Thread with excerpts from "Fall of the Double Eagle: The Battle for Galicia and the Demise of Austria-Hungary."
The multiethnic nature of Austria-Hungary meant that it could not separate domestic and foreign policy; every foreign issue had a domestic lobby and vice-versa.
The military was a complex, highly-bureaucratic, inefficient, and unwieldy behemoth, the natural result of a dozen ethnic groups and countless dialects. The army was bound together by dynastic loyalty, and Franz Joseph saw it more as a domestic than a foreign instrument.
A-H had three different armies: an Austrian one, a Hungarian one (Honved), and a joint one (KuK). The first two were supposed to be symbolic, but gradually became major forces in their own right due to Hungarian intransigence. This posed obvious problems for unity of command.
Even worse, military laws required assent from both halves of the monarchy, and the Hungarians used funding/training/conscription as a bargaining chip for other concessions, leaving it weak and unready. Chart unrelated (race provisions in the National Defense Acquisition Act).
As such, when war came, Austro-Hungary had the weakest military of the great powers, despite a large population and economy. However, at least the military had spiffy uniforms (useful for the domestic repression role) and was extremely diverse.
The linguistic diversity in particular led to amusing misunderstandings, and trying to figure out the right languages for each unit often offended left-out groups.
Jews were highly overrepresented among reserve officers, especially in the Honved. There were six Jewish officers for every Jewish common soldier.
Austria's weakest arm was artillery.
Very successful Russian espionage ring, with prominent General Staff officers, including Redl, the head of the Hapsburg espionage arm for 7 years. The traitors: a Serb with ethnic sympathies for Russia and a "notorious homosexual." If only there were signs.
Homosexuality was apparently fairly common in the Hapsburg officer corps, and Redl turned to treachery to pay for his lifestyle, turning over KuK's secrets and destroying the entire Austrian espionage network in Russia. Unrelated: Project Veritas.
Deployment plan chosen was awful. Initially deployed primarily vs Serbia, even though Russian support for Serbia was well-known, then had to pivot back when the Russians showed up, failing on both fronts.
The head of the Serbian military, who would go on to beat the Hapsburg invasion, was on Hapsburg soil when the war started and interned, only to be allowed to leave by Franz Joseph. The Serbs mobilized faster and had a comparable force to the invasion.
Galicia's fortresses were not well-maintained or modernized due to the faith in the offensive. KuK plan was an attack into Poland.
When Brusilov, the finest Russian general of the war, advanced into Galicia, he assumed the KuK would defend from behind the river Gnila Lipa, rather than in front of it, because to do otherwise would be retarded. He was wrong.
The Russians had more, more modern, and better-used artillery, and put it to good use again and again.
Austria-Hungary took 420,000 casualties against Russia in three weeks of fighting, more than the entire prewar standing army.
Defeat in Galicia brought forth A-H's ethnic tensions. One feature of multiethnic agglomerations is that they are fragile - when things are good, they can work, but they tend to crumble at setbacks, and there will always be setbacks.
Defeat in Galicia was blamed on many things; one was the homosexual cabal in the General Staff, as exemplified by Russian spy Redl.
The destruction of the pre-war army, the major institution keeping Austria-Hungary together, turned A-H into a German dependent and eventually doomed the monarchy. Rebuilding the army from scratch brought in broader ethnic hatreds from civilian society.
Gavrilo Princip, probably the most destructive and successful terrorist of all time, was not executed because Austria law forbid the death penalty for teenagers.
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Since 2009, medical schools have had to prove they sufficiently discriminate against white men ("achieve mission-appropriate diversity outcomes") to get accredited.
White men are now significantly underrepresented among med school students.
Fortunately, competence isn't that important in doctors, so purging white men in favor of "underrepresented minorities" (blacks, LatinX) who can't pass clinical exams shouldn't matter.
European IQ's rising due to natural selection (as measured by PGS) continuing into the modern era whereas it stalled in East Asia could have been predicted from Gregory Clark's genealogical studies in both regions.
Clark found that "survival of the richest" was the rule in England from 1300-1880 or so, with huge differences in surviving offspring by class and this was much weaker in Qing China because higher class women didn't have more kids due to elite polygamy.
(IQ is not the only trait that goes into income or wealth, of course, so selection for wealth is only indirectly selection for IQ and also selects for a package of other traits, some of which are collective goods like IQ and some of which are not.)
The Bancroft Prize (one of the most prestigious history awards, given by a panel of historians for works on diplomacy or the history of the Americas) was given in 2000 to someone claiming guns were really rare in colonial America (he committed fraud by changing quotes).
This should have been obvious nonsense to anyone who knows anything at all about colonial America, of course, and yet a panel of professional historians thought it was work at the pinnacle of the field until some random blogger pointed out all the fraud.
I very strongly appreciate this essay and wish there were a hundred more like it for other orgs. The SPLC is one of the biggest and most important nodes in the closure of the Internet, coordinating debanking and censorship outside the formal state.
Amazon, for example, incorporated SPLC judgements into their pipeline automatically, and this is the norm in the financial industry.
The SPLC coordinated pressure campaigns against the private sector 2017-2022, specifically Internet companies and payment processors. The easy for any individual company to do is knuckle under, especially since most decision-making managers will be sympathetic to begin with.
A common normie folk belief is that AIDS was ignored by The Establishment out of homophobia. The opposite is true; AIDS became the most researched disease in human history within a few years, and gay orgs strenuously fought measures that might have stopped it.
The attitude of gay orgs during the peak of AIDS was: 1) The REAL epidemic is stigma (it was not, it was HIV) 2) You (meaning mainstream society) must do absolutely everything in your power to save us without us having to change our own behavior in any way at all
Gays were eventually bailed out of the consequences of their own behavior by extraordinary amounts of public research (mostly conducted and paid for by non-gays) plus expensive and continuing public funding of medicine for them (PrEP).
My view: the Great Awokening is over, but, by default, will be back even worse in 20 years. This cycle has already happened twice, with the 60s/70s New Left and 90s PC. Each time, some of the worst excesses are undone but nowhere near enough to reverse the previous wave.
What I think causes the ~20 year cycle is the education system; the natural result of paying attention in school is to be an insane leftist.
Every major conflict in US history, and most in world history, is taught as left vs right (sometimes "reformers" vs conservatives"), with the left always winning, always being in the right, and always vindicated by history. It's very simple to extrapolate from that!