The US can keep practicing with its vassals as much as they like. But when it comes down to it, none of them are willing to risk their necks over Taiwan. South Korea will never be involved because of North Korea, The Europeans will still be too busy dealing with Russia...🧵
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/1948703552127340582
2. That leaves you with Japan (which will also be dealing with NK ballistic missiles, if it decides to go to war with China) and Australia which is waiting patiently for decades to get their AUKUS nuclear submarines 🤭 I don't count the Philippines because they can barely feed...
3. their people let alone building a decent arsenal.
The US is obviously counting on their vassals to provides it with bases to launch operations against China. HOW will those bases be resupplied and reinforced? How vulnerable are they to attack? Are they able to provide enough.
The US is obviously counting on their vassals to provides it with bases to launch operations against China. HOW will those bases be resupplied and reinforced? How vulnerable are they to attack? Are they able to provide enough.
4. Protections against a country that has automated ballistic missiles factories. We saw how Iran was able to drain US interceptor missiles stockpiles to the extent that it now facing shortages. Can you imagine what China can do? The US is maritime empire How does a maritime...
5. empire overcome the tyranny of distance to defeat the dominant continental power when it has only 0.4% the shipbuilding and 1/4th-1/3rd the industrial capacity of said dominant continental power? Especially when the dominant continental power has the bigger industrial...
6. Capacity, benefit of interior lines and strategic depth.
if the US is gearing up for war, they're doing it the dumbest way possible. To fight a modern war, one must have a vast stockpile of advanced munitions. Without one, entering into war against a superpower is suicide...
if the US is gearing up for war, they're doing it the dumbest way possible. To fight a modern war, one must have a vast stockpile of advanced munitions. Without one, entering into war against a superpower is suicide...
7. The US doesn't have such a stockpile, they wasted most of them on Ukraine and Israel, and has no way of ramping up production in the short term to create one, and it's the main reason why I'd say that the US has no chance in a war in the Taiwan Straits or South China Sea...
8. In conclusion basically this is all comes down to physics problem.
US is trying to fight a peer opponent at a battlefield which is next to the opponent's center of gravity while its own center of gravity is like half a world away
That would be ok if the US was trying to...
US is trying to fight a peer opponent at a battlefield which is next to the opponent's center of gravity while its own center of gravity is like half a world away
That would be ok if the US was trying to...
9. bully an opponent like Iran, but when fighting against a superpower right at their backyard, it's plain suicidal thinking
I laughed when I see childish comparison number of platforms, weaponries and bases. When no thought is given to actual logistical challenges. End 🧵
I laughed when I see childish comparison number of platforms, weaponries and bases. When no thought is given to actual logistical challenges. End 🧵
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