Europe unites amid U.S. protectionism and post-Brexit rifts.
NYT: Germany and the UK will sign a sweeping deal on July 18 covering defense, migration, energy, and trade — treating a threat to one as a threat to both (including China and Russia).
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The defense pact builds on a 2024 agreement: joint military drills and weapons co-development.
Now it goes further.
Britain and France just agreed to coordinate nuclear arsenals.
Germany has no nukes, but it is now the #3 military supplier to Ukraine.
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Merz has pledged 3.5% of Germany’s GDP to defense by 2029 — the biggest military rearmament since the Cold War.
This comes as Russia escalates in Ukraine and Trump pressures NATO to spend more.
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The UK-Germany deal, nicknamed a “friendship contract”, also targets post-Brexit friction:
- easier UK-Germany travel for schoolchildren and tourists
- new anti-trafficking efforts
- closer scientific and rail links
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Macron just signed a UK deal to send 50 Channel-crossers back weekly in exchange for 50 vetted asylum seekers.
Now Merz and Starmer follow up with joint migration enforcement in the new pact.
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Unlike Macron, Merz gets no royal carriage or state banquet.
But the symbolism is clear: Starmer and Merz are building a strategic European core.
Both are new leaders in polarized systems. Both back Ukraine. Both want Europe to act, not wait for Washington.
He’s ready to turn Russia into a militarized dictatorship — Michael Kimmage and Maria Lipman, Foreign Affairs. 1/
Russia’s economy is stagnating with high inflation and looming recession as war spending rises.
Globally, it’s losing ground — Armenia pivoted away, Assad fell in Syria, Iran drifts, and China limits tech transfers despite their “partnership.” Strategic setbacks mount. 2/
The US pledged advanced NATO arms to Ukraine and blamed Putin for dragging out the war.
Meanwhile, Ukraine's deep-strike attacks on Russian airbases in May show growing innovation, hinting at bold surprises ahead as the conflict enters a new phase. 3/
Rutte: We’re now massively arming Ukraine with U.S. weapons funded by Europe: missiles, ammo, air defense.
If Russia avoids peace talks, in 50 days, secondary sanctions will hit India, China, and Brazil hard. Leaders in Beijing, Delhi, and Brasília should take note. 1/
Sen. Tillis: If Putin succeeds in Ukraine, what’s next? Moldova? The Balkans? Peace in the region is at risk.
This isn’t a political or partisan war. It’s a brutal war of choice by Putin and he must fail. 2/
Rutte: Together with Ukraine, through our command in Wiesbaden, we’re building tailored aid packages.
The U.S. keeps enough for its own defense, but ensures Ukraine gets what it needs. It’s also a clear signal to Putin: get serious about peace talks. 3/
WSJ: Trump decided to give Ukraine not 2, but 5 Patriot systems — after seeing Russia bomb a maternity hospital in Kharkiv and a residential block in Kherson (killing a 1-year-old). He immediately called Merz on July 11 and made the offer.
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The sale wasn’t planned. Just a week earlier, Merz asked for 2 systems and Trump said no. But July 11 changed that. Trump: I’m ready. He picked up the phone himself. Merz immediately agreed.
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Merz got Trump’s attention by offering money. On July 3, hours after Trump’s last call with Putin, Merz called him and said: if you’ve frozen aid to Ukraine, sell Patriots to Germany.
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