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Jul 13, 2025 10 tweets 5 min read Read on X
AI 171 Crash: Boeing's failure or Pilot's Fault?

Ravish Kumar and BBC have already blamed pilots.

Dead pilots are easiest to blame and Boeing is a big fish to be saved.

Read this thread explaining everything that could have caused it. Pilots are least likely. Image
What all we know from AAIB's released report:

Seconds after takeoff:
Captain asks: " Why did you cut off engine?"
First Officer: " I didn't do"

They attempted restart of engine, Engine 1 show signs of regaining thrust but Engine 2 doesn't start properly.

And BBC jumped into blaming pilots and giving clean chit to Boeing.

But Look at pilot's credentials before flying AI171:

1. Pilot's breathe analyser : Negative
2. Pilots had proper rest before the flight.
3. Combined flying experience of both pilots on Boeing 787 : 9000+ hours.

So there is no decision fatigue. Neither they were new to the cockpit.

There are more details to it:Image
AAIB has mentioned no fuel contamination, no bird strike.

AAIB has also mentioned that Ram engine got deployed based on CCTV footage.

If there was no fuel contamination, no bird strike what moved both engines to CUTOFF state.

Why Engine 2 didnt/ start properly?

Are there more automations which could have caused this?

What is the history of 787's malfunctioning before this?

Let's understand take off procedure in simplest term and the systems which control Boeing engines:Image
We need to understand 3 speeds:

V1 ( Decision Speed): The speed on runway before which pilot can abort take off and stay on runway.. After this pilot can't abort take off because not enough runway would be left.

Vr: The speed of rotation ie the speed around which nose starts to lift.

V2: The minimum speed that must be achieved by the time the aircraft reaches 35 feet above the runway, ensuring it can safely climb with one engine inoperative.

For AI171, we can assume that flight was able to get to V2 speed and at least one engine was working till that time.

Ground report says ...Image
....both engine were operational.

No birdstrike during take off.

There is no reason why co-pilot will cutoff the engine.

That's why co-pilot sounds surprised when he was asked if he cut off the engines.

But interesting thing is: During restart attempt, 2nd engine doesn't recover properly.

Boeing has something called engine secure procedure.
pilots need to secure damage engine by cutting off.

You can assume, pilot could have tried cutoff one of the engine but report says both engine were operational and no bird strike. So why co-pilot would even think of that procedure.

Now comes another Boeing sensor and automation...
TCMA and FADEC:
TCMA: Thrust Control Malfunction Accommodation
FADEC: Full Authority Digital Engine Control

Foreign experts have raised question on these two.

Here is why:

Software-Triggered Engine Shutdown: The TCMA is designed to detect if the aircraft is on the ground and, if so, can automatically reduce engine thrust or even shut down the engines via the FADEC, without pilot intervention.

If this system erroneously determines the aircraft is on the ground during takeoff or initial climb, it could command a catastrophic loss of thrust at a critical moment

There are precedents:Image
Known Precedents and Software Flaws: There have been previous incidents, including a 2019 ANA (Japan) 787 event, where a software flaw in the TCMA-FADEC interaction led to an uncommanded dual engine rollback.

The U.S. NTSB formally acknowledged this as a software design flaw, and corrective actions were ordered for 787s.

Critical Control Authority: The FADEC system controls all aspects of engine performance, including the high-pressure engine-side fuel shutoff valve.

The TCMA can instruct the FADEC to shut down the engine if it senses a malfunction or misinterprets the aircraft's status.
Unexplained Fuel Cutoff Switch Movement:

In the AI171 crash, both engine fuel cutoff switches moved from RUN to CUTOFF within one second, immediately after takeoff, with neither pilot claiming responsibility.

The switches are designed to prevent accidental movement, and simultaneous manual activation is highly unlikely

Experts note that a computer-triggered thrust reduction or shutdown would leave distinct signatures in the flight data recorder, which investigators are now analyzing for evidence of such an event.

There are more details:
Right engine was replaced in March 2025 while left was replaced in 2023 and scheduled for maintenance in 2025 December.

As per Air India Engines had clean history.
If engines were all okay, fuel was not contaminated then why engines were in cut off state that too both.

Ram Air Turbine was deployed. It means aircraft was missing bare minimum electrical supply.

But Ram Engine can't do anything at low speed. Its turbine rotates based on air pressure created during high speed flight.

If we add all together, nothing adds up.

Why:Image
Pilots credential doesn't indicate of any fatigue or experience issue.

They were caught surprised why engines were in cutoff stage.

Cutoff switch is not like phone's touch screen but a mechanical switch to be pulled back that too twice.

Engines were in good enough state as per Air India and report. But Engine 2 didn't restart properly.

Bird strike was ruled out. No damage to engine for even pilot to commit error of wrongly putting one engine in cut off state.

There are only two other possibilities pending:
Boeing systems faltered as their history also suggests.

