#IranAnalysis🧵
1- While Iran has fundamentally agreed to hold talks with the EU and E3 (🇩🇪, 🇬🇧,🇫🇷) over the so-called Snapback mechanism (the mechanism Javad Zarif denied its existence in the JCPoA); it feels that nothing positive will come out of these talks, either.
1- While Iran has fundamentally agreed to hold talks with the EU and E3 (🇩🇪, 🇬🇧,🇫🇷) over the so-called Snapback mechanism (the mechanism Javad Zarif denied its existence in the JCPoA); it feels that nothing positive will come out of these talks, either.
2- Iran’s FM Araghchi says his team will be well-prepared for talks with the EU/EU: he sends a letter to the UN Secretary General and President of the UN Security Council, reminding them that the E3 lack legal and moral authority to trigger the Snapback mechanism.
https://twitter.com/araghchi/status/1946990297218453536
3- Iranians argue that in 2018, after Trump’s withdrawal from the JCPoA, the E3 didn’t lift a finger to support Iran in the face of Trump’s bullying. They accuse the EU and especially the E3 of tacitly aiding and abetting the Zionist regime in its aggression on Iran.
4- The Islamic Republic thinks as talks with the U.S. are at standstill, the EU/E3 act on behalf of the U.S. and 🇮🇱: keeping the Snapback mechanism as the Sword of Damocles over Iran’s head to force it make concessions regarding its nuclear program and cooperation with #IAEA.
5- The EU/E3 reportedly offered Iran that they could delay the use of SnapBack mechanism through a new UNSC resolution in exchange for Tehran returning to the table (and agree with their terms).
They’ve also took a page from Trump’s book and set an ultimatum for Iran.
They’ve also took a page from Trump’s book and set an ultimatum for Iran.
6- Iran believes the EU’s offer is nothing but another lever of pressure. Tehran has told the EU/E3 that it will not halt enrichment and warned them that activating the Snapback mechanism will officially end Europe’s role in this protracted dossier.
7- Iranian experts from time to time caution that Snapback will prompt Tehran to exit from the nuclear non-proliferation treaty, the NPT. But it is not clear if it is the official stance of the Islamic Republic. (I personally don’t think it is the case, used merely a threat).
8- Words say Iran has refused to accept a certain Scandinavian country as the mediator between the two sides.
It has already aligned its stance with China (through Araghchi) and with Russia (though Larijani), now the ball is in EU/E3’s court.
It has already aligned its stance with China (through Araghchi) and with Russia (though Larijani), now the ball is in EU/E3’s court.
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