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Bravos Research Profile picture
@bravosresearch
Jul 24 • 1 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
Credit card interest rates have risen very aggressively

They have gone from 14.56% to 21.16% in just 3.5 years

This chart is one for the history books Image

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More from @bravosresearch

Bravos Research Profile picture
Dec 11
Every bull market in the past 70 years has been ended by 1 key Macro factor

This should NOT be overlooked

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ Something unusual is happening in the stock market right now.

The total daily volume of options traded on the US stock market just hit $3.5 trillion.

That is roughly equal to the entire value of the Russell 2000, meaning all US small-cap companies combined. Image
3/ This surge in leveraged bets has been building steadily since 2020.

And it marked the beginning of the S&P 500’s melt-up.

First 2x in market size following the pandemic and then 2x yet again since 2022.

When markets deliver returns this high, investor confidence grows just as fast, and investors naturally take on more risk.Image
Read 21 tweets
Bravos Research Profile picture
Dec 9
Cash on the sidelines has just hit 25% of US GDP

History shows this does NOT end well…

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ This chart shows us the share of total US GDP comprised of cash.

Right now, 25% of the economy, or roughly $7.5 trillion, is invested in money market funds.

This is the money sitting on the sidelines.

That’s the highest level since April 2020, before that January 2009 and October 2001.Image
3/ These dates mark 3 of the biggest economic downturns of the last 20 years.

Coinciding with the 3 largest stock market crashes of the last 20 years.

Once these economic and market crashes ended, the sidelined cash got reinvested back in the markets.

Leading to long periods of economic stability and strong financial markets.Image
Read 24 tweets
Bravos Research Profile picture
Dec 2
The yield curve has now been steepening from an inversion

This has historically been a very reliable recessionary signal

It’s pointing to a MAJOR economic turning point in just 3 months

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ The yield curve has officially begun a countdown that will bring the economy to a major turning point in 3-months.

You see, exactly 1 year ago the yield curve did what we call a steepening.

It came out of one of the longest inversions on record, crossing back above the 0-lineImage
3/ This same pattern showed up in 2020 and was followed by a recession within a year.

It also happened in 2007, 2001, 1989 and even in 1929.

Yet here we are in 2025, a year after the steepening with:

- No NBER-declared recession.
- Stocks near all-time highs.
- Real GDP growth at 2–3%.Image
Read 25 tweets
Bravos Research Profile picture
Nov 24
Michael Burry just revealed 2 MASSIVE short positions tied directly to the AI Bubble

The last time we saw something similar was right before the 2008 Financial Crisis

This won’t end well…

A thread 🧵 Image
2/  This chart compares the euphoria of the 2025 AI boom with the Bitcoin frenzy of 2017 and the housing bubble of 2005 using Google search trends

What stands out are the dates:

August 2005 = housing market downturn

December 2017 = Bitcoin beginning an 80% drawdown Image
3/  Today, interest in the AI boom is already surpassing what we saw in those earlier episodes

Michael Burry, known for shorting the housing market in 2007, has now revealed he’s shorting 2 of the most AI-exposed stocks of 2025

There’s a reason why risk in the AI market has increased substantially

And why we may be close to seeing the first dominoes fallImage
Read 23 tweets
Bravos Research Profile picture
Jul 18
Bitcoin surged 5,000% in 2016, 1,000% in 2020

And crashed 70% in both 2018 and 2022

This 1 Macro signal flashed before all of these moves

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ It’s a force every investor knows exists, but very few actually know how to use

It’s called global liquidity Image
3/ We can track global liquidity using this chart of global M2 money supply

Which reflects the liquidity provided by the world’s 20 largest central banks

Right now, that money supply is breaking out to the highest level ever recorded Image
Read 16 tweets
Bravos Research Profile picture
Jul 16
This is actually happening on Bitcoin

Buckle up.

A thread 🧵 Image
2/ What if I told you there’s 1 macro force that’s appeared before every major move Bitcoin has made over the last decade?

It showed up before Bitcoin’s 5,000% rally in 2016–2017

Before the 1,000% surge in 2020–2021

And right before the 70% crashes in 2018 and 2022 Image
3/ It’s a force every investor knows exists, but very few actually know how to use

It’s called global liquidity

And believe it or not, it’s flashing another major signal right now that could tell us where Bitcoin is headed by August of this year Image
Read 31 tweets

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