Tymofiy Mylovanov Profile picture
Jul 31 3 tweets 1 min read Read on X
Russia claims it captured Chasiv Yar in eastern Ukraine after 16+ months of fighting — CNN.

Ukraine Defense Ministry denies losing control, says town remains under Ukrainian forces.

Town had 12,000 people before war, now in ruins. 1/ Image
DeepState maps show Ukraine still holds the western part.

If fully seized, Russia would gain high ground and could threaten key cities in Ukraine’s defensive “fortress belt”: Slovyansk, Kramatorsk, and Kostyantynivka. 2X

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More from @Mylovanov

Aug 2
BBC: Russia now uses jet engines in Shahed drones.

Now these drones are like small [and multiple] cruise missiles

The new Shahed is significantly faster, reaching speeds over 500 km/h

1/ Image
Drones’ high speed and maneuverability make them hard to detect and intercept.

They resemble cruise missiles and require advanced air defense systems.

The drones can fly up to 2500 km.

2/
Intercepting these drones requires costly radar-guided systems, with shells over €1,000 each.

Not mass-deployed, they complicate Ukraine's defense.

Experts see them as Russia adapting Iranian tech to counter Ukraine’s air defense.

3X
Read 4 tweets
Aug 2
Bessent: India has been a large buyer of sanctioned Russian oil that they then resell as refined products. They have not been a great global actor. 1/
Bessent: I believe we have the makings of a deal with China. They announced a 90-day roll, which was a bit premature. Ambassador Greer and I will speak to Trump about whether we’ll do the roll by the August 12 deadline. Technical details remain. 2/
Bessent: China used rare earth magnets as a negotiating card, but we’ve got plenty of our own. We had 12 national security-based countermeasures on; we’ve dropped them. The magnets are flowing. Unlike past, we’re negotiating with both our top economic and military rival. 3/
Read 4 tweets
Aug 2
The U.S. is losing the drone war.

Schneider & Macdonald, Foreign Affairs: Ukraine deploys 200,000 FPVs per month — most сost <$1,000.

U.S. drones are still in prototype, cost up to $20M, and follow outdated Cold War doctrine: built for distant, centralized, low risk wars. 1/ Image
The U.S. Air Force’s new Collaborative Combat Aircraft costs $15M–$20M per drone.

The Army’s Low Altitude Stalking and Strike Ordnance: $70K–$170K. Neither is in mass production. 2/
Israel and Ukraine use cheap, tactical drones from trenches to scout, resupply, strike, and self-destruct — no top-down approval needed.

U.S. drones are too expensive and centralized for this kind of adaptation. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Aug 1
In 2014, Russians captured Anatoly Tokarev in occupied Ukraine

FSB tortured him for a month. They broke both his legs and shot one, the Telegraph.

In 2019, at 60, Anatoly turned his roadside cafe into a war museum with battlefield debris and 400 plaques for fallen soldiers. 1/ Image
After retiring in 2016, Anatoly opened a café with his wife. Both are former snipers.

They felt confused seeing people drink and laugh near the front. In 2019, they shut it down.

“Enough,” his wife said. They began collecting war wreckage instead and opened a museum. 2/
Tokarev built his cafe, now a museum, on a dusty roadside near Pavlohrad [eastern Ukraine].

Outside stand a Russian tank, a howitzer barrel, and a Kalibr missile turned into flowerpot. 3/
Read 8 tweets
Aug 1
[Putin accepted that war in Ukraine is a question of the whole Europe's security. It doesn't stop in Ukraine]

Putin: The Ukrainian negotiators who suggest that we need to discuss European security as a whole, not just Ukrainian — are probably right.

1/
Putin: The European Union is an economic giant, but a political dwarf.

These aren't my words, I don't want to offend anyone.

We've read this in the Western press.

2/
Putin: Russia isn’t capturing territory, we are returning what’s rightfully ours.

3/
Read 9 tweets
Aug 1
Russia can’t win by force, so it wages cognitive war to confuse, delay, and paralyze decisions in the West.

Its goal: get others to do less so it can do more[and win Ukraine in war], Nataliya Bugayova for Foreign Policy.

1/ Image
Putin knows NATO's economy dwarfs his. If the West backs Ukraine fully, Russia loses. So he pushes false premises:

– Russian victory is inevitable

– Western aid is pointless

– Russia deserves a sphere of influence

2/
Russia hits every platform: state media (TASS, RT), foreign conferences, diplomacy, international bodies, and social media. It links these with cyberattacks, drills, sabotage, and military strikes.

3/
Read 10 tweets

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