Thread by @michael_hoerger

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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PMC estimates 400,000 new daily infections. 1 in 118 people actively infectious.

Weekly stats:
🔹2.8 million infections (>40x reported cases)
🔹>140,000 resulting #LongCOVID cases
🔹>1,000 resulting excess deaths

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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Please excuse any typos and delays. Any time Mimal's boot turns deep red, we're doing local outreach in addition to dashboard work, etc.

If you don't know Mimal yet, you won't be able to unsee them.
es.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIMAL

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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It's HOT COVID SUMMER in the Deep South. No geographic/political prejudices, see next.

Covid is burning through Guam, Louisiana, Florida, and Texas (underestimate due to sites down).

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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It's also HOT COVID SUMMER out West. No geographic/political prejudices, see previous.

California and Hawai'i have unrelenting transmission.

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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New York State is mostly in the dark on COVID transmission. The CDC has most sites offline. The NYS dashboard includes the most recent estimates. It was getting bad in NYC before lights out.

NY Links: pmc19.com/data/index.php…

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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Texas has fallen from High to Moderate, but it appears to be an artifact with many sites going offline this week.

High transmission sites going offline adds noise to the forecast. Uncertain times.

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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Today you experienced a typical day in the last 5.5 years of the pandemic, with transmission higher than 47% of days, and lower than 53%.

Typical means that in a room of 35 people, there's a 1 in 4 chance of exposure.

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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The year-over-year graph shows that current transmission (red line) is similar to that of 2 years ago (yellow line) and 4 years ago (blue line).

The forecast formally models year-over-year trends and recent transmission. We are estimated to soon reach 500,000 daily infections, but with low real-time data quality, regional variation, and much uncertainty.

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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Spain offers an illustrative example of uncertainty ahead. Wastewater data are limited to sites (albeit many) in the Barcelona area and reported monthly. XFG took off with limited warning.

The U.S. sites have much better representation and report more frequently so can spot a surge with greater warning.

Note: The variant-naming system (XFG) is not community-centered. It's jargon. Even the nickname, "stratus," is unhelpful jargon. For communities dealing with this jargon, we recommend the following memory tip:

XFG = X-FG, X-FoG, or eXtra brain FoG.

Each reinfection increases the cumulative chances of brain fog and other neurologic, vascular, and multisystemic damage.
x.com/michael_hoerge…

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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It's a good time to stock up on masks and tests. WellBefore is my go-to brand for disposable kids' masks. I've made 2 major purchase orders the past month to donate to local kids.

I receive no preferential discounts, kickbacks, or other financial benefit from any company, including in the COVID space. I talk to many company leaders regularly and worked out the 10% discount.

Let me know if the discount code works or if you need any help with sizing.

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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Serious people continue to take COVID very seriously. We distributed 1,000 tests in 90 minutes today.

Serious folks mask, vax, test, and clean the air. Top health systems require universal masking.

PMC COVID Dashboard, July 28, 2025 (U.S.)
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If you found this thread helpful, please RT the first Tweet, like each post to boost, use/improve the images here and on the dashboard, and share across platforms.
pmc19.com/data

x.com/michael_hoerge…