Was cockpit accessed by anyone apart from pilots just after takeoff: Highly unlikely.

Was there any sabotage done during ground maintenance work?

Fuel or anything which caused engines to malfunction and TCMA FADEC kicked in?

None of these suggest Pilots were at fault.Image

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More from @deepdownanlyz

Dec 16, 2025
Tariffs were supposed to kill India’s exports.

The economy was declared “dead”.

Trump raised duties.

Raghuram Rajan said Pakistan played it smart and got the better deal.
Reality check:

After 8.2% GDP growth for last quarter, India surpassed all predictions with its exports in November.

India’s exports jumped 19% to $38.13B in November. Exports to the US surged 22.6% YoY and 10% MoM.

Pakistan’s exports to the US fell ~15% in the same month.

Turns out noise does not move trade. Strategy does.

Thread. 👇Image
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November 2025 changed the debate. Merchandise exports jumped 19% YoY to $38.13B, and total exports (goods + services) hit $73.99B.

India’s export growth was not narrow. It was broad-based.

Major drivers in November 2025:
• Engineering goods +23.76%
• Electronic goods +38.96%
• Gems and jewellery +27.80%
• Drugs and pharmaceuticals +20.91%
• Petroleum products +11.65%

This matters because many of these sectors are either higher value or less tariff-sensitive.

The merchandise trade deficit slumped from a record ~$41.7B in October to $24.53B in November — far better than market estimates.

India’s exports to the U.S. rose 22.6% in November to $6.98 billion, which is even higher than its exports of $6.31 billion in the prior month.

India’s exports to the U.S. were down 8.6% in October and 11.9% in September.

India’s exports of goods and services for November were up 15.52% at $73.99 billion.

Those are not small moves: they show exports rose while imports eased, tightening external balances in one month.Image
Image
US TRADE: REBOUND DESPITE HIGH TARIFFS

India’s merchandise goods trade deficit, which had touched a record high of roughly $41.7 billion in October, shrank to $24.5 billion in November, beating a Reuters poll estimate of $32 billion.

Even with US duties increased (extra 25% in Aug, taking some lines to ~50%), exports to the US rose ~22.6% in November to ~$6.98B, reversing falls in September-October.

That rebound came from shifting product mix and higher-value shipments rather than volume-led commodity pushes. In short: tariffs raised costs, but exporters changed what and how they sold.Image
Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 8, 2025
IndiGo Chaos was planned well in advance in May 2025.

It was designed to bring Govt to its toes.

DGCA and Civil Aviation were never the target of this chaos.

Air India crash was the starting point.

It is part of a complicated geo politcal battle.

Read this till the end.Image
Turkish connection:

IndiGo codeshares to 40+ European/US points via Turkish; reciprocal for Turkish on Indian routes.

Turkish airline is the major partner.

The major shareholder of Turkish Airlines is the Türkiye Wealth Fund (Turkish Wealth Fund), which holds approximately 49.12% of the company's shares.

This fund's chairman is President Erdogan.

Turkey has been the biggest logistical and political supporter of Pakistan during Op Sindoor.

Along with Pakistan Turkey also lost credibility of its drones and business due to India cancelling contracts for Turkish companies and Indians bycotting Turkey in different forms.

Before Air India crash on June 12, explosives...Image
were found on Turkish Airlines flight surprise check in India a week prior to deadly crash.

Remember India suspended contracts of Celebi Airport Services India Private Limited. Erdogan's duaghter is a major share holder there.

After the deadly crash there were reports of Air India facing trouble, emergency landing and so on.

It created mistrust among people and passengers prefered IndiGo more.

Now comes the second twist in the tail.

Is Turkey the one behind all this? Answer is yes but not alone.

It is again just a front to do the execution.

Remember....Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 10, 2025
Something is not adding up.

Large scale GPS spoofing reporting coupled of days back.

ISI operatives arrested in Gujarat.

Now tons of explosives found with doctors in Faridabad.

What if the GPS “spoofing” around Delhi Airport last week wasn’t just a random tech glitch… but part of a larger counterintelligence game?Image
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The timing is too sharp to ignore because:
1. Visit of Israeli PM Netanyahu
2. Visit of Russian President Putin in December.
3. Preceded by Series of NOTAMs across India
4. Now back to back arrests and 2900KG explosive

In recent days, Indira Gandhi International Airport (IGIA), Delhi’s busiest hub, saw an unusual spike in navigation disturbances. Articulated in news reports: fake GPS signals — a phenomenon called “spoofing” — misled aircraft position systems within roughly 60 nautical miles of the airport.

At the same time, the main runway’s Instrument Landing System (ILS) had been temporarily withdrawn for upgrading to Category III status — meaning aircraft were more reliant than usual on satellite-based navigation.

