In 2027, Russia attacks Poland from Belarus and the Kaliningrad region. It occupies Suwałki, and the front line stabilizes near Białystok. Every night, Russia bombs Polish cities, striking hospitals and kindergartens alike.
1/n 2/ NATO’s response is limited. Weapons are sent to Poland, but no soldiers. Western European countries have armies too small to enter the fight.
Aug 29 • 8 tweets • 2 min read
Peace talks are dead. Security “guarantees” from Europe look hollow. The U.S. waits for a Ukraine–russia summit that will likely never happen.
So what can the U.S. and EU do now to truly help end the war?
1/n 1. Expand sanctions.
Target Lukoil & Rosneft — two giants behind nearly half of russia’s crude exports. Cutting their revenues would directly weaken the Kremlin’s war machine. /2
Aug 27 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Europe’s rearmament is happening at historic speed.
Since russia’s invasion of Ukraine, Europe has been expanding military factory capacity three times faster. From 790,000 m² in 2020-2021 to 2.8 million m² in 2024-2025 - a true “rearmament of historic proportions.”
1/n 2/ One of the largest projects is the joint Rheinmetall-N7 Holding venture in Hungary. Construction began in 2022, and by 2024 the first plant producing 30mm shells for Lynx IFVs was already operational.
Aug 27 • 9 tweets • 2 min read
Russian officials saying that Putin will not sign any agreement with Zelensky, because he is “illegitimate.”
All of this is a direct consequence of Trump trying to appease Putin. I saw this coming eight months ago.
Here is what I wrote on February 18:
1/n 2/ Here is what I wrote on February 18:
Fox News has reported that russia and the U.S. have proposed a three-step peace plan, which includes a ceasefire, elections in Ukraine, and the signing of a final agreement.
Aug 26 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Ukraine is doing its best to strike at russia's ability to wage war against the Ukrainian people, while russia aims to kill Ukrainian civilians. Yet, we never hear America praising Zelensky and Ukraine for ethically defending their country.
1/n 2/ We have heard in the past week that President Trump, others in his administration, and conservative news, reference the 'two warring countries', or the 'two warring presidents.' This is such a gross misrepresentation of this war.
Aug 25 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
It is so painful to read. About 6,000 bodies of Ukrainians that russia has returned. It feels like a vision from the times of Stalin and Hitler. I am grateful to our pathologists who carry out this work, giving relatives the final confirmation of who has died.
1/n 2/ On a dusty railway platform in the Odesa region, Ukrainian workers unload white bags with bodies from refrigerated train cars. The air is thick with the stench of death, The New York Times reports.
Aug 24 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
Independence is not an event, but a process.
Usually, the declaration of independence is only the beginning. What follows is the war for independence - because empires never let anyone go voluntarily.
1/n 2/ Our own war for independence was long delayed. Many say we wasted the years when we should have been preparing. That is true, and not true. If we had prepared, the war would have started earlier.
Aug 22 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
It is very dangerous to “hope” that Trump will stop russia’s war against Ukraine.
Yesterday I spoke with someone who genuinely believes the upcoming “negotiations” between Putin and Zelenskyy are a real chance to end the war.
1/n 2/ We talked for an hour and a half. I kept returning to one thought: Zelenskyy could end the war at a meeting with Putin — but only by signing a pact of capitulation.
Aug 19 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
What is the “root cause” of russia’s aggression against Ukraine?
No, it’s not NATO expansion, “demilitarization,” “denazification,” “defense of russian-speaking minorities,” or Putin’s personal insecurities. It’s older and deeper…
1/n 2/ Russian imperialism — sustained by a culture that has long justified domination of its neighbors.
Aug 19 • 12 tweets • 2 min read
Short highlights from Zelenskyy’s conversation with Trump, along with explanations of what happened and what expectations were voiced during the morning meetings at the Ukrainian embassy.
Below are the main takeaways and details:
1/n 2/ âś… Security guarantees.
This is the starting point for ending the war. According to Zelenskyy, the U.S. has sent a “clear signal” that it will coordinate and take part in these guarantees; there is political will, and details are expected to be formalized within a week.
Aug 19 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Zelenskyy’s Briefing After Meeting with Trump
Battlefield clarity
• “I was able to show our American colleagues on the map who really controls what on the battlefield.”
