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Jul 14, 2025 11 tweets 5 min read Read on X
From the Barents Sea to China’s southern coast, Russia’s tanker fleet has been quietly tracked by Ukrainians. Thanks to an investigation by the analytical group Dallas Park, we now know more. With their permission, I analyzed the report and put together a thread of key takeaways: Image
2/ Built in 2011 and flagged in the Marshall Islands as SUEZ VASILIS, the oil tanker was reflagged to Liberia in 2021 and renamed NAUTILUS I. In November 2022, after Russia’s invasion, it changed owners, managers, flag, and name again, becoming SABLE under the Panama Source: vesselfinder
3/ In November 2023, Mikhail Gushchin became the ship’s master, according to a signed contract in Primorsk, Russia. At the time, the vessel was managed by Prominent Shipmanagement Limited.Image
Image
4/ Thanks to screenshots taken by Gushchin himself, it’s confirmed that SABLE made at least two trips to China during his command. One screenshot, dated November 20, 2023, shows the vessel en route from Primorsk to Zhoushan, China, with an expected arrival around December 20. Image
5/ On December 19, Gushchin received new routing instructions. Gazpromneft, the Russian oil giant, told him to sail to the Suez Canal after delivery and await further orders. According to logs, the vessel left Murmansk in early February 2024, carrying 140,000 tonnes of Arctic oil Image
6/ On February 2, Gushchin received additional orders: he was to load 140,000 tonnes of another Arctic crude (ARCO grade) in Kola Bay, near Murmansk. He photographed the loading between February 4 and 5 -- notably, it took place via ship-to-ship transfer. Image
Image
7/ The tanker then continued through the Suez Canal en route to China. On February 13, Gushchin sent a report to his employers at Gazpromneft revealing the voyage’s final destination: the Chinese port of Shuidong, with an expected arrival on March 18, 2024. Image
8/ The unloading of Russian oil was scheduled for March 19–21, 2024. Below is an Excel form filled out by Gushchin for the Chinese port, showing the vessel order for cargo unloading - SABLE is listed as number one. Also included: a photo taken near the Chinese coast: Image
Image
9/ In January 2025, the U.S. tightened sanctions on Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegas, targeting over 180 vessels - including Sable. However, even if China officially bans sanctioned ships from entering its ports, it can still receive Russian oil through offshore transfers Image
10/ Another emerging issue is Russia’s use of the Northern Sea Route to bypass restrictions, as shown in this navigation record of the Mikhail Ulyanov tanker en route from Russia to China. Solving this problem will require more sophisticated countermeasures Image
11/ Thanks for reading this investigation. If you found it valuable, please like and share the first post in the thread - and consider following. I also strongly recommend checking out the full report by Dallas Park, which includes many more details:

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More from @Tatarigami_UA

Feb 2
As we approach a point marking the beginning of the war’s 5th year, it is time to discuss how we assess the war’s overall dynamics, strictly from a military standpoint. One method many analysts use is the pace of territory capture. However, this methodology has a serious issue🧵:
2/ Generally, this is not a bad method of analyzing battlefield dynamics, as the history of wars shows far more cases of states advancing along frontlines or into enemy territory before a war ends in their favor than the opposite. The devil, however, lies in the details
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3/ While Russia has used the negotiation process primarily to delay new sanctions and slow support for Kyiv, its economic situation continues to deteriorate, and tactical gains have failed to translate into strategic breakthroughs.
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Dec 16, 2025
Information about a new modification of Russia’s Geran-2 drone has been published by Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence, including a detailed technical breakdown. According to the analysis, the Geran drone has been fitted with an R-60 air-to-air missile mounted on its fuselage: Image
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3/ The most likely employment of rocket involves transmitting images from the drone’s cameras to an operator via the modem. If a Ukrainian aircraft or helicopter enters the engagement zone, the operator sends a launch command to the missile’s control unit.
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Dec 11, 2025
Analysis: New Data Suggests Russia Is Sustaining Mi-8 Output Despite Wartime Losses

According to non-public Russian procurement documents obtained and analyzed by the Frontelligence Insight team, current Mi-8 production appears sufficient to offset wartime losses. 🧵Thread:Image
2/ Since the Soviet era, more than 12,000 Mi-8 helicopters of all types have been produced. It’s a versatile military transport platform that can move troops, cargo, serve as a flying hospital or EW asset, and conduct attack missions with unguided rockets and 100–500 kg bombs. Image
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Nov 24, 2025
Most know Kirill Dmitriev as the Russian president’s envoy. But to more than 200 investors in Ukraine, he is known for taking part in a Kyiv real estate project that ended in a fraud and criminal case. Using articles from 2011, I was able to find more details. 🧵Thread: Image
2/ The story begins in 2000s, when N. Lahuna and A. Dmitriev (Kirill Dmitriev’s father) planned the elite suburban “Olympic Park.” Construction was to be carried out by Traverz-Bud, a subsidiary of "Evropa", in which, according to "Argument," Kirill Dmitriev held a majority stake Image
3/ Based on court documents cited in the media, in 2011 (links at the end), a prosecutor’s audit found that construction of the properties, which under agreements with the developers of the “Olympic Park” was due to be completed by the end of 2008, has not been carried out Image
Read 11 tweets
Nov 20, 2025
The Financial Times, a media outlet I respect and one of the few that consistently produces exceptional reporting on Ukraine, has released a new editorial opinion. Many, including myself, agree that changes are needed. However, I believe the timing is extremely problematic: Image
2/ The situation on the frontlines is currently very difficult. At the same time, Kyiv is facing external pressure from Washington, where many are echoing Kremlin-style “capitulation” narratives. In moments like these, the President must stand on solid ground.
3/ This is not about Zelensky personally - it is about the institution of the Presidency. Completely overhauling the government and appointing untested figures in the name of transparency could create a situation where we might end up with no state and government at all
Read 5 tweets

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