Russian casualties in Ukraine have reached staggering new levels.
Russia’s recent casualty rates are the highest since the invasion began. Independent estimates suggest that russian forces are losing 1,000–1,500 soldiers killed or wounded every single day.
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2/ Over two years into the full-scale invasion, total russian casualties — killed and wounded — may now exceed 1 million.
3/ Why so high?
• Russia continues large-scale offensives, throwing waves of infantry into attacks regardless of losses.
4/ • Ukraine’s defensive strategies have become more effective and adaptive.
• Moscow seems willing to accept extreme losses to achieve even small territorial gains.
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A Letter to Donald Trump — from a bathtub in Kharkiv
Dear Donald
My name is Anna. I’m writing this from Ukraine — from Kharkiv — from the bathroom where I’m hiding with my dog from russian rockets and drones. There’s already been nine explosions in the city, by my count.
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2/ Before the shelling began, I was watching the news.
As I ran for cover, I didn’t turn off the TV.
Now I hear your voice echoing from the other room — announcing another delay in sanctions.
Usually, I refrain from criticizing the Ukrainian government during wartime. Our primary focus should be rallying international support for Ukraine.
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2/ I want to begin by saying that I support the appointment of Yuliia Svyrydenko as the new Prime Minister of Ukraine. Based on my personal interactions with Yuliia and her team, I believe she will do well as the Prime Minister.
3/ Nevertheless, I want to make two brief observations.
Why do I continue to talk about russia’s war of aggression against Ukraine?
People tell me I should post less about the war and focus more on “professional” topics — economics, science, leadership. After all, I’m an economist, recognized by Forbes as a Top Economic Thinker.
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2/ First, to those people: I would never want to have anything in common with you. If you think profession or business is more important than human life, we do not share the same values. Please, find a different place to engage. We have nothing in common.
3/ Second, I would love to create more content on economics and education. I still try to, whenever I can. But it is hard to focus on abstract ideas when 40 million people are fighting for their very existence.
Why Russian society often appears passive and submissive to authority. Why do they have no voice? Some attribute it to fear or systemic repression — and that’s partly true. But a deeper question is: how did it get this way?
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2/ The truth lies in centuries of historical development. Unlike Western Europe, which gradually evolved through stages of agriculture, industrialization, and the rise of individual rights, large parts of Russia were geographically isolated and politically centralized.
3/ As a result, many democratic and humanistic ideals never took root.
Trump may activate drawdown powers for the first time in his current term to approve military aid to Ukraine, according to Reuters.
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2/ The new package — worth around $300 million — may include Patriot missile systems and medium-range guided rockets, exactly the kind of weapons Ukraine urgently needs to defend its cities from russian attacks.
3/ The aid would come directly from Pentagon stockpiles under Presidential Drawdown Authority, meaning it could be delivered much faster than new purchases. A final decision on the exact equipment list is expected at a meeting on Thursday.
Russia will not wait for Europe to prepare for a potential strike. The European idea that Russia might attack around 2030, giving time to rearm, is misguided.
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2/ The most effective time to strike is when Europe is least prepared — and a Russian attack is quite possible before the end of this year.
3/ First question: Where to strike?
The Baltic states are often seen as the easiest first targets — they’re small, and U.S. intervention is very unlikely.