1/n 2/ Security guarantees
• Discussed not just a temporary pause, but a framework for “real peace.”
• The U.S. has signaled it will help coordinate and also directly participate in providing security guarantees for Ukraine.
Aug 19 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Why Ukraine Can’t Simply Give Up Territory to Russia
I keep hearing people say, “Why doesn’t Ukraine just give Russia some land so the war can end?”
It sounds simple, but it’s actually dangerous thinking — for Ukraine, for Europe, and for the whole world.
1/n 2/ 1. Borders matter — and the world agreed on them.
After WWII, the global community decided: no country can take land by force. When the USSR collapsed in 1991, Ukraine became independent within its existing borders. So, did the Russian Federation.
Aug 18 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
Lessons from history everyone should know: How the U.S. kept saving russia.
In the 1920s, russia begged the United States to save it from famine. The U.S. sent food, and soon after, russia seized new territories once held by the empire.
1/n 2/ In the 1930s, the USSR asked the U.S. to rescue its economy, help launch industrialization, and build factories. Washington obliged — enabling the Soviets to rearm and prepare for war.
Aug 17 • 6 tweets • 1 min read
Putin’s demands for “ending the war”
1. Ukraine must withdraw all troops from Donetsk and Luhansk, in exchange for freezing the front lines in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia.
1/n 2/ Russia would return only small areas it seized in northern Sumy and northeastern Kharkiv.
Aug 13 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Take a close look at these two photos.
Russia and Chechnya signed a peace treaty in 1996. Just three years later, in 1999, russia invaded Chechnya again.
1/n 2/ Unable to win the war outright, russia took a break — only to return and destroy the country, killing hundreds of thousands of Chechens.
Aug 13 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
Putin’s top priority was to keep Zelensky from attending the Alaska meeting.
Putin rejected a three-way meeting proposed by Trump because Zelensky’s presence would require real negotiations, making it harder for Moscow to hide its lack of interest.
1/n 2/ By insisting on a bilateral meeting with Trump, Putin could try to offer terms acceptable to this U.S. administration but unacceptable to Ukraine.
Aug 13 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Trump and Putin will meet on August 15 at Joint Base Elmendorf–Richardson in Anchorage, Alaska, according to White House officials.
“If you live in Alaska, I need you to do something very important.
One, I need you go on Amazon and buy a Ukrainian flag…
1/n 2/ Two, I need you to turn whatever airstrip that Vladimir Putin is coming in on, any area that Vladimir Putin is going to be - into a sea of Ukrainian flags. So many Ukrainian flags that when Putin lands, all he's going to see is just yellow and blue.
Aug 12 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
The 2025 meeting between Trump and Putin in Alaska will be a repeat of the 1938 meeting between Chamberlain and Hitler.
Appeasement negotiations with an aggressor don’t work. History already gave us this lesson when Great Britain tried it with Hitler.
1/n 2/ On 30 September 1938, British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain stepped off the plane after the Munich Conference and read a joint statement with Adolf Hitler.
Aug 11 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
This is a brilliant explanation by the Vice-President of the European Commission, Kaja Kallas on why it is senseless to “negotiate” with russia.
1/n 2/ There is a clear pattern to russian negotiations and it was best summed up by the former Soviet foreign minister Andrei Gromyko:
- First, demand the maximum, do not meekly ask but demand.
Aug 11 • 10 tweets • 2 min read
To understand the absurdity of “exchanging Ukrainian territories for Ukrainian territories,” imagine this:
You live in your house — born & raised there. All documents prove it’s yours, legally registered in your name.
1/n 2/ One day your neighbor knocks for salt — and knocks you out with a baseball bat.
When you regain consciousness, covered in blood, you find him drinking in your kitchen with his buddies.
Aug 11 • 5 tweets • 1 min read
What is the russian plan for Ukraine?
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Erase Ukrainian identity. Replace it with a russian one. Reeducate and brainwash the population. Then use these people as tools for future russian expansion. It’s not new — it’s a pattern.
 1/n 2/ Just 35 years ago, Soviet troops, including Ukrainians, were stationed in East Germany as part of Moscow’s imperial military machine.