Meanwhile, the russians continue their offensive, attempting to capture Rodynske and encircle Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad. At this point, we are no longer dealing with mere pressure, but with deliberate attempts to throw our defense into chaos. 1/
The enemy continues to push forward with superior infantry numbers, whose task is not just to advance but to increasingly fragment our defense and make it less dense. It's no longer just about pushing our forces out of their positions. 2/
The enemy is deliberately trying to push its infantry deeper in. Wherever there's a chance to bypass our positions and infiltrate as far into the rear as possible, they take it. This creates a situation where fighting sometimes takes place beyond the front line — during our own movements — because we now know the enemy may be encountered deep behind our positions. 3/
Aside from the obvious risks of friendly fire, general confusion, and heightened tension — when everyone realizes the enemy could be hiding behind any bush, or breach pilot and mortar positions — there's another broader issue. 4/
Resources are being reallocated from striking the enemy's front line and first echelon, or targeting their logistics, to monitoring our own zone, figuring out who exactly is moving through it — friend or foe. 5/
This diverts resources that are already scarce. For example, in a given brigade's area, a fire support group is moving through a friendly-controlled settlement. They run into a small enemy unit and engage in combat. 6/
They eliminate one or two enemy fighters, while the rest retreat and vanish at certain coordinates. Then aerial reconnaissance in that sector shifts its focus to hunting down the rest of that group — instead of working on the front line, as it should. 7/
Meanwhile, pressure continues to build. The enemy not only pushes head-on and from the flanks to break through positions, but also creates constant tension in rear zones close to the “zero line.” 8/
While these small enemy groups try to survive and inflict damage, other units are consolidating in captured villages, forest strips, and industrial sites — and keep advancing. Roads that previously only saw foot traffic are now swarming with motorcycles and ATVs. Drone pilots and electronic warfare crews move in. And so the cycle repeats. 9/
This tactic aims to fragment the defense and facilitate further advancement. The offensive has momentum, and the enemy relies on infantry to carry it forward. Losses are compensated with reinforcements and fresh units — and this will continue as long as they are making progress and have resources. 10/
On the western bank of the Kazenyi Torets’ River, launching moto assaults in the area of Razine might still be problematic. But if the enemy manages to sufficiently expand their foothold and set up reliable crossings, it will become possible over time. 11/
In some places, enemy troops are advancing through open fields and anti-tank ditches, where many end up lying — either dead or badly wounded. No bravado here. There are already areas where the number of dead enemy soldiers is significant. 12/
I've written before: it's clear the russian command believes it can afford such losses to achieve its goals. Apparently, they'd rather sustain these losses now and keep moving daily, than "save" their personnel and give us time to stabilize — potentially making further advances more difficult later. 13/
The question remains: what exactly is this advance about, besides the goal of encircling and capturing the Pokrovsk agglomeration — and from the other flank, Kostiantynivka? Is there something more at this stage? Perhaps I’ll write separately about my more speculative theories. 14/
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PayPal solonko1648@gmail.com
Or subscribe to
Also, there is always information on the Internet about charity projects with the opportunity to support Ukrainian defense. Donations are always appropriate.coff.ee/solonko1648
you can also read about motorcycle assault tactics. written in Ukrainian but machine translation allows you to capture the meaning
https://twitter.com/solonko1648/status/1933934494660124819
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