Thread by @ChrisO_wiki

1/ Russian warbloggers say that an overwhelming number of Ukrainian drones, along with an excessive Russian reliance on asphalt roads, is causing severe disruption of Russian logistics. Armoured vehicles have been reduced to "close to zero efficiency". ⬇️

https://x.com/front_ukrainian/status/1943365330878746931

2/ 'Witnesses of Bayraktar' writes:

"Drones are ruining our logistics. Strongholds 5 km from the front are already left without supplies, and this is in the presence of dense foliage. Why is this happening?"

3/ "Despite the wide front, we are sending logistics along asphalt roads, of which there are frankly few. There are a lot of forests and windbreaks around, but supplies are rushing along the asphalt.

4/ "The fewer roads, the greater the efficiency of waiting drones [i.e. drones that have been landed on the road waiting in ambush for a passing vehicle]. If several brigades receive supplies along one road, then the efficiency of such drones will tend to 100 percent.

5/ "In the summer, there is no problem laying a hundred alternative roads, but our engineers are frankly sloppy.

All counteraction to drones is mainly built on electronic warfare.

6/ "The supply run receives information about the drones just before the start of the journey, and then sets off along the route. After 3 minutes, the situation changes and then you fly past burning loaves [UAZ-452 vans]."

7/ 'NON*ATHLETE' agrees, and comments:

"A serious problem with logistical support has arisen on the front lines. There are two reasons for this: Ukrainian drones, of which there are a lot, and our supply routes, of which there are frankly few, and all of them are under fire."

8/ "Organising logistical supply of forward groups means ensuring the fulfillment of combat missions within the framework of an offensive or defensive operation. When supplies are lacking, it is logical that one should not expect success at the front...

9/ "The enemy outnumbers us in drones. This is a fact, no matter what some people say now.

10/ "It is in small UAVs that the Ukrainian Armed Forces have a big advantage, which is why the assault on each plantation is a feat, and armoured vehicles have actually become, if not useless, then close to zero efficiency.

11/ "And if we do not want to lose people and equipment, then we need to address this issue here and now."

Both warbloggers recommend copying Ukrainian tactics and building "an extensive network of field roads." 'NON*ATHLETE' describes how this worked at Bakhmut:

12/ "At one time, our troops took key roads under fire control, which seemed to weaken the enemy, but he had field routes. He used them to rotate and deliver ammunition and food to the assault groups, which is why the assault was not an easy task.

13/ 'Witnesses of Bakraktar' proposes how this could be organised:

14/ "Logistics strong points are located in forests at a distance of 3-5 km from each other. Supplies should not rely on icons [for divine protection] and rush 20 km in complete ignorance.

15/ "At logistics strong points, drivers should receive information about all drones and should be helped to hide under the foliage. Cargo should not be transferred from the rear base in one flight to the strong point, but in a dozen small heaves from point to point.

16/ "It is better to entrust this work to robotic platforms.

The points should be covered by electronic warfare and fighters with rifles. Such ambush teams show high efficiency in the fight against fibre optics.

17/ "In a word, in order to reduce losses, it is possible to change the logistics tactics now. And sitting on the strong points without supplies is sad and dangerous."

Sources:
🔹 t.me/bayraktar1070/…
🔹 t.me/athlete_axc/148