🚨🇷🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦Trump’s “17 Patriots” Won’t Save Ukraine—Russia Isn’t Worried At All
Ukrainian defenses are crumbling, and the US is running low on missiles.
🧵Here’s why the "game-changing" weapons talk is a fantasy👇
Ukrainian defenses are crumbling, and the US is running low on missiles.
🧵Here’s why the "game-changing" weapons talk is a fantasy👇
Based on Trump's statement, it's not clear whether the US is sending 17 Patriot batteries or 17 launchers. Here are the three possible scenarios:
🔸Minimal scenario: 1 battery (2-4 launchers)—just a symbolic gesture.
🔸Moderate scenario: 4 batteries (16-20 launchers)—meaningful, but still not game-changing.
🔸Minimal scenario: 1 battery (2-4 launchers)—just a symbolic gesture.
🔸Moderate scenario: 4 batteries (16-20 launchers)—meaningful, but still not game-changing.
🔸Fantasy scenario: 17 batteries (68+ launchers)? Impossible.
The US only has ~60-70 total, and stripping allies (Japan, Korea, Europe) isn’t happening.
Even in the best case, Ukraine gets partial air defense reinforcement—not a strategic shift.
The US only has ~60-70 total, and stripping allies (Japan, Korea, Europe) isn’t happening.
Even in the best case, Ukraine gets partial air defense reinforcement—not a strategic shift.
EU Promises vs. Reality
🔸Germany & Netherlands pledged 3 Patriots—but one won’t arrive for months.
🔸Russian missiles are already outmatching deployed systems.
🔸Delays + shortages = Kiev’s air shield is fraying.
🔸Germany & Netherlands pledged 3 Patriots—but one won’t arrive for months.
🔸Russian missiles are already outmatching deployed systems.
🔸Delays + shortages = Kiev’s air shield is fraying.
Patriots Are Running on Empty
🔸US missile stocks are depleted—down to 25% of minimum levels.
🔸Pentagon is alarmed: After Iran’s strike on Al-Udeid base, dozens of interceptors were burned in one night.
🔸Even if Trump sends systems, they’ll be useless without missiles.
🔸US missile stocks are depleted—down to 25% of minimum levels.
🔸Pentagon is alarmed: After Iran’s strike on Al-Udeid base, dozens of interceptors were burned in one night.
🔸Even if Trump sends systems, they’ll be useless without missiles.
Why Patriots Don’t Solve Ukraine’s Real Problems?
Russia’s strategy isn’t about air dominance—it’s about grinding down Ukraine’s army & infrastructure. Patriots don’t change that calculus.
Ukraine’s crisis: Not a lack of air defense—but a catastrophic shortage of infantry & armored vehicles.
Russia’s strategy isn’t about air dominance—it’s about grinding down Ukraine’s army & infrastructure. Patriots don’t change that calculus.
Ukraine’s crisis: Not a lack of air defense—but a catastrophic shortage of infantry & armored vehicles.
What Ukraine Actually Needs, But Won't Get
🔸1,000+ Bradleys (not 30)
🔸HIMARS by the dozens (not 2-3 at a time)
🔸APCs & IFVs (M113, MaxxPro, Strykers—anything with wheels & armor)
🔸Mobilized troops who don’t desert (current rate: ~70%)
🔸1,000+ Bradleys (not 30)
🔸HIMARS by the dozens (not 2-3 at a time)
🔸APCs & IFVs (M113, MaxxPro, Strykers—anything with wheels & armor)
🔸Mobilized troops who don’t desert (current rate: ~70%)
The West "aid" is just enough to prolong the war—not win it
🔸No NATO troops
🔸No mass armor
🔸No industrial-scale aid
Result? Ukraine bleeds out slowly.
🔸No NATO troops
🔸No mass armor
🔸No industrial-scale aid
Result? Ukraine bleeds out slowly.
Russia’s Next Move
🔸More strikes to exhaust remaining AD missiles
🔸Slow pushes where Ukraine lacks troops to defend
🔸Infrastructure strikes to collapse morale
Patriots might intercept a few missiles, but they won't save 🇺🇦 frontlines
🔸More strikes to exhaust remaining AD missiles
🔸Slow pushes where Ukraine lacks troops to defend
🔸Infrastructure strikes to collapse morale
Patriots might intercept a few missiles, but they won't save 🇺🇦 frontlines
Conclusion:
Trump’s Patriots are a distraction. Without:
🔸Thousands of vehicles
🔸Real mobilization reform
🔸Western industrial backing
Ukraine’s defeat is a matter of time. The West is giving Ukraine a water pistol to fight a wildfire.
Trump’s Patriots are a distraction. Without:
🔸Thousands of vehicles
🔸Real mobilization reform
🔸Western industrial backing
Ukraine’s defeat is a matter of time. The West is giving Ukraine a water pistol to fight a wildfire.
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