Michael McAteer Profile picture
Jul 19 8 tweets 2 min read Read on X
The Alberta government is being criticized for tardiness in fighting the Jasper fires. A public inquiry would be a learning experience. The Boreal won't stop burning...not by expanding oil & gas production....not without carbon restrictions.
Supply side management of an economy is coercive and does not necessarily yield the best results. The fastest route to climate redemption is to diminish the market for oil by promoting cheap EVs and letting the substitution effect crush the market for gas burning ICE vehicles.
This means dealing with the Chinese who engineer the best EVs on the planet — at the best price. The base BYD sells for $9,000 US and even the president acknowledges that these prices are not sustainable. Imagine BYD setting up manufacturing in Canada with a deal on aluminum.
It's conceivable they could sell a car for $20,000 CDN. Rooftop solar with sodium-ion home storage batteries will move the needle towards sustainably produced electricity.
It's also a means to rebalance global trade. John Maynard Keynes was the British representative to the Bretton Woods Conference in 1943 that was called to create a world trading order after the war.
He anticipated the problem of trade imbalances developing when self interested nations pursued a "beggar thy neighbour" policy, driving up their export surpluses while suppressing demand in their domestic economy. Count Germany and China.
One relief valve he proposed was for surplus countries to invest in their partners' economies. He also proposed the creation of an international currency he called the Bancor as another means of making adjustments to trade imbalances.
He was outvoted by the American contingent that insisted the U.S. be the reserve currency.

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More from @Monetarius

Jul 20
The Alberta government is being criticized for tardiness in fighting the Jasper fires. A public inquiry would be a learning experience. The Boreal won't stop burning...not by expanding oil & gas production....not without carbon restrictions.
Supply side management of an economy is coercive and does not necessarily yield the best results. The fastest route to climate redemption is to diminish the market for oil by promoting cheap EVs and letting the substitution effect crush the market for gas burning ICE vehicles.
This means dealing with the Chinese who now engineer the best EVs. The base model BYD sells for $9,000 US but even their president acknowledges that these prices are not sustainable without subsidies. Imagine BYD setting up manufacturing in Canada with a deal on aluminum.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 14
Says Google AI: "Recent data indicates that the tropical Pacific has warmed up, ending the recent La Niña event. This has transitioned the region into a neutral state according to Climate Prediction Center." La Niña brings a surplus of precipitation to the plains of the northern
...hemisphere, and indeed its appearance last year saved a number of Saskatchewan farmers from bankruptcy. We've had lots of the expected rain in Saskatoon this summer, but wildfires have gotten worse nonetheless. Soon we will be into the drought ridden El Niño cycle. What then?
Global warming is overwhelming the effects of the ENSO weather cycles and the Boreal is burning. How long will it be before Saskatoon becomes unlivable? We've had over 40 years to consider the consequences of anthropogenic climate change, but have not taken responsibility.
Read 5 tweets
Jul 1
"The NYT included the illustrative figure below, which draws simple ordinary least squares trends over three time periods: 1880-1970, 1970-2010, and 2010-present (May 2025).
It appears to show a notable acceleration over the past 15 years compared to the rate of warming that characterized the post-1970 “modern warm period” when climate change began to notably take off (with) human emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases." open.substack.com/pub/theclimate…Image
The brief interlude of La Niña last summer brought more rain to the plains which is typical, and certainly here in Saskatoon we've seen enough rain this summer, but we know how quickly a blistering sun can dry things out, and a return to droughts of El Niño could be disastrous.
Read 5 tweets
Jun 26
"At Bretton Woods, John Maynard Keynes proposed a system where both surplus and deficit countries would share responsibility for balancing trade, rather than placing the entire burden on deficit countries.
📷
He advocated for a global central bank, the Clearing Union, which would issue a new international currency, the "bancor," to settle imbalances.
Countries with surpluses would be encouraged to spend more or invest in deficit countries, while deficit countries would be encouraged to reduce their deficits through currency devaluation and trade restrictions."
Read 9 tweets
Jun 13
There is opportunity in the crisis. Canadian automobile manufacturing has been declining for over a decade and Trump has sealed its fate, however the Canadian automobile parts industry has conversely expanded and is embedded in North American supply chains.
BYD is now the world's most prolific manufacturer of EVs. Their base model sells for less than the equivalent of $10,000 US.
This low price price is achievable with significant subsidies from the Chinese government and even BYD's president recently stated that these prices are not sustainable.
Read 7 tweets
Jun 12
How large should Canada's population be? In the end it is a policy decision about immigration given the country's decline fertility.
"To illustrate the power of migration and immigration policy in shaping population, consider two extreme scenarios. The first highlights the consequences of low fertility for population change when immigration is imagined to be zero.
In this scenario, Canada’s total fertility rate continues its downward trajectory and drops to 1.0—the 2023 fertility rate in British Columbia, the lowest of all provinces—while net migration (both temporary and permanent) falls to zero.
Read 11 tweets

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