's where it gets interesting... Image
At their peak, Under Armour's footwear business became a $1 billion empire overnight.

Stephen Curry's signature shoes were flying off shelves. They launched $1,500 luxury coats. Smart fabrics that cooled when you sweat.

But CEO Kevin Plank wanted more. Much more. Image
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Jun 26
In 2023, Disney tried to CRUSH X.

• Pulled all their advertising campaigns
• Cost Elon $75M in lost revenue
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But Elon's response was genius.

Here's the insane story of how one mistake cost Disney $200B: 🧵 Image
November 15, 2023. Six words changed everything.

"You have said the actual truth."

Elon replied to an antisemitic post. The corporate world reacted predictably.

What happened next redefined power dynamics in tech. Image
Within 48 hours:

IBM, Apple, Oracle ads appeared next to Nazi content per Media Matters.

Disney pulled first. Bob Iger saw an opportunity to signal virtue.

He didn't see the trap.
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Jun 25
In 2014, GoPro had it all.

Worth $10B. Crushed every competitor. $2B in sales.

Today? They lost $9.8B. Stock fell 99%. Analysts predict bankruptcy in just months.

All because of ONE fatal decision.

Here's the story of GoPro's biggest business mistake (& how to avoid it): 🧵 Image
Picture this:

2014. GoPro stock hits $93.85 per share.

Just 4 months after their $24 IPO, they were worth $11 billion.

Revenue was exploding. They owned 67% of the action camera market.

But that same day, CEO Nick Woodman made a decision that would destroy it all...
The decision?

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Within 18 months, GoPro doubled their workforce from 800 to 1,600 employees.

R&D spending exploded to $358.9 million in 2016.

But here's the kicker... Image
Read 17 tweets

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