Strong and timely piece from the FT on Andriy Yermak, head of the Presidential Administration and Ukraine’s “Grey Cardinal.” While I don’t agree with everything, the reporting offers valuable criticism worth unpacking in a thread. Key takeaways:
2/ Andriy Yermak isn’t Ukraine’s president but he often acts like one. As Head of the Presidential Office, he drafts peace plans, conducts back-channel diplomacy, and appoints key official. Both the prime minister and senior military leaders are said to routinely defer to him.
3/ In interviews with Financial Times over 40 sources, current and former Ukrainian officials, Western diplomats in Kyiv, and officials in Europe and Washington, many said Yermak holds influence equal to, or greater than, President Zelenskyy.
4/ Inside Kyiv’s presidential compound, Yermak leads a loyal inner circle of about two dozen handpicked advisers. They enjoy access to national security briefings and meetings with foreign leaders - an arrangement seen as highly unorthodox in Western capitals.
5/ His power is controversial. Yermak has come to personify a national debate: will wartime centralization help Ukraine win the war, or harm its democratic future? For many, he’s a symbol of an old order they hoped the war would sweep away.
6/ His decision-making has raised alarms many times. Against the advice of U.S. and Ukrainian officials, Yermak pushed for a meeting with Donald Trump in February - aiming to lock in American backing and a strategic minerals deal.
7/ He has also reportedly intervened in battlefield decisions. Two Ukrainian officials involved in military planning say Yermak overruled generals on several occasions - most notably during the brutal defense of Bakhmut.
8/ At the time, Western officials were alarmed by the rising casualties. Ukrainian commanders complained that resources were being squandered with little strategic return. Many believe the decision to hold Bakhmut came not from the military, but from Zelenskyy’s inner circle.
9/ Eventually, Bakhmut fell. The losses bled into Ukraine’s failed 2023 counteroffensive. “It was a mistake to stay in Bakhmut so long,” said a senior Ukrainian official. “But we had our orders.”
10/ Zelenskyy declined to be interviewed for the FT story, but has strongly defended his chief of staff. “I respect him for his results,” he told a reporter last year. “He does what I tell him. He’s one of the strongest managers on my team.”
11/ One of the most common criticisms is the size of his ego. “Planetary,” said a Western ambassador who has dealt with him for years. “Actually, galactic might be more accurate.” A former U.S. official, briefed on Yermak’s trip, added: “He complicates everything, offers no real creative ideas, and often makes it about himself.”
12/ Yermak is rarely far from controversy. Some focus on Oleh Tatarov, a top official in the Yanukovych-era police apparatus and now one of Yermak’s closest allies in government. They accuse Tatarov of acting as Yermak’s enforcer, influencing Ukraine’s security agencies
13/ Another sensitive issue is Yermak’s younger brother, Denys, a businessman tied to multiple corruption allegations. The latest claims came from military intelligence chief Kyrylo Budanov, whom Yermak reportedly tried to have removed in response, two sources said.
14/ Over the past few months, Yermak had been working on a crowning project of sorts: the biggest reshuffle of Ukraine’s cabinet of ministers since the start of the war. Last week, he successfully completed it, installing his protégé as prime minister
This is only part of the story. I recommend reading the full article yourself I don’t want to violate copyrights by reposting it here. You can find it at the link below
In the early morning of July 26th, multiple videos surfaced showing a UAV strike on the Russian "Signal" radio plant in Stavropol. Our team has conducted a preliminary BDA assessment and gathered key context on the facility’s role in Russia’s military production. 🧵Thread:
2/ The factory is located roughly 500 km from the area under Ukrainian control. The strike targeted one of its production facilities, around the 2nd and 3rd floor. The building appears to have avoided critical structural damage, though localized fires were reported
3/ The facility serves both military and civilian sectors. In recent decades, Signal has been involved in a range of defense and industrial projects. Notably, it supplied cathodic protection equipment for the Bushehr Nuclear Power Plant in Iran.
Frontelligence Insight estimates that by the end of June 2025, Russian combat fatalities may have reached, or even surpassed, 250,000. The projection is based on a synthetic estimation model that extrapolates from regionally confirmed, by-name casualty records.
🧵Thread:
2/ The team drew on confirmed casualty data compiled by Idel.Realities and Baikal Stories, tallying losses by region of origin and comparing them to each region’s working-age male population (defined as ages 16 to 60). The analysis covered 17 Russian regions.
3/ For example, in Buryatia, as of mid-June 2025, 2,924 service members killed in action had been confirmed by name. Official data puts the region’s male population at around 455,000, with ~284,800 (about 62.6%) aged 16 to 60. That gives a 1.03% KIA rate among working-age men
The Pokrovsk area remains the most active, with over a third of the 174 combat engagements recorded along the frontline in the past 24 hours taking place in this area, according to the General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine:
2/ Russian forces continue pressing to cut the T0515 Pokrovsk – Dobropillia road, particularly around Rodynske and Bilytske. This route, once a logistical route for Ukrainian troops, has seen reduced use due to sustained drone threats
3/ Logistics are only part of the concern. Should Ukrainian forces be forced to withdraw from Pokrovsk, a safe passage would be vital to avoid a repeat of Bakhmut, where retreat routes were reduced to narrow corridors exposed to Russian artillery and ATGM fire
Instead of replying to each question, I decided to put together a thread that better explains the context of the recent protest, and why this particular law triggered such an unexpected reaction, especially for those, who don’t follow internal Ukrainian politics. 🧵Thread:
2/ It’s no secret that Ukraine has struggled with corruption. That was one of the main drivers behind the 2013–2014 protests, which eventually led to President Yanukovych being ousted. In the years that followed, Ukraine created specialized anti-corruption institutions to fight it
3/ These institutions were strongly supported, and even required, by the EU and Western partners as conditions for deeper integration and the visa-free regime. The goal was to establish bodies that were independent of presidential control and subject to civilian oversight.
Given the many questions surrounding a recent and highly controversial decision passed by the Ukrainian parliament, led by the President's party, I’ve summarized key points from reports by The Kyiv Independent and The Financial Times. Full article links are provided at the end:
2/ On July 21, several Ukrainian law enforcement agencies - the Prosecutor General’s Office, SSU and the State Bureau of Investigation, conducted searches of the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) and the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office (SAPO)
3/ Fifteen NABU employees are currently under investigation for various alleged offenses. The SBU cited suspected Russian infiltration and administrative misconduct as justification for the raids, with accusations ranging from minor traffic violations to treason.
Ukraine’s Defense Intelligence has released a video compilation showcasing the battlefield deployment of Unmanned Ground Vehicles. The video has a range of combat applications, from delivering explosive ordnance to serving as mobile grenade launcher platforms. Key details:
2/ Logistics and ammunition delivery: particularly valuable in current conditions, where troop rotations and resupply are often difficult or impossible. If targeted and destroyed, the loss of a drone is far preferable to that of a soldier.
3/ Delivery of large explosive charges: While small FPV drones offer many advantages, they lack the payload capacity needed in certain cases. Deploying heavier unmanned ground vehicles to deliver sizable explosives to fortified positions or buildings can have a decisive impact