Put together: a scenario where normal defences were weaker — and something tested India’s air-domain resilience.Image
What exactly was going wrong? Spoofing differs from jamming: instead of blocking signals, fake GPS transmissions make receivers believe they are somewhere they aren’t.

At IGIA, while ILS was offline for upgrade, aircraft were relying on RNP (Required Navigation Performance) which depends on GPS. Once GPS signals started getting manipulated up to 60 nm out, authorities flagged the risk. The gap between ground-aids and satellite-aids became a vulnerability — one that apparently adversaries or non-state actors tested.

There are many possibilities of what's going on behind the scene:Image
Read 6 tweets
Nov 7, 2025
Alarm bells at Delhi Airport.🚨

Something unusual happening since last few days.

400 flights were ground for 2 hours.

Is "failed attempt" duringSCO summit on Modi still in action?

In the past few days, pilots arriving into IGI have reported odd GNSS behaviour: their navigation systems showing incorrect positions, altitudes or paths — clear signs of GPS spoofing, where fake satellite signals are beamed to confuse aircraft.

This is far more serious than a routine tech glitch: when approach paths are compromised, aircraft must divert or go manual...Image
Image
increasing workload for controllers, raising safety risk.

Add to this that IGI already had a partially limited landing system (ILS upgrade ongoing) and an easterly wind change forcing arrivals from the Dwarka side, and you get a perfect storm.

The message: the skies over India’s busiest airport just got a lot more hazardous not just from weather, but from cyber-physical interference.

WAS A VVIP THE TARGET — OR WAS IT A MESSAGE?
Delhi was handling heavy VVIP and election-related air movements (Bihar) with choppers, charters, and security flights crisscrossing the same corridors.

Combine that with a sudden string of spoof events and an ATC messaging failure that delayed hundreds of flights, and you have the anatomy of an intimidation campaign: create fear, force movement, paralyze decision-making.

We have every right to ask whether this was a message aimed at our leadership — recall the recent reporting and heated speculation around assassination plots and suspicious foreign footprints at international forums.

Allegations exist in the public domain; investigators must follow these leads openly, not petulantly dismiss them. Treat this as potential state-level coercion by hostile proxies until proven otherwise.

THE NEW BATTLEFIELD IS SIGNALS — NOT JUST STRIPES.Image
Read 4 tweets
Oct 15, 2025
Pakistan's Afghanistan Crisis: What Orchestrated it?

To eliminate TTP chief?

Absolutely NOT.

Then?

There are multiple factors including Op Sindoor.

This conflict can go longer than what it seems.

Read this thread till the end.Image
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Pakistan’s cross-border strikes into Afghanistan can't be understood simply as counterterrorism.

Domestically, Islamabad is facing escalating unrest among the Baloch and Pashtun populations protests, demands for rights, accusations of enforced disappearances, economic neglect.

The army’s image, once almost uncontested, is under pressure as the primary “institution” holding the country together.

By projecting external threats, the civil-military complex seeks to reassert its indispensability.

The Afghan front ....Image
...becomes the dramatic stage for showing “we are protecting the nation,” even as discontent grows at home in structurally marginalized regions.

There is also a palpable desire in Pakistani leadership to demonstrate loyalty to Washington.

The talk of reclaiming Bagram Airbase by the US under Trump has drawn regional concern. By engaging in high-stakes military operations in Afghanistan, Pakistan appears to be indicating that it is still a willing security partner, able to act militarily, share intelligence, and tighten cross-border pressure.

In doing so, Islamabad may hope for political, financial, intelligence or diplomatic rewards from the US. The base issue is symbolic of US strategic priorities in South Asia and China’s growing influence.Image
Read 12 tweets
Oct 12, 2025
Pakistan is about to serve POJK on platter to India.

Modi-Shah-Doval had pressed panic button back in 2019.
Dont forget Doval's work in China.

Pahalgam Attack and Op Sindoor made it worse.

Read this thread to understand how Greed, Power and Religion making Pakistan explode👇Image
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Pakistan is breaking from within.

Economic collapse, militant violence, and political greed have torn apart what once held it together.

Religion no longer unites, the army no longer commands respect, and foreign powers are pulling its strings.

The fall began in 2019 when India revoked Article 370. That single act shattered Pakistan’s Kashmir dream and stripped its ideological core.

Since then, every desperate move to regain relevance has only dragged it deeper into isolation and internal decay.Image
The 2019 abrogation of Article 370 ended Pakistan’s moral claim over Kashmir.

Decades of propaganda collapsed overnight. The country that built its identity on “Kashmir Banega Pakistan” was left speechless.

Even Muslim nations like the UAE and Saudi Arabia chose trade with India over solidarity with Pakistan.

That humiliation cracked the myth that Islam alone could sustain national unity.

From that moment, Pakistan began its slow implosion. It was no longer the voice of the Muslim world, just another struggling state seeking attention in global politics.Image
Read 16 tweets

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